The Toronto Blue Jays (82-60) visit the New York Yankees (79-63) for the finale of their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB.TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 3-2

After a 7-1 win Friday, the Blue Jays came up short Saturday, losing 3-1 in a game that featured a significant rain delay. Toronto had its 3-game winning streak snapped with the loss and its AL East lead cut to 3 games over the Yankees. Toronto has been electric offensively as of late, scoring at least 7 runs in 4 of its last 6 contests. The Blue Jays are 37-35 on the road.

The Yankees used a 2-run second inning on 2 RBIs from C Austin Wells to win Saturday. They have traded off winning and losing over their last 7 games. Despite that, New York has been hot over the last few weeks, having won 10 of its last 13 games. It has the 12th-best win rate at home (41-29).

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Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters

RHP Max Scherzer vs. LHP Max Fried

Scherzer (5-2, 4.11 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 70 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 8-4 home win vs. Milwaukee Brewers Sunday2025 road stats: 2-2, 3.60 ERA (30 IP, 12 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 24 H, 10 BB, 32 K in 5 startsCareer vs. Yankees (regular season): 4-5, 4.39 ERA (82 IP, 40 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 14 starts

Fried (15-5, 2.98 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 169 innings.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 7-1 road win vs. Houston Astros Tuesday2025 home stats: 6-2, 2.34 ERA (77 IP, 20 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 60 H, 23 BB, 77 K in 13 startsCareer vs. Blue Jays: 3-1, 2.48 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 in 6 startsBlue Jays at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:38 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictionsPrediction

Yankees 6, Blue Jays 3

PASS.

While the Yankees (-160) at home are enticing, they aren’t worth the risk against a solid Toronto side. Similarly, avoid the Blue Jays (+135), who are taking on a Cy Young candidate in Fried.

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+135).

Fried has been dangerous at home, having gone 9-4 in his 13 starts. In 8 of those 9 wins, New York has won by multiple runs. In its last 14 straight wins, New York has come out on top by multiple runs. Having scored at least 7 runs in 6 of their last 10 games, expect the Yankees to take this one.

While Scherzer has one of the best resumes in the MLB, he struggled in his last outing, allowing 4 ERs. Toronto has allowed at least 3 runs in his last 3 starts. Considering those pitching trends, take YANKEES -1.5 (+135).

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

Despite both teams having solid starting options, the offenses have been explosive. Toronto is 4-2 O/U in its last 6 games and 79-57-5 O/U on the year.

New York is 6-4 O/U in its last 10 contests and 9-5 O/U over its last 14 games. It has gone 3-1 O/U in Fried’s last 4 starts. Back OVER 8.5 (-115).

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