And so, a disappointing D-backs season ended. But, never fear! Because there’s still a chance to made some (hypothetical) money, depending on how your wagers went at the SnakePit casino! We welcomed suckers esteemed customers into the venue to place bets before the season. Now the season is in the books, it’s time to look at those slips and see who made out and who will be making off. Below, you’ll find details of the various hitters lines. The pitchers’ lines and the final tallies will follow next Saturday. Figures in brackets are the total amount bet over and under the line in question.
Diamondbacks Wins: 89.5 (3337.5-600) – UNDER, 80
This changed surprisingly little from the projection at the one-third point, where the team was exactly at .500. As we noted last weekend, MLB standings do stabilize much quicker than you might think, and the 2025 D-backs would appear to demonstrate that. Despite subsequent hot and cold spells, 108 games later they still ended up almost exactly at .500. That’s quite some distance below pre-season expectations, for reasons which are likely perilously close to deceased equine territory at this point. It’ll be interesting to see what expectations are next year, but we’ll cross that once once we get to spring. For now, the SnakePit Casino appreciates your donations.
Lovullo ejections: 2.5 (1800-0) – OVER, 3
This ended up being considerably closer than it looked, after Torey got his second ejection of the year as early as May 14. However, the meds must have kicked in, as he then went almost three months being a good little boy. However, the line was finally crossed on August 14, after a called third strike to Geraldo Perdomo in the ninth inning of a tied game. While the TV zone showed it low, subsequent analysis suggests it might not actually have been a bad call. But there had been a few earlier, and Torey had had enough. It did the trick, Ketel Marte coming up immediately afterward, and hitting a go-ahead home-run. It was Lovullo’s third and final ejection of the year.
MLB Debuts: 5.5 (300-750) – OVER, 8
For the record, in reverse chronological order, they were: Austin Pope, Philip Abner, Taylor Rashi, Tristin English, Kyle Backhus, Christian Montes De Oca, Juan Morillo and Tim Tawa. After Tawa and Morillo reached the show by the middle of April, we had to wait until June for anyone else: Montes De Oca and Backhus made it on consecutive nights. English followed in July, and Rashi locked down the over when he made his first appearance on August 28. Abner and Pope were both September call-ups. With hindsight, the line should have been higher. Arizona hasn’t had fewer than six debutants in a season since 2018, when there were just three.
Corbin Carroll Hits – 145.5 (900-0) – OVER, 146Corbin Carroll SB – 38.5 (2287.5-750) – UNDER, 32Corbin Carroll HR – 21.5 (2437.5-0) – OVER, 31Corbin Carroll RBI – 74.5 (300-0) – OVER, 84Corbin Carroll Runs – 107.5 (1550-0) – UNDER, 107
A couple of incredibly close lines here. First was hits, where the line was squeaked over by the narrowest possible margin, making a winner of everyone who wagered on the line. However, the reverse was true on Corbin’s runs total. If he had crossed home-plate just once during the final four games of the season, this bet would have followed suit. But Carroll was 0-for-7, and took the last two contests off entirely, once the team had been eliminated. So, instead, everyone was a loser there. All told though, the general optimism about Corbin’s season largely proved justified, even if the stolen-base total was slightly lower than expected.
Ketel Marte HR – 26.5 (0-0) – OVER, 28 Ketel Marte RBI – 85.5 (600-0) – UNDER, 72Ketel Marte BA – .280 (1387.5-0) – OVER, .283Ketel Marte Runs – 87.5 (0-0) – UNDER, 87
Given Marte missed the best part of a month early on with a hamstring problem, the counting lines were always going to be tough. And so it proved for RBI and Runs – though like Carroll, Marte missed crossing the line on the latter by the smallest amount. His home-run in the final game left him half a run short. Given he appeared in 126 games, still managing to beat expectations for home-runs is actually impressive. Coincidentally, Marte was hitting .283 when we checked in at the one-third point, then hit .283 over the remainder of the season, to finish the season at… Yes, .283.
Josh Naylor HR – 22.5 (1587.5-300) – UNDER, 20Josh Naylor RBI – 90.5 (800-300) – OVER, 92
Just so we’re clear, all lines were transferred to Seattle for Naylor and Suarez. All told, Josh was just short on home-runs, but just over on runs driven in. Indeed, he was better than Christian Walker (88) in that category, and all told, there’s little argument that the D-backs made a wise decision to move on from Walker. But if any number stands out in Naylor’s season, it’s his thirty stolen bases: a mere two fewer than Carroll. That’s amazing, considering his previous high for a year was ten. And it’s wasn’t just the Dave McKay effect either. Naylor was 19-0 for SB attempts with Seattle, in only 54 games.
Eugenio Suarez HR – 23.5 (750-150) – OVER, 49Eugenio Suarez RBI – 80.5 (1050-0) – OVER, 118
Though it wouldn’t have mattered whether lines been transferred to Seattle or not for Geno. Because you could draw a line through them well before the trade deadline. Indeed, he hit his 24th homer, locking in the over, as early as June 20, and ended up more than doubling the projection. Suarez’s 81st RBI was also while still with Arizona, coming a couple of days after the All-Star break, on July 19. Amusing coincidence: he ended the 2025 regular season with 66 home-runs hit for both the D-backs and Mariners. It leaves him top 20 in the category with Arizona all-time, despite having played just 264 games for us: one HR every four appearances.
Lourdes Gurriel HR – 16.5 (300-0) – OVER, 19Lourdes Gurriel RBI – 70.5 (100-0) – OVER, 90
Before I checked, I felt sure that Gurriel was going to end up missing both lines. He didn’t seem to have had the best of seasons, and it was ended early by injury, causing him to miss virtually the entire month of September. However, to my surprise, he hit the over on each. It was particularly easy in the case of RBI, where he locked it in as early as August 20 – part of that torrid spell where Lourdes drove in 30 runs over 20 games. However, it seems that hardly anyone here had much confidence in Gurriel, with only one customer at the SnakePit Casino betting on each line. Given the health issue, I doubt he’ll be part of the 2026 lines either.
We’ll finish up next week, with the pitching lines and the overall standings!