Major-league arms will have a field day throwing him anything but fastballs. Because of this, it’s imperative that he can better recognize spin and changes in velocity. These represent key swing factors in his development.
Overall, this translated to a putrid 75.6% Z-Contact%, a metric that ranked in the 10th percentile at Triple-A in 2025.
A redeeming factor is his feel for the barrel, as shown by his 39.7% sweet-spot percentage, ranking in the 87th percentile for the level. It’s also supported by his ability to pull fly balls at an 18% clip, ranking in the 81st percentile.
In the absence of true contact ability, at least he’s making the most of his raw juice toward a shorter field.
An Improving Eye at the Plate
Carson’s pitch selection has been steady, with walk rates consistently north of 10% at every level he’s played at.
In 2025, he had a 12.4% walk rate supported by a 30.3% chase rate. His success, however, heavily varied depending on what he was thrown.
Carson Williams 2025 Chase Rate by Pitch Type: Triple-A
Pitch Type GroupChase%Chase%, Two StrikesFastball27.3%32.9%Offspeed38.8%46.0%Curveball27.0%30.0%Slider32.2%36.2%
We again see Williams’s proficiency against velocity. He may not be able to hit curveballs quite yet, but at least he can recognize them. A 27% clip is nothing to scoff at. Every other pitch type, however, is a clear work in progress.