The Texas Rangers (71-67) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (68-70) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Chase Field in Phoenix is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rangers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1
The Rangers have won 5 straight games and are coming off a 3-game sweep of the A’s in Sacramento. They wrapped up the set with a 9-6 victory Sunday, cashing as -137 favorites with the Over (9) hitting. DH Joc Pederson (2-for-5, 3 RBIs) hit a 2-run homer in the first inning, and 3B Josh Jung (2-for-5, 2 RBIs) added a solo shot in the second. Texas is 2½ games back of the Seattle Mariners for the final AL Wild Card spot.
The Diamondbacks won 2 of 3 games at the LA Dodgers and covered the +1.5 run line in each contest. They lost 5-4 as +198 underdogs in Sunday’s finale with the total (9) resulting in a push. Arizona has won 4 of its last 5 games and is 5½ games behind the New York Mets for the final NL Wild Card.
Rangers at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Ryne Nelson
Corbin (7-9, 4.33 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 131 innings.
Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 7-3 home victory vs. Los Angeles Angels Tuesday2024 vs. Diamondbacks: 0-1, 12.38 ERA (8 IP, 11 ER), 2.38 WHIP, 16 H, 3 BB, 10 K in 2 starts
Nelson (7-3, 3.53 ERA) makes his 19th start and 29th appearance. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 125 innings.
Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 3-2 victory at Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday2025 vs. Rangers: 1 road start (Aug. 11), no-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 7-6 setback in 10 innings
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Rangers at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:14 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Rangers +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Diamondbacks -155 (bet $155 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-170) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+140)Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)Rangers at Diamondbacks picks and predictionsPrediction
Diamondbacks 6, Rangers 5
The Diamondbacks (-155) have 2 road wins over the Dodgers and 2 road wins over the Brewers in their last 5 games. It makes sense why they’re favored, but I wouldn’t recommend betting them at this price.
PASS on the moneyline.
The Rangers have won 5 straight games and 8 of their last 9 contests. While Corbin went 1-2 in August with a 7.17 ERA, Texas is averaging 10 runs per game over its last 5 contests. The Rangers offense should be able to do just enough to keep this game close — especially against Nelson, who Texas tagged for 5 ER in 5 1/3 IP in their Aug. 11 meeting.
BET RANGERS +1.5 (-170).
The Rangers have scored a total of 50 runs over their last 5 games, and the Over has gone 4-1 in Nelson’s last 5 starts. Corbin hasn’t been great either, as the veteran right-hander has allowed 4 or more ER in 2 of his last 3 starts, going 3-0 to the Over.
BET OVER 9 (-110).
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