Coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Marlins, the Tampa Bay Rays (21-25) are -140 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Houston Astros (24-22). The series begins at George M. Steinbrenner Field, starting on Monday at 7:05 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and SCHN. Tampa Bay’s Ryan Pepiot and Houston’s Colton Gordon have been named the starters for this contest.
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Rays vs. Astros Predictions
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Moneyline Odds & Pick
Favorite: Rays
Favorite Moneyline: -140
Underdog Moneyline: +115
Moneyline Pick: Astros
Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rays 4
Moneyline InsightsTampa Bay has won 11 of the 24 games it was the moneyline favorite this season (45.8%).This season, Houston has won six out of the 13 games, or 46.2%, in which it has been the underdog.The Rays have a 7-8 record (winning 46.7% of their games) when they have played as moneyline favorites of -140 or shorter.The Astros are 2-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +115 or more on the moneyline.Tampa Bay has an implied moneyline win probability of 58.3% in this game.
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Total Odds & Pick
Total: 9
Over Total Odds: -105
Under Total Odds: -115
Over/Under Pick: Under 9
Total InsightsTampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 46 games with a total this season.Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 46 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.When it comes to the total, the Astros and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their previous 10 games.
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How to Watch Rays vs. AstrosDate: Monday, May 19, 2025Time: 7:05 p.m. ETTV: FDSSUN and SCHNLocation: Tampa, FloridaVenue: George M. Steinbrenner FieldLive Stream: Watch on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)Rays vs. Astros Probable Starting PitchersRays: Ryan PepiotPepiot (2-5) will take the mound for the Rays, his 10th start of the season.The 27-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 3.93, a 2.65 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.291.The Rays have been the moneyline favorite in three of Pepiot’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those games.Over Pepiot’s nine starts, his team is 3-6.Pepiot has had nine starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined hit the over in three of those games.Astros: Colton GordonGordon will take to the mound for the Astros, his second start of the season.He has pitched in one game this season with an ERA of 6.23, a batting average against of .350 and 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings.He has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline underdog.Gordon’s team won in his only start this season.The only game started by Gordon with a total this season hit the under.
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Rays vs. Astros Stats
Rays
Astros
3.9
Runs Scored (PG)
4
23
MLB Rank (RPG)
20
4.1
Runs Allowed (PG)
3.6
13
MLB Rank (RAPG)
6
.242
Batting AVG
.245
18
MLB Rank (BA)
15
.240
Batting AVG Against
.212
14
MLB Rank (BAA)
2
39
Home Runs
39
25
MLB Rank (HR)
25
64
Home Runs Allowed
41
27
MLB Rank (HRA)
7
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