The Baltimore Orioles (13-20) and Jackson Holliday (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+135) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Minnesota Twins (15-20) on Tuesday at 7:40 p.m. ET on MNNT and MASN. Minnesota’s Pablo Lopez gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Cade Povich.
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Twins vs. Orioles Predictions
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Moneyline Odds & Pick
Favorite: Twins
Favorite Moneyline: -160
Underdog Moneyline: +135
Moneyline Pick: Twins
Score Prediction: Twins 4, Orioles 3
Moneyline InsightsMinnesota has won 47.6% of the games this season when it was the moneyline favorite (10-11).Baltimore has won six, or 46.2%, of the 13 games it has played as the underdog this season.When they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -160 or shorter, the Twins have gone 6-3 (66.7%).The Orioles have played as an underdog of +135 or more once this season and lost that game.Based on this contest’s moneyline, Minnesota’s implied win probability is 61.5%.
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Total Odds & Pick
Total: 8.5
Over Total Odds: -105
Under Total Odds: -115
Over/Under Pick: Under 8.5
Total InsightsSo far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 12 of 35 games with a total.Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 15 of 33 chances this season.The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to eclipse the total two times.
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How to Watch Twins vs. OriolesDate: Tuesday, May 6, 2025Time: 7:40 p.m. ETTV: MNNT and MASNLocation: Minneapolis, MinnesotaVenue: Target FieldLive Stream: Watch on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)Twins vs. Orioles Probable Starting PitchersTwins: Pablo LopezThe Twins will hand the ball to Lopez (2-2) for his sixth start of the season.The 29-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 2.25, a 6.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.000.The Twins have been the moneyline favorite in four of Lopez’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.In Lopez’s five starts, his team is 2-3.Lopez’s starts went over the run total two times in five games with a set total this season.Orioles: Cade PovichThe Orioles will hand the ball to Povich (1-2) for his seventh start of the season.The 25-year-old has an ERA of 5.16 and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .306 in six games this season.His team won his only start as an underdog this season.In games Povich has started, his team is 3-3.In games Povich has started this season, the teams are 3-3-0 at hitting the over.
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Twins vs. Orioles Stats
Twins
Orioles
3.8
Runs Scored (PG)
3.9
23
MLB Rank (RPG)
20
3.8
Runs Allowed (PG)
5.6
8
MLB Rank (RAPG)
28
.236
Batting AVG
.227
22
MLB Rank (BA)
26
.240
Batting AVG Against
.287
14
MLB Rank (BAA)
29
28
Home Runs
42
23
MLB Rank (HR)
9
36
Home Runs Allowed
51
17
MLB Rank (HRA)
30
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