Griffin Wong details his best prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Game 3 of the Dodgers-Brewers NL Championship Series.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have found the best solution to their shaky bullpen…simply don’t use it. In Games 1 and 2 of the National League Championship Series, starters Blake Snell and Yoshinobu Yamamoto combined for 17 innings and gave up a total of four hits and one earned run, so it’s no surprise that Los Angeles leads the Milwaukee Brewers, 2-0, with the series headed back for a likely decisive three games in Southern California.

The Dodgers will send Tyler Glasnow to the mound to deliver tonight’s 6:08 p.m. ET first pitch. The Brewers haven’t announced a starter yet, but it’s likely that Jose Quintana will see at least some action, and Jacob Misiorowski hasn’t taken the mound yet, either.

Los Angeles is a -199 favorite on the Moneyline, with the run total set to 7.5. Milwaukee is +161 on the Moneyline. Below, I’ll take you through my three favorite player props from tonight’s contest as the Dodgers seek a more-or-less insurmountable 3-0 advantage.

Brewers at Dodgers Prop Bets for Game 3

Tyler Glasnow O15.5 Outs Recorded (-130)

On one hand, Los Angeles’ completely fresh bullpen could be an argument to not push Glasnow, but the Dodgers are treating this as a must-win game in order to set up their aces for the World Series. If Los Angeles loses today or tomorrow — which it’s more likely to do the more innings it gives to a bullpen that has pitched to a 5.91 ERA this postseason — it’ll have to turn to Snell on four days’ rest for Game 5 on Saturday and five days’ rest again for Game 1 of the World Series.

That might be palatable, but winning in five games or fewer will be paramount for the Dodgers, as Game 6 starter Yamamoto would have to pitch Game 2 of the World Series on four days’ rest, unless Dave Roberts instead opts to turn to tomorrow’s starter, Shohei Ohtani. Either way, Roberts would surely rather get six innings out of Glasnow tonight and win tomorrow so he has his preferred rotation of Snell, Yamamoto, Glasnow, and Ohtani available for the World Series on extra rest.

The Brewers did not get to Snell or Yamamoto much in the first two games of this series, and Glasnow isn’t much more than a notch below. He pitched 7.2 total innings between one start and one relief appearance in the Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, allowing four total hits, five walks, and 10 strikeouts, and throwing just 117 total pitches. In 11 home starts this season, he had a 2.77 ERA, which was actually better than Yamamoto’s mark at the same venue. Glasnow made two regular season starts against Milwaukee and combined for 11 innings, allowing six hits and two runs (one earned) with four walks and 11 strikeouts.

William Contreras O0.5 Walks (+151)

Glasnow has only one major issue: he walks too many batters. Because he hasn’t gotten very many batters to chase pitches outside the zone, his 11.7% walk rate sits in just the seventh percentile, and he issued three or more free passes in eight of his 18 starts during the regular season and in his lone playoff start. One of those three-walk outings came on the road against the Brewers in what was his first start after missing two and a half months with shoulder inflammation.

Overall, Milwaukee has drawn walks at a decent clip, earning a free pass at the seventh-highest rate among the 12 playoff teams after finishing fourth in that stat during the regular season. The best value on the board, then, is the guy who led the Brewers with 84 walks, the second-most among MLB catchers. Contreras has the team’s highest walk rate against right-handed pitchers, even if Christian Yelich (+141) has the best odds to earn a free pass tonight, and Glasnow issued walks more than four-thirds as frequently against righties. Glasnow threw just 47% of his pitches in the zone against righties, which could be an issue against a hitter as disciplined as Contreras.

Mookie Betts 2+ Hits + Runs + RBI’s (-138)

It’s hard to predict how Los Angeles will look offensively, given that Milwaukee hasn’t announced a starter, but given that Quintana suggested he’d pitch tonight, I’ll take him at his word, whether he starts or whether an Pat Murphy will use an opener ahead of him. It’s also possible that the bulk pitcher today is not Quintana but a righty like Misiorowski, or that the two take three or four innings each. In that case, it’s better to take a hitter with virtually no platoon splits, and Betts’ .257/.326/.399 slash line against righties is basically indistinguishable from his .261/.326/.424 line against southpaws.

If it’s Quintana, he predominantly throws sinkers and changeups to right-handed hitters, and Betts has posted a solid .438 slugging percentage against left-handed sinkers, the second-highest among the four pitches that he has seen from a southpaw at least 50 times. He’s also whiffed just 5.5% of the time against lefty sinkers. On the other hand, if he faces Misiorowski, he’ll face a lot of four-seam fastballs, and he’s notched a .556 expected slugging percentage against right-handed four-seamers this season. In general, batting in between Ohtani and Freddie Freeman is a good place to either score or drive a run in, even though Ohtani has had an awful playoff run so far.