The Atlanta Braves (25-26) host the San Diego Padres (28-22) in the finale of their 3-game series Sunday afternoon. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Braves vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 5-1

Aftera 2-1 loss on Friday, the Braves beat the Padres 7-1 Saturday to pick up their first win of the season against San Diego. RF Ronald Acuna Jr. had 2 RBIs as Atlanta snapped a 3-game losing streak. The Braves are 4-2 in its last 6 games at home.

The Padres, who sit third in the NL West, have struggled over the last 2 weeks, going just 1-7 since May 16. They were swept by the Toronto Blue Jays in the series prior to facing the Braves. San Diego is 1-5 in its last 6 road games.

Padres at Braves projected starters

RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach

Cease (1-3, 4.50 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 54 innings.

Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-0 road loss to the Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday2025 road stats: 0-2, 5.74 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 22 H, 10 BB, 28 K in 5 startsCareer vs. Braves: 2-0, 4.19 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 17 H, 11 BB, 29 K in 4 starts

Schwellenbach (3-3, 3.52 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 61 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 10-4 road victory over the Boston Red Sox Sunday2025 home stats: 2-1, 2.63 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 33 H, 7 BB, 33 K in 6 startsCareer vs. Padres: 1-0, 0.69 ERA (13 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 2 starts

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Padres at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:49 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Padres +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-200) | Braves -1.5 (+165)Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)Padres at Braves picks and predictionsPrediction

Braves 4, Padres 2

BET BRAVES (-135).

The Padres have struggled immensely on the offensive end, scoring more than 2 runs just once of their last 8 games. San Diego, meanwhile, has allowed at least 7 runs in 3 of its last 4 contests.

The Braves, who have won three straight Schwellenbach starts, have performed well at home. They have scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games at Truist Park.

Take BRAVES (-135).

PASS.

There’s no playable value on the spread here. The Padres (-200) as an underdog are far too expensive while the Braves (+165) are a bit too risky to play as a favorite, although the home side’s spread is worth some consideration.

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

The Braves have gone Under in 2 straight games and in 3 of their last 4 contests. They have allowed just 3 total runs to San Diego in the first 2 games of the series.

The Padres are 2-7 O/U in their last 9 games and 21-28-1 O/U on the season. They have scored just 12 total runs over their last 8 games. Considering those trends, back UNDER 8 (-110).

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