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Analyzing Detroit Tigers win 3-2 vs Seattle Mariners in Game 1 of ALDS

Evan Petzold and Jeff Seidel break down the Detroit Tigers’ 3-2 win over the Seattle Mariners in Game 1 of the ALDS on Saturday, Oct. 4, 2025.

SEATTLE — The Seattle Mariners fans were rocking for Game 1 of the ALDS.

The atmosphere was electric.

The Detroit Tigers silenced the crowd when Kerry Carpenter blasted a two-run home run in the fifth inning, then again when Zach McKinstry delivered an RBI single in the 11th inning.

The Tigers won, 3-2, in Game 1 of the ALDS on Saturday, Oct. 4, at T-Mobile Park to take a a 1-0 lead in the best-of-five series in the second round of the 2025 MLB postseason.

In the 11th, McKinstry hit an RBI single with two outs against right-handed reliever Carlos Vargas.

Game 2 of ALDS: Tarik Skubal takes the mound

The Tigers (1-0) and Mariners (0-1) meet again Sunday (8:08 p.m., FS1) in Game 2 of the ALDS, with left-hander Tarik Skubal set to start for the Tigers.

The Mariners are starting right-hander Luis Castillo.

Skubal — the 2024 AL Cy Young winner and 2025 favorite — owns a 2.03 ERA with five walks and 34 strikeouts across 26⅔ innings in four starts throughout his postseason career, including 7⅔ innings of one-run ball in Game 1 of the AL wild-card series against the Cleveland Guardians.

The series moves to Comerica Park in Detroit for Games 3 and, if necessary, Game 4 on Tuesday and Wednesday. If Game 5 is needed, the Tigers and Mariners will return to T-Mobile Park.

Getting to the finish line

The two-run home run from Carpenter put the Tigers ahead, 2-1, in the fifth inning, but the Mariners tied the game, 2-2, in the sixth when right-handed reliever Rafael Montero struggled against the top three hitters in the Mariners’ lineup: Randy Arozarena, Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodríguez.

It all started with a leadoff walk.

Arozarena fell behind in the count with back-to-back strikes, then Montero sprayed four pitches in a row for a six-pitch walk. Then Raleigh singled to put runners on the corners and Rodríguez dropped in an RBI single to even the score.

The Tigers pulled Montero after those three batters.

Both bullpens traded zeros on the scoreboard in the seventh, eighth, ninth and 10th innings, but the Tigers got the best of the Mariners in the 11th inning.

Spencer Torkelson drew a leadoff walk and advanced to second on Vargas’ wild pitch, but Wenceel Pérez and Dillon Dingler struck out swinging. McKinstry saved the Tigers with an RBI single for a 3-2 lead, hitting a first-pitch sinker.

To finish the win, the Tigers were forced to call upon right-hander Keider Montero.

The Tigers had already burned through their top six relievers, used in this order: left-hander Brant Hurter, right-hander Rafael Montero, lefty Tyler Holton, righty Tommy Kahnle, righty Kyle Finnegan and righty Will Vest. 

In the 11th, Keider Montero worked around a two-out single to end the game.

Kerry Carpenter takes advantage

The home run from Carpenter should’ve never happened, but Mariners manager Dan Wilson made a mistake with a runner on second base and two outs in the fifth inning.

The Mariners stuck with right-hander George Kirby for a third matchup against Carpenter, even though left-handed reliever Gabe Speier was ready to enter out of the bullpen.

Going to Speier would’ve given the Mariners the matchup advantage.

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But that’s not how it went down.

The non-decision came back to haunt the Mariners, as Carpenter blasted Kirby’s middle-up 97.1 mph sinker — located above the strike zone — for a two-run home run to right-center field. He hit the ball 409 feet with a 112.5 mph exit velocity.

The Tigers took a 2-1 lead.

Carpenter has five hits in his career against Kirby.

All five are home runs.

Rookie Troy Melton delivers on the mound

Right-hander Troy Melton allowed one run on two hits and one walk with four strikeouts across four innings. The 24-year-old, who began the season in Double-A Erie, rolled through the first three frames before surrendering a solo home run in the fourth.

To open the fourth, Rodríguez crushed Melton’s 97.2 mph fastball at the top rail of the zone for a solo home run to straightaway center field.

Melton didn’t let the inning get away from him.

He retired the next three batters to end his outing on a positive note: Josh Naylor (flyout), Jorge Polanco (groundout) and Eugenio Suárez (strikeout). He struck out Suárez swinging with a sinker painted on the inside edge of the zone.

Manager A.J. Hinch removed Melton after four innings — not for performance reasons but for workload reasons, as he threw 57 pitches. He hadn’t tossed more than 49 pitches in a game since Aug. 13, when he threw 56 across five scoreless innings.

Melton could be available to pitch in Game 4 or 5 of the ALDS, but only as a reliever. In Game 1, Melton became the first Tigers rookie to start Game 1 of a postseason series since Justin Verlander in the 2006 World Series.

Tigers threaten … but do not score early

The Tigers experienced a breakthrough in Thursday’s 6-3 win in Game 3 of the AL wild-card series with three consecutive hits with runners in scoring position, resulting in a four-run seventh inning.

In Game 1 of the ALDS, the Tigers went right back to stranding runners in scoring position — going 2-for-11 with runners in scoring position and stranding eight runners.

Runners were stranded in each the first three innings.

In the first, Torkelson struck out after a two-out single from Riley Greene. In the second, McKinstry struck out, Javier Báez grounded out and Parker Meadows struck out after Colt Keith’s single and Dingler’s walk. In the third, Carpenter lined out, Greene struck out and Torkelson flew out after Gleyber Torres’ double.

The Tigers continue to strand too many runners, but the problem didn’t cost them in Game 1 of the ALDS — thanks to clutch hits by Carpenter and McKinstry.

Contact Evan Petzold at epetzold@freepress.com or follow him @EvanPetzold.

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