Zach Thompson gives his top studs and value plays for today’s fantasy baseball slate on DraftKings, which starts at 1:08 p.m. ET.
The Wild Card Series got off to a great start on Tuesday with four good games and plenty of postseason drama. Wednesday is Game 2 of each of the series with the Tigers, Cubs, Red Sox and Dodgers looking to advance with a win. The Guardians, Padres, Yankees and Reds are looking to force a decisive Game 3 on Thursday. With eight teams in the all-day player pool, several strong DFS fantasy baseball plays are worth considering for lineups from different parts of the salary spectrum. Let’s dive in for a quick rundown of some of the top places I think you can find value in my MLB DFS picks for Wednesday’s slate.
The run totals for today’s games are low once again as teams rely on their strongest pitchers. The two afternoon games have over/unders of 6.5 on DraftKings Sportsbook, while the most offense is expected from under the lights out West, where the Dodgers and Reds have a run total of 8.0, the highest of the day. The weather looks good for the official start of October baseball, so let’s jump right into the slate.
Set your DraftKings fantasy baseball lineups here: MLB $150K Bat Flip [$50K to 1st]!
PITCHERS
Value
Tanner Bibee, Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers, $7,700: Whether you’re pairing him with an ace like Yoshinobu Yamamoto ($9,500) or a bargain like Brayan Bello ($7,000) or Casey Mize ($7,200), Bibee brings very nice value and good upside from his salary in the middle of the pack this Wednesday.
Bibee has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last four starts, going 3-0 with a 1.30 ERA and 2.38 FIP. Two of those starts came against the Tigers, who he’ll face again on Wednesday in Game 2. He held them to one run in six innings in each of his two outings, earning 27.9 fantasy points and 21.3 fantasy points with 13 strikeouts in 12 innings. He showed an even higher ceiling with a masterful, two-hit, complete-game shutout against the White Sox in the start before that, earning a season-high 47.4 fantasy points in that victory.
The Guardians almost stole Game 1 against Tarik Skubal, but they will only have to deal with Mize on Wednesday afternoon. I think they’ll be able to level their series with Detroit behind a strong outing from Bibee, who finished the year 12-11 with a 4.20 ERA but showed much better form than that over he last month of the season, much like the entire Guardians team.
INFIELD
Stud
Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds, $6,200: Shohei blasted a pair of homers in Game 1 and finished with 30 fantasy points. He now has double-digit fantasy points in 10 of his last 13 games, dating back to mid-September.
The lefty should have a great matchup again in Game 2 against Zack Littell ($6,500), who went 10-8 with a 3.81 ERA and 4.88 FIP in his 32 starts with the Reds and Rays. In those outings, though, he served up 36 homers, letting lefties post a .303 wOBA against him overall and a .328 wOBA against him on the road.
Paying up for Ohtani can stretch your salary cap thin for the rest of your roster, but he brings too much upside to overlook, especially with eligibility at both 1B and in the outfield.
Value
Nick Sogard, Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees, $2,400: Sogard is a bargain who can stretch your salary cap for Shohei or other stars, and he also comes with dual eligibility at both 2B and in the OF.
Sogard got the start in Game 1 against lefty Max Fried and went 2-for-4 with a double and 10 fantasy points. The 28-year-old switch-hitter hit .260 in 30 games in the majors this season and .276 in 91 games in Triple-A. He had five homers, 16 stolen bases, and a .364 wOBA in Worcester, and he went 10-for-35 (.294) in his September work in the majors, with three doubles and a stolen base.
He hit .371 in his limited sample size against lefties in the majors this year, but he brings a good blend of speed and a little power potential from this bargain salary against lefty Carlos Rodon ($9,300).
OUTFIELD
Stud
Fernando Tatis Jr., San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs, $5,300: Tatis went 0-for-4 in Game 1 of the series, but he finished the season strong and should be able to bounce back in a favorable situation against opener Andrew Kittredge ($4,000) and bulk pitcher Shota Imanaga ($7,500).
Tatis finished the season on a nice roll with an eight-game hitting streak. He hit safely in 10 of his last 11 games and went 12-for-41 (.390) with four homers and a .483 wOBA over that stretch.
He brings both power and speed potential from the top of the Padres order and Imanaga has let righties hit 27 of the 31 homers against him this season with a .299 wOBA. Tatis is the heart of the Padres’ offense and has hit .346 with six homers and a .503 wOBA in his 14 career postseason games. I expect him to step up with another big performance Wednesday.
Value
Gavin Lux, Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers, $3,000: Lux didn’t start in Game 1 of this series since the Dodgers went with lefty Blake Snell, but he should be back in the lineup on Wednesday night since righty Yamamoto will be on the hill.
Lux didn’t post jaw-dropping numbers with the Reds, but he finished the season strong and can be a solid source of value against his former team in Game 2. Lux went 13-for-41 (.342) over his last 11 games of the season, with four doubles and a triple. He had a 43.3% hard-hit rate and a .367 wOBA over that span, which were huge improvements over his season-long numbers of a 36.9% hard-hit rate and a .322 wOBA.
It’s a tough matchup against Yamamoto, but at only $3K, Lux brings good upside, especially if he’s hitting in the top half of the lineup.