The Seattle Mariners (29-22) and the Houston Astros (27-25) meet Sunday in the final game of their 4-game series at Daikin Park in Houston. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 3-3
After winning 5-3 in the series opener on Friday, Seattle lost 2-1 on Saturday against Houston while failing to cover as a -108 road favorite. C Mitch Garver had the Mariners only RBI of the game in the second inning as Seattle was held to just 5 hits in the loss.
Houston has won 2 of its last 3 games after Saturday’s home victory as a +100 underdog. 2B Jose Altuve and 1B Christian Walker scored in the first inning on 2 Seattle errors and Framber Valdez (6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 4 BB, 5 K) and 3 relievers made it stand up.
Mariners at Astros projected starters
RHP Luis Castillo vs. LHP Colton Gordon
Castillo (4-3, 3.20 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 56 1/3 innings.
Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 5-1 road victory at Chicago White Sox MondayCareer vs. Astros: 2-2, 3.27 ERA (44 IP, 16 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 7 starts
Gordon (0-0, 5.59 ERA) makes his third career start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 9 2/3 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 4-3 road victory at Tampa Bay Rays MondayThe 26-year-old rookie was 21-10 with a 3.60 ERA in 4 minor-league seasons
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Mariners at Astros odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:44 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Astros +110 (bet $100 to win $110)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+135) | Astros +1.5 (-160)Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)Mariners at Astros picks and predictionsPrediction
Mariners 5, Astros 4
BET MARINERS (-135).
While the Mariners lost Saturday, they have a chance to take the season series lead and leave Houston will a 2-2 series split on Sunday with Castillo on the mound. Castillo is coming off a 7-inning, 3-hit shutout appearance while Gordon, a rookie making his third career start, has allowed 3 ER in each of his first 2 starts. The Mariners’ offense has a great opportunity to get back on track offensively against an unsteady rookie. The Mariners are 6-3 over their last 9 games, all on the road.
PASS.
There is better value on the moneyline.
BET OVER 8 (-115).
These teams have hit the Over in 4 of the 6 meetings this season and have scored 8 or more runs combined in 2 of their 3 games in this current series.
The Mariners have scored at least 4 runs in 6 of their last 9 games while allowing 3 or more runs in 3 of their last 4.
The Astros have scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 while allowing 5 or more in 2 of their last 4.
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