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NCAA baseball regional bracket projections: Hosting race, bubble watch
CCollege Baseball

NCAA baseball regional bracket projections: Hosting race, bubble watch

  • May 23, 2025

Conference tournaments are in full swing in college baseball ahead of selection day May 26.

Two teams have already clinched automatic bids: Columbia in the Ivy League and Holy Cross in the Patriot League. So far, there are no sure bid thieves. But that could change, as UTSA (43-12, 23-4 American) has dropped to the losers bracket in the American tournament and would still receive a bid with a loss. Should UTSA get eliminated, Virginia (32-18, 16-11 ACC) would drop out of the bracket as the last team in after a loss to Boston College in the ACC tournament.

The SEC is likely to dominate the national seeds and hosting conversation. Six SEC teams project for national seeds and there are three others with hosting cases: Tennessee (43-15, 16-14 SEC), Alabama (41-16, 16-14 SEC) and Ole Miss (38-18, 16-14 SEC). The Vols helped themselves with a win over Texas in the SEC tournament, while Ole Miss gets the nod over Alabama here despite a worse RPI due to a stronger resume that includes 31 Quadrant 1 games, the most of anyone in tournament contention, and a 17-14 record in those games.

One intriguing conference tournament to watch is the Big East, where UConn (37-20, 17-4 Big East); Xavier (32-26, 14-7 Big East) and Creighton (40-14, 17-4 Big East) are all still alive. The three teams would each be on the bubble if they lose in their conference tournaments, but there’s a path for all three to get in. That’s especially true if Creighton wins the automatic bid, as the Bluejays’ RPI is the lowest of the three teams.

SEC POWER RANKINGS SEC baseball power rankings after regular season: Sizing up NCAA tournament, hosting stock

Here is our projected field of 64:

NCAA baseball tournament projected host seedsTexasArkansasVanderbiltNorth CarolinaLSUGeorgiaAuburnClemsonCoastal CarolinaOregonTennesseeOregon StateFlorida StateGeorgia TechOle MissDallas Baptist2025 NCAA baseball tournament bracket projections

Asterisks denote projected automatic bids. Projected autobids are given to the highest remaining seed in each conference’s tournament.

Seeding is in parentheses.

All projections as of games through May 22

Last Four In: Troy, Xavier, Arizona State, Virginia

First Four Out: Notre Dame, Western Kentucky, UT Rio Grande Valley, Cal Poly

Austin Regional

Texas* (1)Texas-San Antonio*Southern CalHouston Christian*

Dallas Regional

Dallas Baptist* (16)OklahomaOklahoma StateOral Roberts*

Clemson Regional

Clemson (8)FloridaRhode Island*South Carolina Upstate*

Conway Regional

Coastal Carolina* (9)Wake ForestUConnWright State*

Chapel Hill Regional

North Carolina (4)Northeastern*KentuckyRider*

Tallahassee Regional

Florida State (13)AlabamaTroyBethune Cookman*

Baton Rouge Regional

LSU (5)TCUVirginiaLong Island*

Corvallis Regional

Oregon State (12)UCLAArizonaSacramento State

Athens Regional

Georgia (6)DukeEast Tennessee State*Bryant*

Knoxville Regional

Tennessee (11)NC StateAustin Peay*Murray State*

Auburn Regional

Auburn (7)West VirginiaMiamiColumbia*

Eugene Regional

Oregon (10)UC Irvine*Arizona StateSan Diego*

Nashville Regional

Vanderbilt (3)LouisvilleCincinnatiEastern Illinois*

Atlanta Regional

Georgia Tech* (14)Mississippi StateXavierMiami-Ohio*

Fayetteville Regional

Arkansas (2)KansasCreighton*Nevada

Oxford Regional

Ole Miss (15)Southern MissKansas StateHoly Cross*

Aria Gerson covers Vanderbilt athletics for The Tennessean. Contact her at agerson@gannett.com or on X, formerly Twitter, @aria_gerson.

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