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At long last, we’ve reached the final day of spring training.
With regular-season games set to start on Wednesday, I’ve got one last batch of spring training MLB picks for you, including the Cleveland Guardians, Detroit Tigers, and Chicago Cubs on their respective moneylines on Tuesday, March 24.
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Spring Training predictions for March 24
Pick
Odds
CLE moneyline
+105
Tigers moneyline
-160
Cubs moneyline
-115
Pick #1: Guardians moneyline
Cleveland Guardians left-hander Parker Messick is a popular breakout candidate this year, and it’s easy to see why. He boasted a 2.72 ERA across seven starts while limiting the walks and home runs in his first cup of coffee at the MLB level.
The uptick in long balls this spring isn’t a concern, and I like him more than Arizona Diamondbacks right-hander Mike Soroka in this matchup.
Obviously, spring bullpens can strike (as they did for two of my three picks yesterday), and even with Jose Ramirez and Chase DeLauter on the bench, I like these odds, which have shifted from -110 to +105 since the Cleveland lineup was announced.
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Pick #2: Tigers moneyline
At -160, this is a lot of juice, but I expect the Detroit Tigers to deploy something very similar to their Opening Day lineup against Colorado Rockies starting pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano.
Sugano has thrown just three innings this spring and is coming off his debut MLB season where he posted a 4.64 ERA, allowed 33 home runs, and recorded a paltry 15.7% strikeout rate over 157 innings.
He doesn’t miss bats, and even though Justin Verlander hasn’t looked his best this spring, the old goat still has something left in the tank, as evidenced by his 3.85 ERA in 152 innings with the Giants last season. The talent disparity on the whole is worth paying the elevated price.
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Pick #3: Cubs moneyline
Gerrit Cole makes his second spring start for the New York Yankees in his road back from elbow surgery. He pitched just one inning in his last outing, and I don’t see them pushing him much more than that today, as his regular-season debut isn’t expected to come until May or June.
The Chicago Cubs haven’t seen the best from Edward Cabrera yet, but most of his 6.35 ERA came from his last outing when he allowed seven earned runs over three awful innings.
So, small sample sizes aside, with the Yankees likely going to the pen early, the Cubs are in a better position to do damage against the relievers.
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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