For the 22nd consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction, as well as MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Cincinnati Reds.
Batters
Much like during the 2020 COVID season, the 2025 Reds finished just above .500, barely squeaked into the playoffs, and got bounced from the Wild Card round in two games. At least this time around, they actually scored runs! But the lineup was a recurring problem in the regular season, the biggest reason Cincy needed a late-summer collapse by the Mets in order to play October baseball. The lineup’s 13.2 WAR ranked 26th in baseball, with Elly De La Cruz and TJ Friedl combining for more than half of that total. Finishing 21st in home runs isn’t good for a team that plays in one of the best home run parks in the majors today.
Surprisingly exactly nobody, EDLC gets an extremely solid 2026 ZiPS projection. This season wasn’t quite on the level of his 2024 breakout, but slipping from MVP candidate to superstar isn’t exactly a Wile E. Coyote-esque ravine fall. He’s never going to be an ultra-scientific hitter, and a mediocre contact rate prevents him from hitting for impressive batting averages, but a shortstop who’s capable of a 30/30 season and can more than handle the position defensively is going to hard-pressed not to be a star.
It is worth noting that De La Cruz played through nagging quad and hamstring problems, which no doubt hampered his production. The exact effect is hard to determine, but his performance took a big hit in the second half. Those injuries may not have been severe enough to merit an IL stint, but given his size and the fact that he’s got a lot of aging to come, I think De La Cruz’s speed and defense might go quickly if he ever suffers a more serious leg injury. If that were to happen, he might end up with Alfonso Soriano’s career path and become a more traditional slugging outfielder, though he’s better defensively at short than Soriano ever was. But let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves; that’s not really a concern right now.
Matt McLain’s offense did not seem to survive the 2024 shoulder injury that cost him the season, but like Steamer, ZiPS is projecting something of an offensive bounce-back in 2026, albeit one far less exciting than his .290/.357/.507 rookie year in 2023. Fortunately, his defense at second base did return, making 2025 far from a total loss in spite of his disappointing offensive results.
ZiPS sees Friedl as a legitimate starter in center for a couple more years, and thinks Sal Stewart is a decent role player who would be most valuable at third base. We can probably put to bed the idea of Ke’Bryan Hayes breaking out at the plate, but he’s an eternal Gold Glove favorite, so he can get away with unexciting offense.
The problem is that the Reds are unexciting offensively basically everywhere else. The ship appears to have sailed on Tyler Stephenson joining the star tier of catchers, and ZiPS isn’t very excited about Noelvi Marte in the outfield given his erratic career. Spencer Steer is a below-average offensive talent at first base and Gavin Lux is mostly interesting as a full-time starter if you can believe he can hack an infield spot. A team that desperately needs an impact bat and a DH — and that could contend with a better offense — is one that really should be in on Kyle Schwarber. Plus, he’s from the area! But I’m not banking on it.
Pitchers
The Reds’ pitching projections will be especially interesting to look back on in a year because there is a lot of disagreement here between ZiPS and Steamer. By and large, ZiPS likes the top of Cincinnati’s rotation quite a bit more than Steamer does, starting with Andrew Abbott. Mr. Szymborski’s Monster gives Abbott a full three-quarters of a run edge in ERA compared to Steamer; ZiPS also likes Hunter Greene a good bit better. Overall, this set of projections sees a rotation of Greene, Abbott, Brady Singer, Nick Lodolo, and Chase Burns as the starting five of a 90-win contender. Rhett Lowder certainly has upside as well, but ZiPS sees the depth falling off quite a bit after that. Given the team’s needs, a couple of pillow deals or dice roll starter signings might help, though considering the self-imposed financial constraints the front office typically operates under, offensive additions would be far more impactful.
ZiPS shares Steamer’s suspicions about Zack Littell. Littell has never been a big strikeout pitcher, and a roughly 25% dip in strikeout rate from season to season is a basement carbon monoxide detector alarm-level cause for immediate concern. But that’s a problem for his next team since, like Nick Martinez — who ZiPS likes a great deal more — he’s a free agent.
ZiPS might be higher on the rotation than Steamer, but the fringy high-minors starters who aren’t top prospects strike a much more sour note. And after Graham Ashcraft and Tony Santillan, ZiPS doesn’t see a single member of the current bullpen with an ERA better than 4.50, and most project at or below replacement level. Emilio Pagán, a pitcher ZiPS has long been skeptical of, had a legitimately solid 2025, such that it’s giving him basically his best projection ever… just in time for him to hit free agency after two seasons in Cincy. I don’t usually advocate for a miserly team to spend their limited free agent budget on relievers, but I really do think that this ‘pen is weak enough and the team competitive enough that some investment here would be highly useful.
As they are constructed right now, ZiPS sees the Reds about where they were in 2025: floating around .500. To control their own playoff fate, they’ll need ownership to invest more in the team. I’m not optimistic about that.
Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time. The final team projections may differ considerably from our Depth Chart playing time.
Batters – Standard
Player
B
Age
PO
PA
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI
BB
SO
SB
CS
Elly De La Cruz
B
24
SS
656
589
100
154
30
7
23
87
62
174
40
10
Matt McLain
R
26
2B
569
502
73
119
23
2
17
64
55
158
18
3
Sal Stewart
R
22
3B
536
486
72
125
26
0
19
76
40
101
10
2
TJ Friedl
L
30
CF
592
508
67
122
19
4
12
60
61
99
13
3
Ke’Bryan Hayes
R
29
3B
507
467
51
112
17
2
9
50
34
101
11
3
Tyler Stephenson
R
29
C
431
380
50
89
19
1
14
55
43
121
0
1
Blake Dunn
R
27
CF
489
422
64
101
14
2
9
54
44
136
18
3
Will Benson
L
28
RF
429
376
58
86
16
4
16
55
45
128
11
4
Austin Hays
R
30
LF
442
403
61
102
23
2
16
57
30
113
6
1
Jose Trevino
R
33
C
268
250
26
58
11
1
5
25
14
39
0
0
Spencer Steer
R
28
1B
591
526
67
124
27
2
19
76
55
126
10
2
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
R
26
3B
446
414
53
100
22
2
18
67
22
118
1
2
Davis Wendzel
R
29
SS
407
365
43
77
15
0
13
48
33
91
2
1
Rece Hinds
R
25
CF
482
445
63
105
22
3
20
69
28
165
14
5
Levi Jordan
R
30
SS
410
373
48
87
17
1
7
44
26
78
9
2
Gavin Lux
L
28
DH
465
413
54
106
22
3
8
43
49
100
3
1
Tyler Callihan
L
26
2B
379
341
38
78
14
3
8
40
28
109
11
3
Francisco Urbaez
R
28
2B
396
358
44
90
19
2
5
41
29
57
3
3
Michael Trautwein
L
26
C
263
235
27
44
9
1
6
27
22
96
2
1
Edwin Arroyo
B
22
SS
547
504
55
129
21
3
4
50
28
108
7
5
Carlos Jorge
L
22
CF
475
431
57
92
18
3
8
46
31
126
19
4
Miguel Andujar
R
31
3B
400
375
42
102
20
1
10
49
21
56
3
1
Bryson Brigman
R
31
2B
320
294
37
73
10
1
4
30
18
65
5
2
P.J. Higgins
R
33
C
400
368
34
86
18
1
6
41
25
98
0
1
Ivan Johnson
B
27
LF
342
306
42
63
13
2
9
39
29
112
8
2
Connor Burns
R
24
C
325
293
28
47
10
1
9
31
24
151
0
0
Santiago Espinal
R
31
3B
345
315
30
76
13
0
3
28
23
45
4
2
Mat Nelson
R
27
C
292
257
25
44
6
0
6
30
22
94
1
0
Noelvi Marte
R
24
RF
466
429
57
108
19
2
13
57
29
103
13
5
Edwin RÃos
L
32
1B
448
401
50
85
19
1
17
55
39
166
0
1
Leo Balcazar
R
22
SS
578
527
60
122
17
1
11
60
35
95
4
4
Will Banfield
R
26
C
362
338
33
71
14
1
7
38
16
103
0
0
Eric Yang
R
28
C
126
113
8
22
4
0
1
10
10
41
0
0
Connor Joe
R
33
DH
359
313
41
68
17
2
5
31
39
82
5
4
Ruben Ibarra
R
27
1B
409
368
37
74
13
0
16
55
30
125
0
0
Héctor RodrÃguez
L
22
LF
582
549
73
134
20
4
15
67
26
99
8
5
Ryan McCrystal
L
23
C
341
312
34
68
17
2
3
31
15
84
0
1
Dominic Pitelli
L
24
2B
390
355
37
70
11
3
3
27
28
138
14
4
Cade Hunter
L
25
C
354
318
35
59
9
0
6
32
28
122
3
1
Cam Collier
L
21
1B
455
407
49
89
19
1
9
47
42
139
0
1
Logan Tanner
R
25
C
224
201
19
32
7
1
3
15
20
83
0
0
Johnny Ascanio
B
22
2B
349
299
30
61
8
1
3
28
28
74
3
2
Jay Allen II
R
23
CF
476
424
49
84
13
2
8
49
33
135
15
7
Anthony Stephan
L
23
LF
381
341
35
71
17
1
7
41
28
100
4
1
Ethan O’Donnell
L
24
CF
478
423
51
91
10
3
8
45
33
144
12
3
Trey Faltine
R
25
2B
166
149
13
23
5
1
1
11
10
85
3
1
Jack Moss
L
24
DH
204
185
17
42
6
0
0
14
15
47
0
0
Alexander Vargas
B
24
SS
413
387
42
81
13
4
7
37
19
104
12
7
Ricky Cabrera
R
21
3B
351
318
33
66
12
2
5
37
17
101
4
4
Austin Callahan
L
25
3B
359
331
32
64
15
1
4
29
21
123
4
2
Victor Acosta
B
22
2B
414
362
38
68
11
2
2
35
27
106
7
3
Jack Rogers
L
27
RF
364
333
33
72
13
3
6
35
24
134
2
2
Carlos Sanchez
B
21
C
260
233
25
44
7
0
1
17
23
89
1
2
Peyton Stovall
L
23
2B
294
264
23
47
10
0
2
20
26
64
5
1
John Michael Faile
R
26
1B
352
332
31
69
14
1
11
42
15
129
0
1
Austin Hendrick
L
25
RF
436
404
39
78
13
0
13
49
23
178
6
3
Carter Graham
R
24
3B
395
365
37
71
13
1
7
40
18
116
5
2
Esmith Pineda
R
21
RF
459
414
43
85
19
1
7
45
29
131
2
1
Myles Smith
L
23
LF
278
242
23
39
5
0
2
18
26
79
7
3
Yerlin Confidan
L
23
RF
453
417
41
81
19
3
5
37
31
150
5
4
Ariel Almonte
L
22
RF
432
401
36
68
16
1
11
41
28
175
1
1
Batters – Advanced
Player
PA
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS+
ISO
BABIP
Def
WAR
wOBA
3YOPS+
RC
Elly De La Cruz
656
.261
.334
.453
111
.192
.334
0
4.5
.338
113
101
Matt McLain
569
.237
.319
.392
92
.155
.312
6
2.8
.313
93
68
Sal Stewart
536
.257
.319
.428
100
.171
.290
4
2.8
.324
104
69
TJ Friedl
592
.240
.335
.364
90
.124
.277
-1
2.0
.312
88
66
Ke’Bryan Hayes
507
.240
.296
.343
73
.103
.289
13
1.8
.282
72
51
Tyler Stephenson
431
.234
.318
.400
93
.166
.306
-4
1.5
.314
89
49
Blake Dunn
489
.239
.331
.346
84
.107
.332
-1
1.5
.305
86
53
Will Benson
429
.229
.315
.420
97
.191
.302
3
1.3
.319
96
54
Austin Hays
442
.253
.308
.439
100
.186
.314
0
1.2
.320
97
56
Jose Trevino
268
.232
.273
.344
66
.112
.257
9
1.2
.270
62
24
Spencer Steer
591
.236
.316
.403
94
.167
.276
0
1.1
.316
94
70
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
446
.242
.289
.435
93
.193
.295
-3
1.1
.311
93
53
Davis Wendzel
407
.211
.287
.359
74
.148
.245
2
1.0
.286
72
38
Rece Hinds
482
.236
.286
.434
92
.198
.327
-6
0.9
.308
96
60
Levi Jordan
410
.233
.296
.340
72
.107
.278
0
0.8
.283
70
40
Gavin Lux
465
.257
.335
.383
95
.126
.321
0
0.8
.317
91
54
Tyler Callihan
379
.229
.292
.358
75
.129
.313
2
0.8
.286
76
39
Francisco Urbaez
396
.251
.311
.358
81
.106
.287
-1
0.6
.294
81
42
Michael Trautwein
263
.187
.270
.311
57
.123
.286
5
0.6
.261
60
21
Edwin Arroyo
547
.256
.300
.333
72
.077
.319
-2
0.4
.279
72
54
Carlos Jorge
475
.213
.273
.325
62
.111
.283
5
0.4
.265
68
44
Miguel Andujar
400
.272
.313
.411
94
.139
.298
-10
0.4
.313
89
49
Bryson Brigman
320
.248
.300
.330
71
.082
.307
0
0.2
.280
69
31
P.J. Higgins
400
.234
.286
.337
68
.103
.303
-3
0.2
.275
63
36
Ivan Johnson
342
.206
.284
.350
71
.144
.292
4
0.2
.280
74
33
Connor Burns
325
.160
.227
.294
40
.133
.286
8
0.1
.231
47
19
Santiago Espinal
345
.241
.295
.311
65
.070
.273
1
0.0
.270
65
31
Mat Nelson
292
.171
.261
.265
43
.093
.242
3
0.0
.242
44
18
Noelvi Marte
466
.252
.305
.396
88
.145
.304
-6
-0.1
.305
91
57
Edwin RÃos
448
.212
.288
.392
82
.180
.312
0
-0.1
.296
76
46
Leo Balcazar
578
.231
.286
.330
67
.099
.264
-5
-0.1
.273
71
52
Will Banfield
362
.210
.249
.320
53
.109
.281
2
-0.1
.248
57
27
Eric Yang
126
.195
.278
.257
47
.062
.296
-1
-0.2
.247
48
8
Connor Joe
359
.217
.315
.332
76
.115
.279
0
-0.2
.292
74
35
Ruben Ibarra
409
.201
.276
.367
73
.166
.256
3
-0.2
.282
75
37
Héctor RodrÃguez
582
.244
.281
.377
76
.133
.274
1
-0.2
.285
81
62
Ryan McCrystal
341
.218
.262
.314
56
.096
.289
-1
-0.3
.254
59
26
Dominic Pitelli
390
.197
.259
.270
44
.073
.313
6
-0.3
.239
45
29
Cade Hunter
354
.186
.263
.270
46
.085
.279
1
-0.4
.244
52
24
Cam Collier
455
.219
.297
.337
72
.118
.309
3
-0.4
.281
78
41
Logan Tanner
224
.159
.234
.249
31
.090
.252
2
-0.5
.220
33
12
Johnny Ascanio
349
.204
.283
.268
51
.064
.261
0
-0.6
.252
53
24
Jay Allen II
476
.198
.275
.295
55
.097
.270
0
-0.6
.256
60
40
Anthony Stephan
381
.208
.282
.326
65
.117
.274
0
-0.6
.271
70
33
Ethan O’Donnell
478
.215
.282
.310
61
.095
.306
-4
-0.7
.264
64
41
Trey Faltine
166
.154
.221
.221
21
.067
.349
1
-0.8
.203
24
8
Jack Moss
204
.227
.284
.259
49
.032
.304
0
-0.8
.247
50
14
Alexander Vargas
413
.209
.250
.318
53
.109
.268
-3
-0.9
.248
59
36
Ricky Cabrera
351
.208
.268
.305
55
.097
.288
-3
-0.9
.256
62
28
Austin Callahan
359
.193
.244
.281
42
.088
.294
3
-1.0
.232
46
24
Victor Acosta
414
.188
.270
.246
42
.058
.260
1
-1.0
.239
46
27
Jack Rogers
364
.216
.273
.327
62
.111
.342
-2
-1.0
.265
64
31
Carlos Sanchez
260
.189
.262
.232
36
.043
.301
-4
-1.1
.228
45
15
Peyton Stovall
294
.178
.255
.239
35
.061
.227
-4
-1.4
.227
42
17
John Michael Faile
352
.208
.250
.355
62
.148
.302
-4
-1.4
.263
65
30
Austin Hendrick
436
.193
.245
.322
52
.129
.305
1
-1.4
.250
57
34
Carter Graham
395
.195
.246
.293
46
.099
.264
-4
-1.5
.239
52
28
Esmith Pineda
459
.205
.268
.307
56
.101
.283
-3
-1.6
.256
61
35
Myles Smith
278
.161
.255
.207
28
.045
.230
0
-1.6
.219
32
15
Yerlin Confidan
453
.194
.254
.290
48
.096
.290
1
-1.8
.243
52
33
Ariel Almonte
432
.170
.225
.297
40
.127
.265
-1
-2.3
.230
49
27
Batters – Top Near-Age Offensive Comps
Batters – 80th/20th Percentiles
Player
80th BA
80th OBP
80th SLG
80th OPS+
80th WAR
20th BA
20th OBP
20th SLG
20th OPS+
20th WAR
Elly De La Cruz
.287
.362
.510
132
6.3
.236
.311
.404
94
3.0
Matt McLain
.263
.343
.445
110
4.2
.211
.292
.347
72
1.5
Sal Stewart
.286
.349
.479
120
4.2
.234
.296
.374
81
1.4
TJ Friedl
.263
.361
.407
107
3.3
.218
.312
.324
74
0.8
Ke’Bryan Hayes
.264
.321
.382
89
2.9
.214
.271
.299
56
0.7
Tyler Stephenson
.259
.342
.445
111
2.4
.205
.293
.339
73
0.4
Blake Dunn
.265
.355
.389
101
2.5
.211
.302
.301
65
0.2
Will Benson
.253
.340
.479
117
2.4
.205
.290
.371
79
0.4
Austin Hays
.280
.333
.487
118
2.2
.223
.278
.386
78
0.0
Jose Trevino
.264
.309
.393
86
1.8
.203
.248
.293
47
0.4
Spencer Steer
.262
.338
.450
111
2.4
.213
.293
.352
77
-0.2
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
.265
.314
.493
113
2.2
.217
.266
.392
76
0.1
Davis Wendzel
.240
.313
.412
93
2.0
.188
.263
.314
56
0.0
Rece Hinds
.262
.317
.489
111
2.2
.208
.262
.385
72
-0.3
Levi Jordan
.259
.324
.388
90
1.7
.206
.273
.297
55
-0.1
Gavin Lux
.283
.359
.422
110
1.7
.227
.304
.341
75
-0.3
Tyler Callihan
.257
.318
.417
97
1.8
.202
.266
.315
56
-0.1
Francisco Urbaez
.280
.338
.396
98
1.4
.222
.283
.318
64
-0.4
Michael Trautwein
.217
.299
.368
80
1.3
.156
.238
.261
37
-0.2
Edwin Arroyo
.286
.329
.372
89
1.7
.229
.273
.298
55
-0.7
Carlos Jorge
.239
.300
.369
79
1.6
.189
.250
.289
46
-0.6
Miguel Andujar
.300
.339
.454
114
1.4
.244
.284
.367
78
-0.5
Bryson Brigman
.280
.330
.370
89
0.9
.220
.276
.289
54
-0.5
P.J. Higgins
.265
.315
.384
88
1.2
.208
.262
.301
52
-0.7
Ivan Johnson
.233
.312
.400
90
1.1
.177
.257
.304
54
-0.5
Connor Burns
.190
.255
.348
63
1.0
.133
.192
.242
17
-0.8
Santiago Espinal
.272
.320
.351
82
0.8
.215
.265
.276
47
-0.7
Mat Nelson
.200
.291
.312
63
0.7
.145
.235
.222
25
-0.7
Noelvi Marte
.274
.329
.444
104
0.9
.226
.282
.352
73
-1.1
Edwin RÃos
.237
.312
.460
105
1.1
.183
.256
.344
63
-1.2
Leo Balcazar
.257
.316
.373
85
1.3
.203
.261
.288
50
-1.3
Will Banfield
.241
.277
.370
73
0.8
.183
.221
.276
35
-1.0
Eric Yang
.223
.312
.294
65
0.1
.161
.245
.221
30
-0.5
Connor Joe
.247
.341
.384
96
0.6
.191
.285
.282
56
-1.1
Ruben Ibarra
.232
.304
.421
93
0.8
.176
.248
.319
55
-1.1
Héctor RodrÃguez
.270
.305
.426
93
1.1
.218
.254
.336
57
-1.7
Ryan McCrystal
.252
.296
.364
77
0.7
.191
.235
.270
38
-1.0
Dominic Pitelli
.224
.284
.308
58
0.4
.169
.230
.231
26
-1.2
Cade Hunter
.219
.296
.317
65
0.5
.158
.237
.227
29
-1.1
Cam Collier
.244
.325
.394
93
0.8
.194
.270
.298
55
-1.4
Logan Tanner
.185
.262
.290
50
0.0
.133
.204
.207
13
-1.0
Johnny Ascanio
.235
.313
.311
68
0.3
.179
.258
.231
34
-1.3
Jay Allen II
.223
.298
.334
71
0.4
.173
.252
.257
38
-1.6
Anthony Stephan
.236
.309
.372
83
0.3
.177
.252
.279
44
-1.6
Ethan O’Donnell
.242
.309
.355
77
0.5
.188
.259
.270
45
-1.6
Trey Faltine
.184
.252
.273
42
-0.4
.123
.194
.176
2
-1.2
Jack Moss
.253
.312
.291
64
-0.5
.199
.255
.228
33
-1.3
Alexander Vargas
.234
.275
.367
72
0.1
.183
.225
.284
38
-1.8
Ricky Cabrera
.233
.294
.350
73
-0.2
.181
.241
.261
36
-1.8
Austin Callahan
.220
.269
.324
59
-0.2
.168
.216
.245
24
-1.8
Victor Acosta
.210
.293
.284
55
-0.2
.162
.247
.214
27
-1.8
Jack Rogers
.244
.299
.375
81
-0.1
.185
.244
.283
43
-1.8
Carlos Sanchez
.218
.296
.267
53
-0.5
.162
.233
.196
18
-1.8
Peyton Stovall
.209
.285
.286
55
-0.7
.157
.232
.210
23
-1.9
John Michael Faile
.230
.274
.402
79
-0.6
.185
.223
.306
42
-2.2
Austin Hendrick
.220
.273
.369
71
-0.4
.167
.220
.270
32
-2.6
Carter Graham
.221
.272
.345
64
-0.5
.168
.219
.257
30
-2.3
Esmith Pineda
.229
.292
.343
72
-0.6
.177
.241
.262
39
-2.6
Myles Smith
.189
.283
.246
43
-1.0
.136
.231
.177
14
-2.1
Yerlin Confidan
.220
.281
.321
62
-0.9
.170
.231
.247
31
-2.8
Ariel Almonte
.194
.252
.351
60
-1.3
.140
.199
.255
21
-3.4
Batters – Platoon Splits
Player
BA vs. L
OBP vs. L
SLG vs. L
BA vs. R
OBP vs. R
SLG vs. R
Elly De La Cruz
.260
.325
.442
.262
.340
.459
Matt McLain
.241
.332
.410
.235
.313
.384
Sal Stewart
.264
.331
.444
.254
.314
.421
TJ Friedl
.242
.333
.349
.240
.336
.370
Ke’Bryan Hayes
.254
.311
.377
.234
.289
.328
Tyler Stephenson
.244
.331
.420
.230
.312
.391
Blake Dunn
.244
.335
.363
.237
.329
.338
Will Benson
.212
.297
.372
.236
.323
.441
Austin Hays
.260
.319
.457
.250
.302
.431
Jose Trevino
.238
.279
.363
.229
.271
.335
Spencer Steer
.246
.330
.430
.231
.309
.389
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
.240
.290
.447
.242
.289
.428
Davis Wendzel
.218
.295
.376
.207
.283
.349
Rece Hinds
.240
.294
.447
.234
.282
.427
Levi Jordan
.246
.309
.365
.227
.289
.328
Gavin Lux
.235
.310
.363
.264
.344
.389
Tyler Callihan
.217
.272
.330
.234
.301
.370
Francisco Urbaez
.258
.323
.383
.248
.305
.345
Michael Trautwein
.186
.269
.314
.188
.270
.309
Edwin Arroyo
.258
.297
.350
.255
.301
.326
Carlos Jorge
.207
.265
.314
.216
.276
.329
Miguel Andujar
.283
.326
.442
.267
.306
.396
Bryson Brigman
.250
.306
.339
.247
.296
.324
P.J. Higgins
.239
.297
.342
.231
.280
.335
Ivan Johnson
.204
.282
.357
.207
.284
.346
Connor Burns
.172
.240
.310
.155
.221
.286
Santiago Espinal
.255
.308
.327
.234
.288
.302
Mat Nelson
.174
.258
.267
.170
.263
.263
Noelvi Marte
.257
.315
.419
.249
.299
.384
Edwin RÃos
.200
.270
.355
.216
.294
.405
Leo Balcazar
.236
.299
.348
.230
.280
.322
Will Banfield
.220
.260
.339
.205
.243
.309
Eric Yang
.190
.277
.238
.197
.278
.268
Connor Joe
.221
.328
.354
.215
.307
.320
Ruben Ibarra
.214
.288
.393
.195
.271
.355
Héctor RodrÃguez
.244
.274
.344
.244
.283
.391
Ryan McCrystal
.207
.244
.293
.222
.268
.322
Dominic Pitelli
.189
.247
.267
.200
.263
.272
Cade Hunter
.176
.255
.235
.189
.266
.283
Cam Collier
.209
.285
.309
.222
.301
.347
Logan Tanner
.169
.250
.262
.154
.227
.243
Johnny Ascanio
.202
.273
.258
.205
.287
.271
Jay Allen II
.197
.275
.307
.199
.275
.289
Anthony Stephan
.204
.275
.306
.210
.285
.333
Ethan O’Donnell
.204
.275
.296
.219
.284
.314
Trey Faltine
.149
.231
.191
.157
.216
.235
Jack Moss
.213
.255
.234
.232
.294
.268
Alexander Vargas
.213
.248
.320
.208
.251
.317
Ricky Cabrera
.208
.267
.333
.207
.269
.293
Austin Callahan
.181
.228
.255
.198
.250
.291
Victor Acosta
.188
.272
.241
.188
.269
.248
Jack Rogers
.211
.262
.326
.218
.278
.328
Carlos Sanchez
.194
.260
.224
.187
.262
.235
Peyton Stovall
.176
.244
.216
.179
.259
.247
John Michael Faile
.208
.250
.368
.208
.250
.350
Austin Hendrick
.190
.248
.294
.194
.244
.335
Carter Graham
.200
.252
.291
.192
.243
.294
Esmith Pineda
.207
.273
.310
.205
.266
.305
Myles Smith
.157
.253
.171
.163
.256
.221
Yerlin Confidan
.190
.248
.276
.196
.257
.296
Ariel Almonte
.160
.211
.255
.173
.230
.312
Pitchers – Standard
Player
T
Age
W
L
ERA
G
GS
IP
H
ER
HR
BB
SO
Andrew Abbott
L
27
9
8
3.80
30
30
166.0
156
70
20
48
148
Hunter Greene
R
26
8
6
3.55
24
24
137.0
100
54
16
43
159
Brady Singer
R
29
11
12
4.39
31
31
164.0
155
80
23
53
158
Chase Burns
R
23
7
6
3.78
27
21
104.7
92
44
14
28
123
Nick Martinez
R
35
10
9
4.26
39
20
137.3
137
65
15
38
104
Nick Lodolo
L
28
8
7
4.25
26
25
135.7
123
64
18
37
138
Zack Littell
R
30
7
9
4.69
29
26
153.7
162
80
27
31
117
Rhett Lowder
R
24
5
7
4.71
23
23
107.0
109
56
15
32
80
Graham Ashcraft
R
28
6
4
3.82
62
0
66.0
61
28
5
23
62
Emilio Pagán
R
35
3
3
3.95
58
0
57.0
46
25
8
19
60
Connor Phillips
R
25
4
6
4.92
38
12
78.7
70
43
11
41
83
Tony Santillan
R
29
3
3
4.24
69
0
63.7
55
30
7
29
66
Scott Barlow
R
33
4
4
4.30
64
1
60.7
51
29
7
31
67
Charlie Barnes 반즈
L
30
5
7
5.35
18
18
104.3
112
62
19
32
85
Lyon Richardson
R
26
3
4
4.86
42
8
74.0
71
40
9
36
64
Carson Spiers
R
28
4
6
5.22
22
13
91.3
95
53
14
35
73
Brandon Williamson
L
28
3
5
5.35
17
17
79.0
81
47
12
39
60
Jared Lyons
R
25
4
5
5.30
20
13
69.7
73
41
11
29
53
Julian Aguiar
R
25
3
6
5.42
20
18
91.3
98
55
15
29
61
Brent Suter
L
36
1
2
4.71
43
3
57.3
60
30
8
18
44
Chase Petty
R
23
7
12
5.51
27
26
117.7
122
72
17
52
88
Keegan Thompson
R
31
3
5
5.00
31
5
63.0
58
35
10
27
63
Jose Franco
R
25
4
7
5.48
26
21
87.0
89
53
15
42
76
Wade Miley
L
39
2
5
5.65
13
13
57.3
62
36
9
21
33
Ian Gibaut
R
32
2
3
4.61
42
0
41.0
42
21
5
16
34
Trevor Kuncl
R
27
2
2
4.70
44
0
44.0
44
23
6
14
37
T.J. Sikkema
L
27
4
6
5.55
21
13
71.3
75
44
11
25
50
Zach Maxwell
R
25
2
3
4.76
56
0
56.7
51
30
8
31
60
Sam Moll
L
34
2
2
4.83
48
0
41.0
37
22
5
19
40
Yosver Zulueta
R
28
2
3
5.01
44
2
59.3
53
33
8
30
61
Julian Garcia
R
31
1
2
5.92
8
4
24.3
26
16
5
12
23
Jose Acuna
R
23
4
8
5.63
20
19
72.0
74
45
12
31
56
Randy Wynne
R
33
2
5
5.56
18
12
66.3
79
41
12
16
34
Brandon Komar
R
27
3
5
5.46
25
8
84.0
94
51
13
29
52
Buck Farmer
R
35
2
4
4.94
47
0
51.0
49
28
7
24
45
Roddery Muñoz
R
26
4
6
5.46
35
10
84.0
80
51
16
41
86
Albert Abreu
R
30
1
1
5.51
25
1
32.7
33
20
4
20
27
Sam Benschoter
R
28
4
7
5.60
31
10
80.3
85
50
14
31
61
Evan Kravetz
L
29
2
3
5.44
29
2
43.0
45
26
7
22
36
Simon Miller
R
25
3
5
5.21
40
0
48.3
47
28
7
21
43
Alan Busenitz
R
35
2
4
5.63
30
1
38.3
44
24
7
13
27
Drew Parrish
L
28
4
6
5.84
26
13
81.7
90
53
15
33
54
Luis Mey
R
25
3
6
5.26
54
0
53.0
49
31
7
34
52
Kevin Abel
R
27
4
7
6.01
22
21
94.3
101
63
17
49
73
Donovan Benoit
R
27
1
3
5.76
21
1
45.3
47
29
7
24
35
Joel Valdez
L
26
1
3
5.88
29
3
52.0
51
34
8
27
47
Lenny Torres Jr.
R
25
2
2
5.60
43
0
45.0
44
28
6
29
41
Easton Sikorski
R
26
2
5
5.53
29
0
53.7
56
33
9
25
43
Hunter Parks
R
25
2
4
6.28
23
9
53.0
54
37
8
36
41
Carson Rudd
R
27
1
3
6.33
25
3
48.3
53
34
9
29
33
Brooks Crawford
R
29
2
4
5.91
27
0
45.7
50
30
8
22
33
Thomas Farr
R
27
3
6
6.33
22
14
75.3
87
53
14
29
40
Ryan Cardona
R
26
3
7
6.38
22
18
84.7
93
60
15
48
54
Arij Fransen
R
25
2
5
6.51
26
3
55.3
62
40
10
30
35
Pitchers – Advanced
Player
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BB%
K%
BABIP
ERA+
3ERA+
FIP
ERA-
WAR
Andrew Abbott
166.0
8.0
2.6
1.1
6.9%
21.3%
.287
112
111
3.89
89
3.0
Hunter Greene
137.0
10.4
2.8
1.1
7.8%
28.9%
.257
120
118
3.59
83
2.8
Brady Singer
164.0
8.7
2.9
1.3
7.7%
22.9%
.290
97
95
4.23
103
1.9
Chase Burns
104.7
10.6
2.4
1.2
6.5%
28.7%
.297
113
113
3.35
89
1.9
Nick Martinez
137.3
6.8
2.5
1.0
6.5%
17.9%
.290
100
94
4.01
100
1.8
Nick Lodolo
135.7
9.2
2.5
1.2
6.6%
24.6%
.288
101
99
4.07
99
1.7
Zack Littell
153.7
6.9
1.8
1.6
4.8%
18.2%
.289
91
90
4.65
110
1.3
Rhett Lowder
107.0
6.7
2.7
1.3
7.0%
17.6%
.287
91
94
4.56
110
0.9
Graham Ashcraft
66.0
8.5
3.1
0.7
8.2%
22.1%
.299
112
111
3.45
89
0.6
Emilio Pagán
57.0
9.5
3.0
1.3
8.2%
25.8%
.262
108
99
3.94
92
0.5
Connor Phillips
78.7
9.5
4.7
1.3
11.8%
23.9%
.285
87
92
4.66
115
0.3
Tony Santillan
63.7
9.3
4.1
1.0
10.5%
24.0%
.284
101
99
4.12
99
0.3
Scott Barlow
60.7
9.9
4.6
1.0
11.8%
25.5%
.284
99
93
4.19
101
0.2
Charlie Barnes
104.3
7.3
2.8
1.6
7.1%
18.8%
.297
80
79
4.99
125
0.2
Lyon Richardson
74.0
7.8
4.4
1.1
11.0%
19.5%
.288
88
90
4.64
114
0.2
Carson Spiers
91.3
7.2
3.4
1.4
8.8%
18.3%
.295
82
83
4.94
122
0.2
Brandon Williamson
79.0
6.8
4.4
1.4
11.0%
17.0%
.288
80
81
5.25
125
0.2
Jared Lyons
69.7
6.8
3.7
1.4
9.3%
17.0%
.291
81
85
5.03
124
0.1
Julian Aguiar
91.3
6.0
2.9
1.5
7.3%
15.3%
.287
79
83
5.18
127
0.1
Brent Suter
57.3
6.9
2.8
1.3
7.3%
17.8%
.295
91
83
4.49
110
0.1
Chase Petty
117.7
6.7
4.0
1.3
10.0%
16.9%
.291
77
83
5.00
129
0.1
Keegan Thompson
63.0
9.0
3.9
1.4
9.9%
23.1%
.282
85
83
4.75
117
0.0
Jose Franco
87.0
7.9
4.3
1.6
10.8%
19.5%
.292
78
82
5.24
128
0.0
Wade Miley
57.3
5.2
3.3
1.4
8.4%
13.1%
.283
76
72
5.31
132
0.0
Ian Gibaut
41.0
7.5
3.5
1.1
8.9%
19.0%
.301
93
88
4.41
108
0.0
Trevor Kuncl
44.0
7.6
2.9
1.2
7.4%
19.5%
.292
91
94
4.28
110
-0.1
T.J. Sikkema
71.3
6.3
3.2
1.4
8.1%
16.1%
.288
77
79
5.20
130
-0.1
Zach Maxwell
56.7
9.5
4.9
1.3
12.2%
23.6%
.289
90
95
4.58
112
-0.1
Sam Moll
41.0
8.8
4.2
1.1
10.6%
22.3%
.286
88
84
4.48
113
-0.1
Yosver Zulueta
59.3
9.3
4.6
1.2
11.5%
23.4%
.285
85
87
4.73
117
-0.1
Julian Garcia
24.3
8.5
4.4
1.8
10.8%
20.7%
.304
72
72
5.67
139
-0.1
Jose Acuna
72.0
7.0
3.9
1.5
9.8%
17.7%
.286
76
82
5.23
132
-0.1
Randy Wynne
66.3
4.6
2.2
1.6
5.5%
11.8%
.296
77
73
5.35
130
-0.1
Brandon Komar
84.0
5.6
3.1
1.4
7.9%
14.1%
.296
78
80
5.08
128
-0.1
Buck Farmer
51.0
7.9
4.2
1.2
10.7%
20.1%
.288
86
81
4.77
116
-0.2
Roddery Muñoz
84.0
9.2
4.4
1.7
11.0%
23.1%
.286
78
83
5.20
128
-0.2
Albert Abreu
32.7
7.4
5.5
1.1
13.2%
17.8%
.296
77
76
5.21
129
-0.2
Sam Benschoter
80.3
6.8
3.5
1.6
8.7%
17.1%
.290
76
78
5.29
131
-0.3
Evan Kravetz
43.0
7.5
4.6
1.5
11.3%
18.5%
.297
78
78
5.28
128
-0.3
Simon Miller
48.3
8.0
3.9
1.3
9.8%
20.1%
.288
82
87
4.69
122
-0.3
Alan Busenitz
38.3
6.3
3.1
1.6
7.6%
15.9%
.303
76
71
5.22
132
-0.3
Drew Parrish
81.7
6.0
3.6
1.7
9.1%
14.9%
.288
73
74
5.55
137
-0.4
Luis Mey
53.0
8.8
5.8
1.2
13.8%
21.1%
.290
81
85
5.13
123
-0.4
Kevin Abel
94.3
7.0
4.7
1.6
11.3%
16.9%
.293
71
74
5.68
141
-0.4
Donovan Benoit
45.3
6.9
4.8
1.4
11.5%
16.8%
.290
74
76
5.55
135
-0.5
Joel Valdez
52.0
8.1
4.7
1.4
11.3%
19.7%
.291
73
77
5.43
138
-0.5
Lenny Torres Jr.
45.0
8.2
5.8
1.2
13.7%
19.4%
.295
76
80
5.21
131
-0.5
Easton Sikorski
53.7
7.2
4.2
1.5
10.3%
17.7%
.292
77
80
5.25
130
-0.6
Hunter Parks
53.0
7.0
6.1
1.4
14.3%
16.3%
.288
68
72
6.01
147
-0.6
Carson Rudd
48.3
6.1
5.4
1.7
12.8%
14.6%
.289
67
69
6.20
148
-0.7
Brooks Crawford
45.7
6.5
4.3
1.6
10.6%
15.9%
.296
72
72
5.57
139
-0.7
Thomas Farr
75.3
4.8
3.5
1.7
8.5%
11.8%
.289
67
69
6.03
148
-0.7
Ryan Cardona
84.7
5.7
5.1
1.6
12.3%
13.8%
.288
67
70
6.10
149
-0.8
Arij Fransen
55.3
5.7
4.9
1.6
11.6%
13.6%
.291
66
69
6.15
152
-0.9
Pitchers – Top Near-Age Comps
Pitchers – Splits and Percentile
Player
BA vs. L
OBP vs. L
SLG vs. L
BA vs. R
OBP vs. R
SLG vs. R
80th WAR
20th WAR
80th ERA
20th ERA
Andrew Abbott
.239
.285
.344
.246
.304
.416
3.8
1.9
3.34
4.33
Hunter Greene
.198
.285
.346
.208
.282
.349
3.7
1.7
3.00
4.20
Brady Singer
.252
.332
.458
.235
.287
.359
2.9
0.7
3.86
5.09
Chase Burns
.236
.292
.413
.216
.255
.352
2.9
0.8
2.82
4.92
Nick Martinez
.250
.312
.398
.261
.306
.407
2.6
0.9
3.71
4.87
Nick Lodolo
.246
.318
.339
.234
.304
.413
2.6
0.8
3.70
4.94
Zack Littell
.266
.308
.461
.267
.305
.466
2.2
0.4
4.14
5.23
Rhett Lowder
.260
.335
.475
.259
.304
.386
1.6
0.2
4.17
5.33
Graham Ashcraft
.217
.291
.292
.254
.316
.399
1.1
0.0
3.23
4.62
Emilio Pagán
.227
.306
.432
.218
.277
.361
1.1
-0.3
3.07
5.16
Connor Phillips
.230
.341
.403
.235
.328
.389
1.0
-0.5
4.26
5.89
Tony Santillan
.250
.356
.393
.211
.292
.352
1.0
-0.5
3.48
5.18
Scott Barlow
.230
.345
.380
.222
.313
.365
0.9
-0.8
3.37
5.84
Charlie Barnes
.263
.323
.441
.271
.329
.482
0.9
-0.6
4.70
6.16
Lyon Richardson
.246
.348
.413
.248
.327
.403
0.6
-0.5
4.36
5.72
Carson Spiers
.274
.349
.473
.247
.320
.410
0.8
-0.5
4.61
5.85
Brandon Williamson
.266
.346
.404
.258
.348
.461
0.7
-0.4
4.81
6.03
Jared Lyons
.264
.347
.434
.265
.327
.469
0.5
-0.3
4.79
5.89
Julian Aguiar
.261
.344
.491
.276
.326
.433
0.6
-0.4
4.91
5.97
Brent Suter
.243
.299
.414
.274
.331
.439
0.5
-0.4
3.90
5.66
Chase Petty
.262
.336
.416
.260
.340
.457
0.6
-0.7
5.12
6.13
Keegan Thompson
.252
.344
.450
.231
.313
.400
0.6
-0.7
4.25
6.16
Jose Franco
.266
.356
.487
.253
.333
.426
0.5
-0.7
5.00
6.26
Wade Miley
.240
.309
.400
.284
.350
.477
0.3
-0.4
5.03
6.28
Ian Gibaut
.256
.333
.385
.259
.326
.447
0.3
-0.4
3.92
5.46
Trevor Kuncl
.256
.312
.477
.250
.309
.364
0.3
-0.4
4.09
5.48
T.J. Sikkema
.250
.333
.424
.272
.346
.466
0.3
-0.6
5.02
6.26
Zach Maxwell
.250
.350
.390
.220
.311
.407
0.4
-0.6
4.04
5.63
Sam Moll
.213
.294
.344
.255
.360
.436
0.4
-0.6
3.87
6.22
Yosver Zulueta
.233
.355
.437
.236
.326
.366
0.4
-0.6
4.29
5.94
Julian Garcia
.277
.382
.489
.255
.328
.490
0.1
-0.3
5.20
7.06
Jose Acuna
.254
.340
.451
.266
.338
.455
0.3
-0.7
5.14
6.35
Randy Wynne
.282
.338
.508
.295
.329
.490
0.3
-0.5
5.03
6.15
Brandon Komar
.295
.358
.523
.263
.321
.416
0.3
-0.7
4.96
6.04
Buck Farmer
.264
.369
.437
.236
.309
.400
0.3
-0.7
4.12
6.10
Roddery Muñoz
.268
.360
.523
.226
.313
.395
0.5
-1.0
4.77
6.34
Albert Abreu
.255
.397
.455
.260
.345
.397
0.0
-0.6
4.85
6.68
Sam Benschoter
.270
.354
.496
.263
.327
.441
0.3
-0.9
4.99
6.43
Evan Kravetz
.259
.344
.407
.265
.356
.470
0.1
-0.7
4.78
6.39
Simon Miller
.264
.343
.418
.235
.315
.429
0.1
-0.7
4.55
5.90
Alan Busenitz
.288
.358
.466
.274
.319
.500
-0.1
-0.7
4.87
6.70
Drew Parrish
.270
.345
.440
.275
.341
.498
0.1
-1.0
5.34
6.55
Luis Mey
.268
.385
.495
.213
.333
.315
0.0
-0.9
4.60
6.13
Kevin Abel
.257
.356
.430
.278
.358
.505
0.1
-1.1
5.48
6.68
Donovan Benoit
.259
.370
.447
.266
.358
.447
-0.2
-0.9
5.16
6.55
Joel Valdez
.243
.357
.371
.254
.361
.463
0.0
-0.9
5.11
6.70
Lenny Torres Jr.
.256
.365
.439
.240
.357
.385
-0.2
-0.9
5.08
6.40
Easton Sikorski
.260
.351
.448
.265
.336
.462
-0.2
-1.0
5.02
6.22
Hunter Parks
.263
.388
.411
.252
.374
.452
-0.2
-1.0
5.68
7.10
Carson Rudd
.278
.389
.500
.269
.358
.462
-0.4
-1.2
5.73
7.23
Brooks Crawford
.279
.374
.465
.268
.339
.474
-0.4
-1.2
5.19
6.84
Thomas Farr
.287
.368
.510
.279
.349
.473
-0.2
-1.2
5.75
6.96
Ryan Cardona
.261
.357
.446
.284
.381
.503
-0.3
-1.4
5.86
7.09
Arij Fransen
.268
.368
.454
.281
.372
.492
-0.5
-1.3
5.88
7.25
Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2026 due to injury, and players who were released in 2025. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Ambient Math-Rock Trip-Hop Yacht Metal band that only performs in abandoned malls, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.16.
Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR. It is important to remember that ZiPS is agnostic about playing time, and has no information about, for example, how quickly a team will call up a prospect or what veteran has fallen into disfavor.
As always, incorrect projections are either caused by misinformation, a non-pragmatic reality, or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter or on BlueSky. This last is, however, not an actual requirement.