On Tuesday, the Yankees and Blue Jays meet at Yankee Stadium for Game 3 of the ALDS, with first pitch set for 8:08 PM ET. The Jays arrive with a commanding 2–0 lead after a pair of lopsided wins at home, while New York faces elimination in front of its home crowd.

Toronto’s bats have overwhelmed the Yankees so far, piling up 23 runs across the first two games. Trey Yesavage stole the spotlight in Game 2 with 11 strikeouts and a near no-hit bid, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. continues to be a major problem for New York.

The Yankees will turn to Carlos Rodón in hopes of slowing Toronto’s momentum, but he’ll need help from an offense that has struggled to keep pace. Shane Bieber gets the ball for the Blue Jays, bringing an opportunity for New York’s right-handed hitters to find a spark. With the season on the line, the Yankees need near-perfection to stay alive, while Toronto looks to close the door and secure a sweep.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays betting preview

Explore the interactive widget below to view the latest spread, total, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Yankees-Blue Jays matchup at Yankee Stadium.

This prediction and best bet for Tuesday’s MLB ALDS playoff matchup between the New York and Toronto is from Dimers.com, a dependable source for sports betting predictions.

Matchup OverviewTeams: Blue Jays vs. YankeesDate: Tuesday, October 7, 2025Time: 8:08 PM ETVenue: Yankee StadiumOddsSpread: Yankees favored at -1.5Total (Over/Under): 7.5Moneyline Odds: Blue Jays +135, Yankees -154

The odds and lines featured here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Expert Prediction: Blue Jays vs. Yankees

Using advanced simulations, Dimers analysts ran 10,000 models of Tuesday’s Game 3 at Yankee Stadium. Their data-driven forecast gives the Yankees a 60% chance of winning, while the Blue Jays sit at 40%.

The model suggests a relatively even matchup against the number, but points to value on the total. While the Yankees are expected to lean on Carlos Rodón to keep their season alive, Toronto’s hot lineup makes this a difficult call for bettors.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Best Bet

Our top betting pick for Game 3 of the ALDS is Over 7.5 runs (-115). Both teams bring potent lineups, and with the Yankees needing an offensive surge to avoid elimination, the model points toward a higher-scoring contest.

Home Run Prop Probabilities: Game 3

Based on Dimers’ player projections for October 7, here are the top five most likely home run hitters from each side in tonight’s Yankees vs. Blue Jays matchup:

Yankees

Aaron Judge – 25.6%Giancarlo Stanton – 23.7%Ben Rice – 18.3%Jazz Chisholm – 18.0%Trent Grisham – 17.3%

Blue Jays

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – 17.4%Anthony Santander – 17.3%Daulton Varsho – 17.0%George Springer – 15.4%Davis Schneider – 13.0%Final Thoughts: Yankees vs. Blue Jays

With Toronto up 2–0 and New York facing elimination, Game 3 at Yankee Stadium sets the stage for a pivotal showdown. Projections point to scoring chances on both sides, with power hitters likely to shape the outcome. Whether the Yankees extend their season or the Jays close out the sweep, this matchup will steer the course of the ALDS.

All betting insights in this article are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations and reflect odds current at the time of publishing. They aim to assist you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks. Always wager responsibly and check trusted sources for the latest updates before placing bets.

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