The Cleveland Guardians (29-22) look to complete a 4-game sweep at the Detroit Tigers (33-20) Sunday. First pitch from Comerica Park is set for 11:35 a.m. ET (Roku). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 3-0

The Guardians enter on a 4-game win streak. They won Saturday 7-5 in 10 innings as +129 underdogs with the Over (8) cashing. 1B Kyle Manzardo’s go-ahead RBI double sparked a 4-run 10th. C Bo Naylor (1-for-4) hit his seventh homer of the year and drove in 2 runs, while Manzardo and 3B Jose Ramirez each went 2-for-5 with an RBI. J-Ram has a 17-game hit streak, batting .382 with 4 HRs and 11 RBIs in the stretch.

The Tigers have lost 3 straight games for the first time since dropping their first 3 games of the season. They scored first Saturday, plating 3 in the bottom of the first on 3 hits, but they only had 2 hits the rest of the game. DH Colt Keith (1-for-5) had an RBI double and CF Matt Vierling (1-for-4) added a 2-run single in the first, while 2B Gleyber Torres hit a 1-out, RBI double in the bottom of the 10th .

Guardians at Tigers projected starters

LHP Logan Allen vs. LHP Tarik Skubal

Allen (2-2, 3.86 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 44 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-5 loss at Minnesota Twins MondayCareer vs. Tigers: 0-1, 9.72 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.80 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 2 startsLast start vs. Tigers: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 11-7 home setback May 7, 20242025 road splits: 1-1, 3.68 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.57 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 6 starts

Skubal (4-2, 2.87 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 through 59 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 5-4 win at St. Louis Cardinals TuesdayCareer vs. Guardians (regular season): 2-2, 3.46 ERA (41 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 8 startsLast regular-season start vs. Guardians: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 8-2 road victory July 22, 20242025 home splits: 3-0, 2.37 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 13.1 K/9 in 5 starts

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Guardians at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:42 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Tigers -235 (bet $235 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-105) | Tigers -1.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Guardians at Tigers picks and predictionsPrediction

Tigers 6, Guardians 5

The Tigers (-235) have won Skubal’s last 5 starts and are 7-3 when he pitches this season, but the Guardians (+195) have beaten the Tigers in 5 straight meetings.

Detroit hasn’t had a 4-game losing streak this season and they are 17-8 at home.

Skubal will end the Tigers’ current 3-game slide, but -235 odds are too high and not worth the risk.

PASS.

Five of the Tigers’ last 6 wins have been by 1 run. Skubal’s last 3 starts have been one-run wins for Detroit.

The Guardians are 28-23 ATS on the season, while the Tigers are 28-25 ATS, per Teamrankings.com.

I like the Tigers to pick up the win, but the Guardians to cover the 1½ runs.

BET GUARDIANS +1.5 (-105).

Seven of the Tigers’ last 12 games have had at least 8 total runs and so have 5 of their last 7 wins. Plus, 3 of Skubal’s last 4 starts have had at least 9 total runs.

BET OVER 7.5 (-105).

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