We’ll provide some targets who will likely improve their value by next offseason, plus some sleepers you should take a shot on before the rest of your league catches up. Then we’ll round out the group with two fades who might be at the peak of their value right now.

Targets

Austin Riley, 3B, Braves 

Is it over for Riley? Did his prime just whistle past with no chance of redemption? After three consecutive seasons of 30-plus home runs and 90-plus RBIs, Riley has struggled to stay on the field over the last two years. Limited to 110 games in 2024 and 102 in 2025, could it be the injuries taking a toll on Riley the last two seasons? Perhaps, but what’s for sure is that the walk rate and strikeout rate have trended in the wrong direction. On the other side of the coin, Riley has underperformed his expected stats each of the last two seasons while showing no decline in contact quality. I’m willing to take the discount at the draft table this offseason and bet on Riley returning to form. After all, he’s only 28 and had a three-year run as one of the best power hitters in the game. [Geoff]

Maikel Garcia, 3B, Royals

In redraft so far this offseason, Garcia is going in the sixth round, which is ahead of players like Alex Bregman and Eugenio Suarez. This is likely because those two are currently unsigned (which naturally leads to ADP slippage), but it’s also because Garcia is one of the few options for speed at the position. I’m sure that, because of this current cost, Garcia will be making a lot of “fade” lists in the preseason, naturally leading to a wide perception that he is overvalued. However, I think that this provides an opportunity. He has one of the highest floors at the position thanks to his 90th percentile bat-to-ball skills and elite defense, both of which contributed to a ridiculous 6 fWAR season in 2025. When a hitter has what looks like a career year, his value doesn’t rise as much as it should, because fantasy managers want to see it for more than one year. In that scenario, if you can find the hitter that has a better-than-average chance of repeating his career year, you will have fantasy gold. With his high floor and long leash, it is entirely conceivable that not just in 2026, but for the next five years, Garcia averages .275/.340 with 12-15 home runs and 25 stolen bases. [Dylan]

Sleepers

Kazuma Okamoto, 3B, Free Agent

Earlier this month, Geoff provided a scouting report on Okamoto that highlighted how the 29-year-old six-time NPB all-star has 50 hit and 55 power grades. That translates to a .250 batting average with 20-25 home runs in MLB. As an above-average defender at the hot corner, he should have a high floor for at least three years. I’m betting that his bat-to-ball skills will translate better to the major leagues and be closer to .280 than .250, with an accompanying OBP around .340. If Okamoto is capable of that type of production, it compares to recent-era Alex Bregman. If a top 20% outcome is to produce on par with the 11th-ranked third baseman in dynasty—while likely playing on a competitive team—that’s a sleeper. [Dylan]

Brock Wilken, 3B, Brewers

It’s been a pair of trying seasons for Wilken, who dealt with a scary injury in 2024 after being hit in the face. In 2025, Wilken was enjoying the best season of his career prior to an injury sustained while celebrating Double-A Biloxi’s first-half championship. Wilken is healthy heading into 2026 and could be on a trajectory to see time with the Brewers next season. He has plus game power and projects as a 30-home run bat. He could ascend to the majors by midsummer and produce big power numbers down the stretch without sacrificing on-base skills. [Geoff]

Fades

Royce Lewis, 3B, Twins 

Heading into his age-27 season, Lewis still hasn’t played more than 127 games in a season (and that career high came all the way back in 2019). Lewis has simply never been healthy enough to be counted on to play 140 games in a season. Despite nice counting stats in 2025, Lewis had the worst offensive season of his career, hitting .237/.283/.388 for a line 15% wors than a replacement-level hitter. A former No. 1 overall pick, Lewis’ time to prove he’s not a bust is running out. [Geoff]

Eugenio Suarez, 3B, Free Agent

I don’t think calling Suarez a fade is low-hanging fruit. He’s most likely to sign back with the Mariners, and although that’s a solid enough reason, I’m not completely positive that your league mates account for ballpark factors. It’s also not just because the inevitable pending regression after 49 home runs in his age-33 season makes Suarez an easy “sell high”. All of this is true, but there are some underlying factors suggesting regression might be more severe than projections are accounting for. All of Suarez’s expected stats were far below his surface production, potentially accelerating the “natural” mean regression that is forthcoming. Additionally, whereas Suarez’s defense in 2023 and 2024 was in the top 25% of the league, his defense cratered in 2025, especially his range. This might make his stay at the hot corner shorter than it looked like it would be even one year ago. Finally, although Suarez overcomes his bottom-fifth percentile strikeout rate with his excellent hard-hit and barrel rates, having this much swing-and-miss in his profile—especially entering his mid-30s—is flirting with falling off the cliff. Especially if he starts off strong in 2026, I would try to trade Suarez even though I know that he should still accumulate 75 home runs over the next three seasons. [Dylan]