The Texas Rangers (79-73) visit the Houston Astros (83-69) in the final game of their 3-game series on Wednesday. First pitch is at 8:10 p.m. ET from Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rangers vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 6-6

The Rangers are in the third place in the NL West, 4 1/2 games behind the division-leading Seattle Mariners and 4 games behind Houston. They are also 3 1/2 games behind the Boston Red Sox for the final AL Wild Card. They have lost 3 games in a row after a 6-game winning streak. They lost 6-3 Monday and then 6-5 on Tuesday as SP Merrill Kelly allowed 6 runs on 9 hits and a walk, striking out 1 in 3 innings. The Rangers rallied for 4 runs in the eighth inning to pull within a run, but they were unable to tie the game in the ninth. Jonah Heim went 2-for-2 with a home run and 2B Cody Freeman also homered.

The Astros are are second in the AL West, a half-game behind Seattle, and hold the No. 2 Wild Card spot, a half-game ahead of Boston. They have won 4 of their last 5 games. SS Jeremy Pena had 3 hits and 2 runs scored Tuesday, and both 2B Jose Altuve and OF Jesus Sanchez drove in a pair of runs in the win.

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Rangers at Astros projected starters

RHP Jacob deGrom vs. RHP Cristian Javier

deGrom (12-7, 2.82 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 162 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 8-3 road win over the New York Mets last FridayLast start vs. Astros (Sept 6): Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 11-0 loss in ArlingtonCareer vs. Astros: 1-1, 2.33 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 3 starts, all this season2025 road splits: 6-2, 3.28 ERA (79 2/3 IP, 29 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 14 starts

Javier (1-3, 4.78 ERA) makes his seventh start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 26 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-0 road loss to the Toronto Blue Jays last ThursdayCareer vs. Rangers: 6-1, 3.71 ERA (70 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 in 15 games (11 starts; last in 2024)2025 home splits: 1-2, 3.44 ERA (18 1/3 IP. 7 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 in 4 startsRangers at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:03 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rangers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Astros +105 (bet $100 to win $105)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+140) | Astros +1.5 (-165)Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rangers at Astros picks and predictionsPrediction

Rangers 4, Astros 2

In the season series, neither team has had a sweep and neither team has won more than 2 consecutive games against the other.

The Wednesday pitching matchup favors deGrom, and the Astros have not won more than 2 consecutive games this month.

The Rangers are 13-6 in their last 19 games.

BET RANGERS (-125).

In the Rangers’ 6 wins over the Astros this season, 4 have been by more than 1 run. Ten of their last 13 wins have been by 2 or more runs.

Eight of the Astros’ last 10 losses have been by more than 1 run.

BET RANGERS -1.5 (+145).

Of the Rangers’ 15 wins with deGrom on the mound his season, 11 have had 8 or more total runs, but only 1 of their 6 wins over the Astros has reached 8 total runs.

Eight of the last 11 losses for the Astros have not reached 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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