The Houston Astros (23-22) visit the Texas Rangers (25-22) for the finale of their 4-game series on Sunday. First pitch from Globe Life Field is at 1:05 p.m. ET (Roku). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Astros vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rangers lead 2-1
The Astros have won 6 of their last 10 games, but have lost 2 of the first 3 games of the series. On Saturday, they were held to only 5 hits and 1B Christian Walker’s RBI double drove in their only run of the game in a 5-1 loss.
The Rangers got 6 innings of 1-run ball from SP Tyler Mahle, while OF Wyatt Langford and DH Joc Pederson both homered and drove in 2 runs. The Rangers have won 7 of their last 8 games.
Astros at Rangers projected starters
LHP Framber Valdez vs. RHP Jack Leiter
Valdez (2-4, 3.54 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 56 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 8 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-1 home win over the Kansas City Royals on TuesdayCareer vs. Rangers: 8-5, 2.83 ERA (92 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 14 starts and 3 reief appearancesHas allowed 2 or fewer runs un 4 of his last 5 starts2025 road stats: 1-3. 4.20 ERA (30 IP, 14 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 5 starts
Leiter (3-2, 4.34 ERA) makes his seventh start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 29 innings.
Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 4-1 home win over the Colorado Rockies on TuesdayHad allowed 10 ER in his 2 previous starts (9 2/3 IP)Facing Astros for the first time in his 2-year career2025 home stats: 1-1. 3.95 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 3 starts
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Astros at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Rangers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+125) | Rangers +1.5 (-155)Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -118)Astros at Rangers picks and predictionsPrediction
Rangers 5, Astros 2
No one has more home wins this season than the Rangers’ 17. They are 17-9 at Globe Life Field, while the Astros are 8-13 on the road.
The Rangers have won 7 of their last 8 games overall and have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 9 contests.
BET RANGERS (+115).
The Rangers are 6-3 ATS as home underdogs this season and 14-9 ATS as an underdog overall. They are 8-15 straight up as underdogs but 8 of their last 10 covers have been outright wins.
Houston is 4-8 ATS as road favorites.
Because you can get plus odds on the Rangers ML, go for that rather than the -155 to cover the +1.5.
PASS.
The total has not reached 9 runs in 7 of the Rangers’ last 10 games. Four of the last 5 games for the Astros have not surpassed 9 total runs. Only 1 of the last 9 meetings has surpassed 9 runs.
BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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