For the 22nd consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction, as well as MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Detroit Tigers.
Batters
This year was like two very different seasons in one for the Detroit Tigers. Through July 8, their high-water mark in 2025, the Tigers had the best record in baseball, and held an imposing 14 game lead over the Twins and Royals. Over the final three months of the season, however, they barely played .400 ball, and won less often than any of the White Sox, Pirates, or Nationals. While the threats from the Twins and the Royals didn’t prove to be fatal, the Guardians made up a 15 1/2 game gap to grab the division at the last moment, and the Tigers just barely snuck into the postseason on the strength of a tiebreaker with the Astros. By comparison, the humiliations of the 1978 Red Sox and 1969 Cubs (nine games) were minor. While the Tigers were able to get revenge against the Guardians in the Wild Card round, they were bounced by the Mariners in a 15-inning Game 5 nail-biter in the ALDS. But in what might end up being Tarik Skubal’s final season with the team, the Tigers don’t have much time to brood on the summer of 2025.
Detroit’s lineup is fairly solid despite lacking any true stars. In a lot of ways, the Tigers are a team largely made up of role players, but they actually fit together quite well. They have competent defensive players up the middle, nobody is really forced to play too often at a position they shouldn’t, and the platoon options largely make sense. And there’s arguably a viable injury replacement at every position.
Riley Greene is the closest thing the lineup has to a star, and he’s still younger than his service time would suggest — he just turned 25 a couple of months ago — so that long-predicted big breakout could still happen. However, his defense in left is rather unexciting for a player who was an adequate center fielder, and his plate discipline took a troubling step back in 2025. Spencer Torkelson finally put up a full league-average season in the majors, and at this point, an OPS anywhere between .600 and .900 wouldn’t surprise me. People on social media were oddly annoyed with the positive Dillon Dingler projection last year, but I think he demonstrated that he can actually hit major league pitching and is a real plus defensively.
Gleyber Torres accepted the team’s qualifying offer earlier this week, so he’ll return to play second base. Colt Keith looks to head a committee at third base, while Jace Jung might be a trade candidate, as he’s without much of a path to another chance in the majors in Detroit. ZiPS, like Steamer, isn’t in on Javier Báez, and largely attributes his temporary bounce-back in 2025 to him outperforming his peripheral data by about the same amount he underperformed his peripherals in 2024. ZiPS really, really wants the Tigers to call up Kevin McGonigle and Max Clark sooner rather than later, especially with the computer fairly grumpy about Wenceel Pérez.
Honestly, the Tigers are a hard lineup to upgrade because they’re not actually abysmal anywhere. I don’t expect any huge changes here over the next three months.
Pitchers
Skubal is basically the superstar on the Tigers right now. If you’ve somehow spent the last three years living on the moon, locked in a box, with earplugs in and the greatest hits of Creed playing full blast while your ears slowly disintegrate into primordial ooze as you beseech every creator you can think of for the sweet release of oblivion, one glance at Skubal’s top three comps should indicate just how good he is right now. Skubal’s 5.5-WAR projection is the highest since Chris Sale in 2019 (let’s not look up what happened to Sale at that point). It’s going to require a lot of Skooby Snacks to keep him in town for more than another year. If Skubal has another Cy Young season and doesn’t appear to be close to a mega-deal before next year’s seemingly inevitable lockout, I wonder if he’d be receptive to the Tigers offering something like 1/50 for 2027 in order to hit free agency under a new CBA.
Skubal is the straw that stirs the rotation’s drink, but the rest of the starters form a decent supporting cast. ZiPS sees Jack Flaherty, Casey Mize, Reese Olson, and Troy Melton as all being slightly above-average starting pitchers, and Keider Montero and Sawyer Gipson-Long aren’t that far off. ZiPS thinks Brant Hurter is also a viable starting option, should he be needed. Losing Skubal to an injury or a trade would be a huge hit to the rotation, as it would be for any team that employed Skubal, but without their Cy Young winner, the Tigers wouldn’t collapse and suddenly be the Rockies or anything.
Hanifee, Holton, Hurter & Horn sounds like a great late-inning law firm. Add Will Vest at the top, and you have a good-but-not-great bullpen. ZiPS thinks the Tigers could use a few arms at the back end of the ‘pen for 2026, perhaps Gipson-Long if he’s not called on to start due to injuries. Jason Foley will be an interesting reclamation project for someone if his shoulder is sound next season.
All told, despite last season’s summer swoon, the Tigers are probably the most complete AL Central team, and ought to go into the season as at least the moderate favorite.
Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time. The final team projections may differ considerably from our Depth Chart playing time.
Batters – Standard
Player
B
Age
PO
PA
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI
BB
SO
SB
CS
Riley Greene
L
25
LF
619
557
83
149
29
3
29
98
54
168
3
2
Gleyber Torres
R
29
2B
631
548
79
143
25
1
18
72
72
108
6
3
Dillon Dingler
R
27
C
432
393
48
96
20
2
13
61
29
110
1
1
Kevin McGonigle
L
21
SS
399
351
56
89
23
2
13
57
40
51
6
4
Max Clark
L
21
CF
560
490
77
119
17
4
14
64
65
114
10
1
Jahmai Jones
R
28
LF
373
319
54
80
19
4
11
51
41
86
7
3
Spencer Torkelson
R
26
1B
645
565
85
137
31
1
31
96
68
165
2
0
Jace Jung
L
25
3B
546
474
65
107
24
1
18
69
66
140
3
2
Hao-Yu Lee
R
23
3B
532
476
68
114
21
5
13
64
43
112
12
3
Max Anderson
R
24
2B
531
495
69
126
26
2
16
73
26
92
2
2
Parker Meadows
L
26
CF
485
431
62
101
18
6
13
58
45
118
13
3
Kerry Carpenter
L
28
RF
466
428
60
112
20
3
24
81
30
110
2
2
Colt Keith
L
24
DH
525
471
71
125
28
2
16
71
47
115
2
1
Jake Rogers
R
31
C
274
246
34
53
12
1
9
36
23
81
0
0
Trey Sweeney
L
26
SS
474
426
59
97
17
2
13
55
41
126
10
3
Zach McKinstry
L
31
3B
451
403
56
98
18
6
10
43
39
97
15
3
Akil Baddoo
L
27
CF
469
414
61
97
18
5
14
57
51
120
17
5
Justyn-Henry Malloy
R
26
1B
505
426
63
106
23
0
14
65
67
126
3
1
Josue Briceño
L
21
C
464
409
56
91
13
3
15
64
47
106
0
1
Seth Stephenson
R
25
CF
504
450
75
113
16
5
6
62
25
101
28
6
Carlos Mendoza
L
26
3B
438
374
58
91
13
3
4
47
45
69
9
5
Jack Dunn
R
29
SS
381
326
42
72
11
2
4
37
42
80
10
3
John Peck
R
23
SS
487
454
66
113
20
3
8
56
27
143
12
5
Andy Ibáñez
R
33
3B
352
321
37
78
18
1
7
40
25
64
5
2
Corey Joyce
R
27
2B
373
322
40
73
14
2
4
39
40
94
7
2
Trei Cruz
B
27
SS
522
455
68
102
21
3
11
56
61
132
8
5
Ben Malgeri
R
26
RF
405
366
56
88
18
4
9
53
28
113
6
3
Matt Vierling
R
29
CF
438
396
52
98
17
3
11
47
35
101
5
2
Kevin Newman
R
32
3B
282
259
33
67
14
1
3
27
16
48
5
1
Tomás Nido
R
32
C
236
219
25
52
8
0
6
24
10
60
0
0
Gage Workman
L
26
SS
449
405
65
88
18
4
15
59
39
163
12
5
Wenceel Pérez
B
26
RF
456
412
59
99
19
5
12
56
36
96
10
4
Bligh Madris
L
30
1B
390
347
45
75
15
3
11
45
38
102
6
4
Jack Penney
L
23
2B
350
310
34
63
11
2
5
33
33
96
3
1
Jake Holton
R
28
1B
446
395
55
88
17
1
13
59
40
117
2
1
Chris Meyers
L
27
LF
404
368
49
87
16
1
12
55
28
103
2
1
David Hensley
R
30
1B
365
317
50
68
16
2
7
35
45
111
7
2
Eduardo Valencia
R
26
1B
400
364
49
88
15
1
16
60
28
89
0
0
Javier Báez
R
33
SS
420
397
47
94
18
2
11
53
15
101
6
1
Thayron Liranzo
B
22
C
422
377
46
73
16
0
11
44
41
138
0
0
Peyton Graham
R
25
2B
371
336
43
73
16
1
5
40
26
99
9
1
Stephen Scott
L
29
C
305
274
35
57
11
2
8
33
26
76
4
1
Danny Serretti
B
26
3B
334
297
32
61
13
1
4
32
29
86
3
2
Justice Bigbie
R
27
LF
477
435
54
112
18
1
9
55
34
91
2
2
Brian Serven
R
31
C
255
229
23
46
8
0
3
21
22
76
0
0
Izaac Pacheco
L
23
3B
450
404
56
81
18
2
12
52
41
166
1
1
Brett Callahan
L
24
RF
266
243
32
54
9
2
7
35
14
72
6
2
Andrew Navigato
R
28
SS
410
373
53
80
17
2
13
56
27
113
8
6
Austin Murr
L
27
LF
363
325
41
71
16
3
7
42
29
84
5
2
Jackson Strong
L
22
CF
420
380
46
75
15
3
7
43
31
150
10
3
Archer Brookman
R
27
C
224
202
23
39
7
0
3
20
14
52
1
0
Woody Hadeen
B
23
SS
481
430
61
90
14
2
5
52
32
102
17
4
Manuel Margot
R
31
DH
299
275
31
68
13
1
4
31
19
53
4
2
Patrick Lee
R
26
RF
341
304
36
55
11
2
6
34
30
152
19
5
Brady Allen
R
26
CF
417
377
42
77
18
2
9
46
32
138
3
2
Garrett Pennington
R
25
1B
406
379
50
84
24
1
10
50
17
98
3
3
Andrew Jenkins
R
25
1B
383
355
46
82
14
2
7
44
20
116
0
0
Roberto Campos
R
23
RF
440
407
45
92
21
3
6
46
27
122
4
1
Bennett Lee
R
24
C
227
203
17
26
6
0
3
17
20
96
0
0
Luke Gold
R
25
1B
382
352
44
73
16
2
9
49
18
112
2
1
Samuel Gil
R
21
2B
399
360
41
72
9
2
1
30
34
78
5
1
Abel Bastidas
B
22
2B
223
209
21
40
7
1
1
17
11
78
1
1
Reylin Perez
B
21
2B
231
209
19
37
10
1
2
17
14
103
5
3
Batters – Advanced
Player
PA
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS+
ISO
BABIP
Def
WAR
wOBA
3YOPS+
RC
Riley Greene
619
.268
.334
.487
125
.219
.333
3
3.1
.351
126
92
Gleyber Torres
631
.261
.348
.409
110
.148
.296
-2
2.7
.332
107
80
Dillon Dingler
432
.244
.308
.405
96
.160
.307
9
2.5
.310
98
50
Kevin McGonigle
399
.254
.329
.442
112
.188
.265
2
2.3
.333
117
54
Max Clark
560
.243
.334
.380
98
.137
.290
3
2.3
.317
103
65
Jahmai Jones
373
.251
.353
.439
119
.188
.311
6
2.1
.346
118
52
Spencer Torkelson
645
.242
.329
.465
118
.223
.287
0
2.1
.341
120
87
Jace Jung
546
.226
.322
.395
98
.169
.282
3
2.0
.315
101
62
Hao-Yu Lee
532
.239
.312
.387
93
.147
.288
6
1.9
.306
97
61
Max Anderson
531
.255
.298
.412
95
.158
.284
5
1.8
.305
97
62
Parker Meadows
485
.234
.308
.394
94
.160
.293
4
1.7
.306
98
56
Kerry Carpenter
466
.262
.318
.491
120
.229
.299
-1
1.7
.344
119
68
Colt Keith
525
.265
.333
.435
112
.170
.321
0
1.4
.333
114
69
Jake Rogers
274
.215
.286
.382
84
.167
.282
7
1.3
.292
79
27
Trey Sweeney
474
.228
.300
.369
85
.141
.293
2
1.3
.293
87
50
Zach McKinstry
451
.243
.316
.392
96
.149
.297
0
1.3
.309
95
54
Akil Baddoo
469
.234
.320
.403
100
.169
.296
-4
1.3
.316
100
59
Justyn-Henry Malloy
505
.249
.358
.401
112
.153
.322
-3
1.2
.337
114
62
Josue Briceño
464
.222
.308
.379
90
.156
.264
-2
1.2
.300
97
48
Seth Stephenson
504
.251
.317
.349
85
.098
.312
-1
1.0
.296
87
58
Carlos Mendoza
438
.243
.338
.326
87
.083
.289
1
1.0
.301
89
45
Jack Dunn
381
.221
.319
.304
75
.083
.281
3
0.9
.283
74
35
John Peck
487
.249
.296
.359
81
.110
.347
0
0.9
.287
83
53
Andy Ibáñez
352
.243
.304
.371
87
.128
.284
3
0.9
.297
84
38
Corey Joyce
373
.227
.327
.320
82
.093
.308
1
0.8
.294
84
36
Trei Cruz
522
.224
.317
.356
87
.132
.292
-6
0.7
.299
88
55
Ben Malgeri
405
.240
.306
.385
91
.145
.324
4
0.6
.302
92
46
Matt Vierling
438
.247
.313
.389
94
.141
.306
-5
0.6
.306
94
50
Kevin Newman
282
.259
.305
.355
83
.097
.308
2
0.5
.290
79
29
Tomás Nido
236
.237
.276
.356
74
.119
.301
3
0.5
.276
70
22
Gage Workman
449
.217
.290
.393
88
.175
.322
-7
0.5
.297
91
51
Wenceel Pérez
456
.240
.303
.398
93
.158
.286
1
0.5
.305
95
53
Bligh Madris
390
.216
.293
.372
84
.156
.274
7
0.4
.292
80
41
Jack Penney
350
.203
.289
.300
65
.097
.278
5
0.3
.266
69
28
Jake Holton
446
.223
.307
.370
88
.147
.283
3
0.3
.300
89
46
Chris Meyers
404
.236
.302
.383
89
.147
.296
1
0.2
.301
90
43
David Hensley
365
.215
.313
.344
83
.129
.307
4
0.2
.295
81
36
Eduardo Valencia
400
.242
.301
.420
98
.179
.278
-1
0.2
.311
100
46
Javier Báez
420
.237
.271
.375
78
.139
.291
-3
0.2
.280
74
42
Thayron Liranzo
422
.194
.277
.324
67
.130
.272
-1
0.1
.269
77
34
Peyton Graham
371
.217
.286
.315
68
.098
.293
1
0.1
.270
71
33
Stephen Scott
305
.208
.282
.350
75
.142
.258
-4
0.1
.279
74
28
Danny Serretti
334
.205
.282
.296
62
.091
.275
5
0.1
.261
65
26
Justice Bigbie
477
.257
.317
.366
90
.108
.307
-1
0.0
.300
88
52
Brian Serven
255
.201
.278
.275
55
.074
.287
2
0.0
.252
53
18
Izaac Pacheco
450
.200
.276
.344
71
.144
.305
2
0.0
.273
76
39
Brett Callahan
266
.222
.279
.362
77
.140
.287
2
-0.1
.281
82
27
Andrew Navigato
410
.214
.278
.375
80
.161
.271
-7
-0.1
.285
80
43
Austin Murr
363
.218
.290
.351
78
.132
.274
2
-0.2
.283
79
35
Jackson Strong
420
.197
.267
.308
60
.111
.305
4
-0.2
.256
69
34
Archer Brookman
224
.193
.256
.272
47
.079
.245
2
-0.2
.238
47
14
Woody Hadeen
481
.209
.293
.286
63
.077
.263
-4
-0.3
.265
68
41
Manuel Margot
299
.247
.301
.345
80
.098
.294
0
-0.4
.286
77
30
Patrick Lee
341
.181
.270
.289
56
.109
.336
6
-0.4
.254
59
30
Brady Allen
417
.204
.273
.334
68
.130
.296
-4
-0.7
.269
70
36
Garrett Pennington
406
.222
.268
.369
75
.148
.273
1
-0.7
.278
79
39
Andrew Jenkins
383
.231
.285
.341
73
.110
.323
1
-0.7
.276
74
34
Roberto Campos
440
.226
.277
.337
70
.111
.308
2
-0.7
.269
75
39
Bennett Lee
227
.128
.216
.202
18
.074
.221
2
-1.0
.196
23
9
Luke Gold
382
.207
.264
.341
67
.134
.277
0
-1.1
.266
71
33
Samuel Gil
399
.200
.276
.244
47
.044
.253
-1
-1.2
.240
51
26
Abel Bastidas
223
.191
.233
.249
35
.057
.300
-3
-1.4
.215
44
13
Reylin Perez
231
.177
.233
.263
38
.086
.337
-5
-1.5
.222
46
15
Batters – Top Near-Age Offensive Comps
Batters – 80th/20th Percentiles
Player
80th BA
80th OBP
80th SLG
80th OPS+
80th WAR
20th BA
20th OBP
20th SLG
20th OPS+
20th WAR
Riley Greene
.292
.361
.548
146
4.8
.236
.303
.430
103
1.5
Gleyber Torres
.286
.376
.458
128
4.1
.234
.320
.360
91
1.3
Dillon Dingler
.272
.333
.460
116
3.6
.216
.282
.351
75
1.4
Kevin McGonigle
.282
.359
.508
137
3.6
.226
.304
.382
90
1.2
Max Clark
.272
.361
.434
119
3.7
.219
.307
.332
81
1.1
Jahmai Jones
.278
.377
.498
141
3.0
.225
.330
.386
100
1.2
Spencer Torkelson
.267
.351
.525
138
3.6
.219
.305
.401
97
0.5
Jace Jung
.248
.350
.446
116
3.1
.200
.298
.347
78
0.6
Hao-Yu Lee
.269
.339
.443
113
3.3
.215
.288
.341
75
0.8
Max Anderson
.283
.323
.468
115
3.1
.230
.274
.364
77
0.6
Parker Meadows
.260
.335
.443
113
2.8
.207
.284
.340
72
0.5
Kerry Carpenter
.287
.343
.546
141
2.9
.234
.292
.431
100
0.6
Colt Keith
.294
.362
.492
133
2.8
.239
.304
.387
91
0.1
Jake Rogers
.248
.315
.448
106
2.1
.188
.254
.320
61
0.5
Trey Sweeney
.252
.324
.418
103
2.4
.203
.277
.321
67
0.4
Zach McKinstry
.269
.345
.453
116
2.4
.214
.289
.340
74
0.2
Akil Baddoo
.258
.343
.462
120
2.4
.206
.291
.352
80
0.2
Justyn-Henry Malloy
.278
.385
.449
132
2.4
.223
.336
.355
97
0.3
Josue Briceño
.257
.340
.448
117
2.5
.195
.279
.324
67
-0.1
Seth Stephenson
.279
.340
.394
104
2.2
.227
.295
.310
68
0.0
Carlos Mendoza
.268
.362
.366
103
1.9
.213
.308
.290
69
0.0
Jack Dunn
.249
.351
.344
95
1.9
.196
.290
.263
58
0.1
John Peck
.276
.322
.409
101
2.0
.220
.268
.315
64
-0.3
Andy Ibáñez
.268
.334
.419
105
1.7
.213
.278
.326
68
0.0
Corey Joyce
.254
.354
.364
99
1.5
.198
.299
.277
62
-0.2
Trei Cruz
.250
.340
.403
105
1.8
.196
.288
.314
70
-0.4
Ben Malgeri
.266
.330
.433
109
1.5
.211
.276
.342
71
-0.3
Matt Vierling
.277
.341
.434
112
1.5
.222
.286
.335
72
-0.6
Kevin Newman
.291
.338
.402
107
1.4
.229
.276
.315
65
-0.1
Tomás Nido
.269
.310
.416
97
1.2
.205
.245
.308
54
-0.1
Gage Workman
.245
.317
.443
109
1.7
.185
.262
.331
65
-0.7
Wenceel Pérez
.264
.329
.448
112
1.5
.213
.274
.348
73
-0.6
Bligh Madris
.242
.321
.424
106
1.5
.190
.261
.321
64
-0.5
Jack Penney
.237
.321
.350
86
1.2
.176
.262
.255
45
-0.5
Jake Holton
.248
.332
.421
108
1.4
.196
.281
.323
71
-0.7
Chris Meyers
.262
.328
.440
112
1.3
.211
.275
.340
73
-0.6
David Hensley
.238
.346
.392
104
1.1
.187
.282
.300
64
-0.8
Eduardo Valencia
.271
.331
.479
122
1.4
.216
.272
.368
81
-0.7
Javier Báez
.265
.300
.430
99
1.3
.209
.246
.328
61
-0.7
Thayron Liranzo
.225
.310
.379
90
1.3
.165
.246
.277
47
-0.9
Peyton Graham
.243
.316
.367
88
1.0
.188
.259
.275
50
-0.7
Stephen Scott
.238
.313
.403
95
0.8
.185
.251
.300
56
-0.6
Danny Serretti
.234
.311
.344
82
0.9
.175
.254
.255
43
-0.7
Justice Bigbie
.289
.345
.409
107
1.0
.229
.285
.324
69
-1.2
Brian Serven
.232
.312
.318
75
0.6
.169
.246
.235
37
-0.6
Izaac Pacheco
.231
.307
.400
93
1.1
.175
.252
.294
54
-0.9
Brett Callahan
.255
.310
.425
99
0.6
.195
.254
.319
58
-0.7
Andrew Navigato
.240
.307
.436
103
1.1
.188
.253
.323
60
-1.1
Austin Murr
.243
.321
.394
95
0.6
.192
.261
.301
58
-1.0
Jackson Strong
.222
.292
.357
80
0.8
.167
.239
.267
42
-1.1
Archer Brookman
.222
.284
.307
64
0.3
.166
.225
.231
31
-0.7
Woody Hadeen
.237
.319
.331
80
0.8
.184
.266
.251
46
-1.3
Manuel Margot
.280
.336
.390
99
0.4
.219
.275
.305
61
-1.0
Patrick Lee
.211
.298
.344
76
0.5
.153
.242
.245
37
-1.3
Brady Allen
.237
.303
.382
87
0.3
.186
.253
.292
51
-1.5
Garrett Pennington
.254
.300
.420
95
0.3
.195
.240
.310
53
-1.8
Andrew Jenkins
.255
.306
.385
89
0.0
.203
.256
.303
55
-1.6
Roberto Campos
.254
.304
.380
89
0.3
.202
.250
.295
51
-1.8
Bennett Lee
.154
.241
.240
34
-0.6
.107
.190
.160
0
-1.5
Luke Gold
.236
.291
.394
87
-0.1
.182
.236
.294
50
-1.9
Samuel Gil
.232
.309
.291
67
-0.1
.174
.250
.213
31
-1.9
Abel Bastidas
.223
.261
.296
55
-0.8
.164
.204
.208
18
-1.9
Reylin Perez
.208
.266
.313
56
-1.0
.148
.206
.218
17
-2.2
Batters – Platoon Splits
Player
BA vs. L
OBP vs. L
SLG vs. L
BA vs. R
OBP vs. R
SLG vs. R
Riley Greene
.261
.328
.443
.270
.337
.507
Gleyber Torres
.263
.356
.428
.260
.344
.402
Dillon Dingler
.254
.318
.430
.239
.302
.390
Kevin McGonigle
.247
.324
.430
.256
.331
.446
Max Clark
.234
.322
.352
.246
.338
.390
Jahmai Jones
.259
.363
.474
.246
.347
.419
Spencer Torkelson
.250
.341
.506
.239
.323
.447
Jace Jung
.217
.306
.357
.229
.328
.409
Hao-Yu Lee
.246
.320
.396
.237
.309
.383
Max Anderson
.260
.301
.452
.252
.296
.395
Parker Meadows
.227
.290
.376
.238
.317
.403
Kerry Carpenter
.250
.307
.445
.267
.322
.510
Colt Keith
.260
.324
.420
.268
.337
.441
Jake Rogers
.224
.294
.395
.212
.282
.376
Trey Sweeney
.213
.284
.331
.234
.306
.385
Zach McKinstry
.237
.312
.381
.245
.317
.395
Akil Baddoo
.232
.309
.384
.235
.323
.410
Justyn-Henry Malloy
.250
.369
.414
.248
.353
.395
Josue Briceño
.216
.296
.342
.225
.313
.393
Seth Stephenson
.250
.312
.352
.252
.318
.348
Carlos Mendoza
.243
.342
.320
.244
.337
.328
Jack Dunn
.229
.333
.343
.217
.312
.285
John Peck
.254
.303
.358
.247
.292
.359
Andy Ibáñez
.262
.322
.392
.230
.292
.356
Corey Joyce
.231
.333
.324
.224
.324
.318
Trei Cruz
.221
.308
.350
.225
.320
.359
Ben Malgeri
.234
.308
.383
.243
.305
.386
Matt Vierling
.257
.325
.404
.242
.307
.381
Kevin Newman
.265
.319
.361
.256
.298
.352
Tomás Nido
.246
.288
.377
.233
.270
.347
Gage Workman
.200
.265
.333
.225
.300
.418
Wenceel Pérez
.239
.298
.384
.241
.306
.405
Bligh Madris
.209
.273
.345
.219
.302
.384
Jack Penney
.195
.276
.287
.206
.294
.305
Jake Holton
.222
.313
.365
.223
.305
.372
Chris Meyers
.224
.296
.357
.241
.304
.393
David Hensley
.218
.326
.361
.212
.305
.333
Eduardo Valencia
.254
.317
.430
.236
.293
.416
Javier Báez
.252
.289
.402
.231
.265
.366
Thayron Liranzo
.188
.266
.313
.196
.282
.328
Peyton Graham
.216
.286
.324
.218
.287
.312
Stephen Scott
.193
.261
.325
.215
.291
.361
Danny Serretti
.207
.278
.287
.205
.284
.300
Justice Bigbie
.259
.322
.370
.257
.314
.363
Brian Serven
.203
.289
.284
.200
.273
.271
Izaac Pacheco
.187
.257
.317
.206
.283
.356
Brett Callahan
.215
.268
.323
.225
.284
.376
Andrew Navigato
.216
.283
.376
.214
.276
.375
Austin Murr
.207
.275
.304
.223
.296
.369
Jackson Strong
.192
.261
.279
.199
.269
.319
Archer Brookman
.197
.265
.279
.191
.252
.270
Woody Hadeen
.210
.290
.266
.209
.294
.294
Manuel Margot
.256
.313
.344
.243
.295
.346
Patrick Lee
.185
.279
.315
.179
.266
.278
Brady Allen
.211
.283
.360
.202
.269
.323
Garrett Pennington
.222
.270
.368
.221
.268
.370
Andrew Jenkins
.231
.291
.343
.231
.282
.340
Roberto Campos
.229
.287
.344
.225
.273
.333
Bennett Lee
.129
.229
.210
.128
.210
.199
Luke Gold
.217
.270
.368
.203
.262
.329
Samuel Gil
.204
.287
.252
.198
.271
.241
Abel Bastidas
.190
.224
.222
.192
.237
.260
Reylin Perez
.177
.235
.274
.177
.233
.259
Pitchers – Standard
Player
T
Age
W
L
ERA
G
GS
IP
H
ER
HR
BB
SO
Tarik Skubal
L
29
13
5
2.54
30
30
184.0
140
52
16
34
226
Jack Flaherty
R
30
10
9
4.14
27
26
141.3
127
65
19
53
157
Casey Mize
R
29
8
7
4.04
25
25
127.0
125
57
17
36
114
Reese Olson
R
26
6
6
3.87
22
22
107.0
96
46
12
36
101
Alex Cobb
R
38
5
4
4.06
20
19
93.0
96
42
10
31
77
Troy Melton
R
25
5
5
4.19
29
20
105.3
103
49
15
31
92
Brant Hurter
L
27
5
5
3.87
38
12
90.7
85
39
10
26
80
Tyler Holton
L
30
5
4
3.59
64
6
77.7
67
31
10
19
63
Keider Montero
R
25
7
8
4.51
29
21
123.7
123
62
18
43
100
Will Vest
R
31
5
4
3.34
60
0
64.7
56
24
5
20
66
Jason Foley
R
30
3
3
3.38
58
0
56.0
52
21
4
14
48
Sawyer Gipson-Long
R
28
3
4
4.34
19
14
74.7
75
36
11
19
63
Brenan Hanifee
R
28
3
3
3.95
50
4
68.3
70
30
7
18
49
Nick Margevicius
L
30
3
4
4.62
17
12
64.3
70
33
9
16
44
Ty Madden
R
26
3
4
4.71
19
17
84.0
85
44
12
36
73
Garrett Burhenn
R
26
5
8
4.93
23
21
104.0
114
57
16
31
73
José Urquidy
R
31
4
5
4.79
17
14
71.3
73
38
11
21
52
Austin Bergner
R
29
5
7
4.91
24
15
80.7
84
44
12
37
64
Carlos Pena
L
27
6
7
4.96
24
16
94.3
101
52
14
32
65
Chris Paddack
R
30
5
8
5.10
26
23
125.3
135
71
23
32
95
Dylan Smith
R
26
3
4
4.50
30
8
56.0
55
28
7
22
48
Jackson Jobe
R
23
3
5
4.94
20
19
78.3
78
43
12
37
58
Jordan Balazovic
R
27
3
5
4.64
34
9
66.0
67
34
8
28
52
Kyle Finnegan
R
34
4
4
4.08
53
1
53.0
51
24
7
19
47
Lael Lockhart
L
28
5
7
4.92
24
20
93.3
95
51
13
45
77
Jaden Hamm
R
23
3
5
5.08
22
22
88.7
92
50
13
34
65
Alex Lange
R
30
3
3
3.86
43
1
39.7
32
17
3
22
44
Chase Lee
R
27
3
3
4.22
48
1
59.7
57
28
8
18
57
Andrew Sears
L
23
5
7
5.10
23
19
95.3
96
54
14
38
76
Max Alba
R
26
2
4
5.04
25
16
84.0
92
47
13
24
55
Sean Guenther
L
30
3
3
4.11
36
2
46.0
48
21
5
13
33
Ricky Vanasco
R
27
3
3
4.50
26
6
44.0
41
22
6
23
43
Drew Sommers
L
25
3
3
4.14
47
1
58.7
58
27
6
21
50
Beau Brieske
R
28
3
4
4.81
37
8
58.0
56
31
8
26
48
Troy Watson
R
29
4
6
4.97
32
12
79.7
84
44
11
34
58
Joe Miller
L
26
4
6
5.24
23
20
92.7
104
54
15
29
58
Codi Heuer
R
29
3
2
4.24
43
0
46.7
44
22
6
18
46
Bailey Horn
L
28
3
4
4.61
41
4
52.7
51
27
7
27
48
Devin Smeltzer
L
30
4
5
5.25
21
13
73.7
80
43
12
27
45
RJ Petit
R
26
5
6
4.58
44
2
57.0
56
29
8
21
50
Wilkel Hernandez
R
27
4
5
5.21
28
19
96.7
105
56
15
37
64
Tanner Rainey
R
33
1
1
4.54
42
1
41.7
38
21
6
21
43
Blair Calvo
R
30
1
1
4.81
27
2
33.7
33
18
4
15
29
Andrew Magno
L
28
4
5
4.58
41
1
57.0
55
29
7
29
51
Paul Sewald
R
36
2
2
4.66
40
1
36.7
33
19
6
12
36
Tommy Kahnle
R
36
2
3
4.66
52
1
48.3
44
25
6
25
42
Joseph Montalvo
R
24
3
4
5.28
16
14
61.3
66
36
11
24
43
Rafael Montero
R
35
2
2
4.56
52
0
49.3
46
25
6
26
45
Tyler Mattison
R
26
3
3
4.82
34
2
37.3
37
20
6
19
34
Brendan White
R
27
3
3
4.76
35
0
45.3
46
24
5
17
34
Matt Seelinger
R
31
3
4
4.71
39
0
49.7
50
26
8
22
45
Tim Naughton
R
30
2
3
4.74
27
0
38.0
38
20
5
17
35
Trevin Michael
R
28
3
3
4.67
36
0
54.0
53
28
8
22
49
Tyler Owens
R
25
2
3
5.04
32
3
44.7
47
25
6
21
32
Kenny Serwa
R
28
5
9
5.46
23
19
97.3
108
59
13
40
51
Jordan Marks
R
27
1
3
5.05
29
2
41.0
44
23
6
15
27
Tanner Kohlhepp
R
27
2
3
5.06
29
1
37.3
37
21
4
21
32
Yosber Sanchez
R
25
3
4
4.78
33
0
43.3
44
23
5
22
35
Ryan Miller
R
30
2
3
4.96
35
0
49.0
51
27
8
18
37
Woo-Suk Go 고우석
R
27
2
3
5.18
34
2
41.7
44
24
6
21
33
Jack Little
R
28
4
5
4.80
45
0
54.3
56
29
8
19
41
Matt Merrill
R
28
1
3
5.59
22
1
29.0
28
18
5
22
28
Pitchers – Advanced
Player
IP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
BB%
K%
BABIP
ERA+
3ERA+
FIP
ERA-
WAR
Tarik Skubal
184.0
11.1
1.7
0.8
4.7%
31.5%
.282
168
161
2.49
60
5.5
Jack Flaherty
141.3
10.0
3.4
1.2
8.8%
26.2%
.295
103
101
3.96
97
1.9
Casey Mize
127.0
8.1
2.6
1.2
6.7%
21.3%
.295
106
104
4.05
94
1.8
Reese Olson
107.0
8.5
3.0
1.0
8.0%
22.4%
.283
110
108
3.86
91
1.7
Alex Cobb
93.0
7.5
3.0
1.0
7.7%
19.2%
.306
105
96
4.00
95
1.3
Troy Melton
105.3
7.9
2.6
1.3
7.0%
20.6%
.289
102
105
4.21
98
1.3
Brant Hurter
90.7
7.9
2.6
1.0
6.8%
21.0%
.288
110
111
3.99
91
1.3
Tyler Holton
77.7
7.3
2.2
1.2
6.0%
20.0%
.258
119
116
4.03
84
1.2
Keider Montero
123.7
7.3
3.1
1.3
8.1%
18.8%
.286
95
98
4.63
105
1.1
Will Vest
64.7
9.2
2.8
0.7
7.4%
24.4%
.291
128
123
3.15
78
1.1
Jason Foley
56.0
7.7
2.3
0.6
6.1%
20.8%
.293
127
124
3.23
79
0.8
Sawyer Gipson-Long
74.7
7.6
2.3
1.3
6.0%
19.9%
.291
98
99
4.32
102
0.8
Brenan Hanifee
68.3
6.5
2.4
0.9
6.2%
16.8%
.294
108
109
3.98
93
0.6
Nick Margevicius
64.3
6.2
2.2
1.3
5.8%
15.9%
.298
93
93
4.50
108
0.6
Ty Madden
84.0
7.8
3.9
1.3
9.8%
19.8%
.297
91
94
4.68
110
0.6
Garrett Burhenn
104.0
6.3
2.7
1.4
6.9%
16.2%
.298
87
91
4.77
115
0.5
José Urquidy
71.3
6.6
2.6
1.4
6.9%
17.2%
.284
89
88
4.72
112
0.5
Austin Bergner
80.7
7.1
4.1
1.3
10.2%
17.6%
.295
87
87
4.92
115
0.4
Carlos Pena
94.3
6.2
3.1
1.3
7.8%
15.8%
.293
86
88
4.89
116
0.4
Chris Paddack
125.3
6.8
2.3
1.7
5.9%
17.7%
.292
84
84
4.85
119
0.4
Dylan Smith
56.0
7.7
3.5
1.1
8.9%
19.5%
.293
95
99
4.36
105
0.4
Jackson Jobe
78.3
6.7
4.3
1.4
10.7%
16.8%
.278
87
93
5.17
115
0.4
Jordan Balazovic
66.0
7.1
3.8
1.1
9.6%
17.8%
.295
92
95
4.48
109
0.4
Kyle Finnegan
53.0
8.0
3.2
1.2
8.4%
20.7%
.289
105
99
4.18
95
0.4
Lael Lockhart
93.3
7.4
4.3
1.3
10.8%
18.5%
.295
87
88
4.90
115
0.4
Jaden Hamm
88.7
6.6
3.4
1.3
8.7%
16.6%
.289
84
90
4.92
119
0.4
Alex Lange
39.7
10.0
5.0
0.7
12.6%
25.1%
.287
111
106
3.82
90
0.3
Chase Lee
59.7
8.6
2.7
1.2
7.1%
22.6%
.293
101
104
4.10
99
0.3
Andrew Sears
95.3
7.2
3.6
1.3
9.0%
18.0%
.288
84
89
4.99
119
0.3
Max Alba
84.0
5.9
2.6
1.4
6.6%
15.1%
.294
85
89
4.79
118
0.3
Sean Guenther
46.0
6.5
2.5
1.0
6.6%
16.8%
.299
104
101
4.12
96
0.3
Ricky Vanasco
44.0
8.8
4.7
1.2
11.8%
22.1%
.289
95
97
4.69
105
0.3
Drew Sommers
58.7
7.7
3.2
0.9
8.2%
19.6%
.299
103
107
4.12
97
0.3
Beau Brieske
58.0
7.4
4.0
1.2
10.2%
18.9%
.282
89
90
4.70
112
0.2
Troy Watson
79.7
6.5
3.8
1.2
9.6%
16.4%
.294
86
87
4.86
116
0.2
Joe Miller
92.7
5.6
2.8
1.5
7.1%
14.3%
.295
81
85
5.15
123
0.2
Codi Heuer
46.7
8.9
3.5
1.2
8.9%
22.7%
.295
101
102
4.21
99
0.2
Bailey Horn
52.7
8.2
4.6
1.2
11.5%
20.5%
.293
93
94
4.72
108
0.1
Devin Smeltzer
73.7
5.5
3.3
1.5
8.3%
13.9%
.286
81
81
5.32
123
0.1
RJ Petit
57.0
7.9
3.3
1.3
8.5%
20.3%
.291
93
98
4.60
108
0.1
Wilkel Hernandez
96.7
6.0
3.4
1.4
8.6%
15.0%
.292
82
84
5.19
122
0.1
Tanner Rainey
41.7
9.3
4.5
1.3
11.4%
23.4%
.288
94
90
4.63
106
0.0
Blair Calvo
33.7
7.8
4.0
1.1
10.0%
19.3%
.293
89
88
4.68
113
0.0
Andrew Magno
57.0
8.1
4.6
1.1
11.3%
19.8%
.293
93
93
4.65
108
0.0
Paul Sewald
36.7
8.8
2.9
1.5
7.8%
23.5%
.273
92
84
4.47
109
0.0
Tommy Kahnle
48.3
7.8
4.7
1.1
11.8%
19.8%
.277
92
86
4.72
109
0.0
Joseph Montalvo
61.3
6.3
3.5
1.6
8.9%
15.9%
.288
81
86
5.41
123
0.0
Rafael Montero
49.3
8.2
4.7
1.1
12.0%
20.8%
.288
94
87
4.62
107
0.0
Tyler Mattison
37.3
8.2
4.6
1.4
11.3%
20.2%
.292
89
92
5.04
113
0.0
Brendan White
45.3
6.8
3.4
1.0
8.6%
17.3%
.295
90
92
4.55
111
-0.1
Matt Seelinger
49.7
8.1
4.0
1.4
9.9%
20.3%
.294
91
89
4.77
110
-0.1
Tim Naughton
38.0
8.3
4.0
1.2
10.1%
20.7%
.303
90
90
4.45
111
-0.1
Trevin Michael
54.0
8.2
3.7
1.3
9.3%
20.8%
.292
92
93
4.61
109
-0.1
Tyler Owens
44.7
6.4
4.2
1.2
10.4%
15.9%
.293
85
89
5.02
118
-0.1
Kenny Serwa
97.3
4.7
3.7
1.2
9.1%
11.6%
.290
78
80
5.39
128
-0.1
Jordan Marks
41.0
5.9
3.3
1.3
8.3%
14.9%
.290
85
87
4.99
118
-0.1
Tanner Kohlhepp
37.3
7.7
5.1
1.0
12.3%
18.7%
.300
84
86
4.85
118
-0.2
Yosber Sanchez
43.3
7.3
4.6
1.0
11.1%
17.6%
.298
89
92
4.71
112
-0.2
Ryan Miller
49.0
6.8
3.3
1.5
8.4%
17.2%
.289
86
88
5.00
116
-0.2
Woo-Suk Go
41.7
7.1
4.5
1.3
11.0%
17.3%
.299
82
86
5.11
122
-0.2
Jack Little
54.3
6.8
3.1
1.3
8.0%
17.3%
.289
89
90
4.78
112
-0.2
Matt Merrill
29.0
8.7
6.8
1.6
15.9%
20.3%
.288
77
78
6.06
131
-0.3
Pitchers – Top Near-Age Comps
Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles
Player
BA vs. L
OBP vs. L
SLG vs. L
BA vs. R
OBP vs. R
SLG vs. R
80th WAR
20th WAR
80th ERA
20th ERA
Tarik Skubal
.216
.245
.277
.204
.250
.335
6.7
4.2
2.00
3.24
Jack Flaherty
.242
.320
.402
.225
.296
.382
2.8
0.7
3.57
4.96
Casey Mize
.252
.313
.420
.248
.294
.400
2.5
1.0
3.56
4.62
Reese Olson
.227
.303
.384
.243
.300
.376
2.4
1.0
3.33
4.46
Alex Cobb
.255
.324
.397
.262
.314
.406
1.9
0.7
3.47
4.81
Troy Melton
.256
.324
.424
.244
.283
.416
2.0
0.5
3.66
4.87
Brant Hurter
.208
.278
.283
.260
.324
.442
1.8
0.6
3.33
4.60
Tyler Holton
.216
.264
.363
.245
.296
.408
1.8
0.5
3.01
4.33
Keider Montero
.253
.322
.422
.254
.318
.427
1.9
0.4
3.98
5.02
Will Vest
.227
.306
.327
.228
.274
.353
1.7
0.3
2.63
4.49
Jason Foley
.255
.317
.383
.228
.267
.325
1.2
0.3
2.89
4.17
Sawyer Gipson-Long
.275
.327
.464
.239
.292
.406
1.3
0.2
3.78
5.00
Brenan Hanifee
.273
.331
.455
.247
.293
.352
1.1
0.2
3.39
4.65
Nick Margevicius
.265
.311
.422
.270
.318
.438
0.9
0.1
4.10
5.25
Ty Madden
.258
.348
.436
.253
.314
.418
1.2
0.0
4.12
5.37
Garrett Burhenn
.300
.364
.483
.243
.286
.422
1.2
-0.1
4.35
5.52
José Urquidy
.241
.297
.406
.279
.335
.483
1.0
0.0
4.14
5.46
Austin Bergner
.252
.331
.432
.269
.340
.443
1.0
-0.2
4.31
5.53
Carlos Pena
.254
.321
.415
.272
.333
.456
0.9
-0.4
4.49
5.65
Chris Paddack
.263
.313
.474
.274
.312
.472
1.2
-0.3
4.53
5.68
Dylan Smith
.252
.328
.379
.248
.315
.427
0.8
0.1
3.92
5.08
Jackson Jobe
.260
.339
.452
.255
.341
.433
0.8
-0.3
4.47
5.62
Jordan Balazovic
.273
.343
.422
.237
.311
.393
0.8
-0.1
4.12
5.26
Kyle Finnegan
.232
.308
.379
.264
.311
.436
1.0
-0.2
3.32
5.08
Lael Lockhart
.265
.351
.436
.253
.337
.423
1.1
-0.2
4.36
5.58
Jaden Hamm
.266
.342
.435
.256
.321
.438
0.9
-0.2
4.55
5.72
Alex Lange
.209
.321
.328
.220
.330
.329
0.7
-0.2
3.09
4.93
Chase Lee
.264
.346
.462
.232
.281
.366
0.8
-0.2
3.43
5.18
Andrew Sears
.265
.351
.385
.250
.330
.450
1.0
-0.3
4.53
5.66
Max Alba
.276
.328
.466
.265
.311
.440
0.8
-0.3
4.50
5.66
Sean Guenther
.239
.292
.328
.276
.331
.457
0.6
0.0
3.49
4.70
Ricky Vanasco
.225
.319
.350
.253
.349
.451
0.6
-0.1
4.00
5.36
Drew Sommers
.224
.302
.303
.261
.331
.427
0.7
-0.1
3.58
4.74
Beau Brieske
.243
.328
.393
.256
.328
.444
0.6
-0.3
4.21
5.64
Troy Watson
.264
.345
.432
.262
.325
.430
0.8
-0.3
4.40
5.57
Joe Miller
.263
.323
.424
.282
.340
.483
0.7
-0.4
4.82
5.84
Codi Heuer
.247
.326
.435
.235
.309
.367
0.6
-0.3
3.52
5.37
Bailey Horn
.221
.316
.382
.263
.350
.423
0.5
-0.3
4.03
5.25
Devin Smeltzer
.262
.337
.405
.276
.341
.490
0.5
-0.4
4.73
5.82
RJ Petit
.239
.317
.404
.263
.336
.430
0.6
-0.3
3.90
5.22
Wilkel Hernandez
.260
.332
.479
.279
.348
.426
0.6
-0.5
4.74
5.73
Tanner Rainey
.254
.361
.451
.227
.310
.386
0.4
-0.4
3.77
5.72
Blair Calvo
.258
.352
.452
.239
.329
.366
0.3
-0.3
4.17
5.72
Andrew Magno
.225
.330
.363
.257
.341
.417
0.4
-0.5
4.05
5.33
Paul Sewald
.254
.333
.458
.228
.287
.418
0.4
-0.5
3.69
6.30
Tommy Kahnle
.253
.350
.402
.232
.327
.400
0.4
-0.7
3.88
6.07
Joseph Montalvo
.306
.381
.541
.237
.302
.407
0.4
-0.4
4.80
5.93
Rafael Montero
.250
.353
.420
.240
.330
.380
0.4
-0.5
3.69
5.61
Tyler Mattison
.254
.359
.403
.253
.326
.481
0.3
-0.3
4.18
5.60
Brendan White
.256
.337
.402
.255
.333
.398
0.1
-0.4
4.23
5.45
Matt Seelinger
.274
.340
.474
.238
.316
.406
0.3
-0.6
3.93
5.63
Tim Naughton
.232
.321
.406
.268
.337
.427
0.2
-0.4
4.05
5.73
Trevin Michael
.248
.325
.446
.255
.325
.409
0.4
-0.6
3.94
5.52
Tyler Owens
.253
.340
.373
.274
.352
.484
0.2
-0.4
4.54
5.54
Kenny Serwa
.265
.356
.423
.284
.353
.462
0.4
-0.6
5.01
5.99
Jordan Marks
.267
.353
.467
.267
.316
.422
0.2
-0.4
4.44
5.70
Tanner Kohlhepp
.236
.360
.389
.260
.348
.403
0.1
-0.5
4.49
5.93
Yosber Sanchez
.259
.357
.447
.244
.324
.356
0.1
-0.5
4.33
5.35
Ryan Miller
.261
.333
.477
.264
.325
.425
0.2
-0.6
4.26
5.71
Woo-Suk Go
.259
.355
.457
.261
.340
.409
0.1
-0.6
4.62
6.05
Jack Little
.289
.358
.485
.237
.300
.390
0.1
-0.7
4.24
5.49
Matt Merrill
.250
.391
.365
.246
.373
.525
-0.1
-0.7
4.86
6.72
Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2026 due to injury, and players who were released in 2025. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Ambient Math-Rock Trip-Hop Yacht Metal band that only performs in abandoned malls, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.16.
Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR. It is important to remember that ZiPS is agnostic about playing time, and has no information about, for example, how quickly a team will call up a prospect or what veteran has fallen into disfavor.
As always, incorrect projections are either caused by misinformation, a non-pragmatic reality, or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter or on BlueSky. This last is, however, not an actual requirement.