The Padres are -130 favorites vs the Tigers
Tigers vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
Tigers / Padres TV Channel: DSN | PDTV
The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-130) on March 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Tigers are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 0-1 ATS.
Tigers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
Tigers starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Tigers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineTigers+1.5 -225O 7.5 -120+110Padres -1.5 +170U 7.5 +100-130
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+10.00 Units / 200% ROI)
Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.25 Units / 29% ROI)
Riley Greene has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.20 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Jackson Merrill has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.95 Units / 44% ROI)
Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+10.10 Units / 101% ROI)
Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+8.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.70 Units / 63% ROI)
Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.55 Units / 65% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 93 of their last 170 games (+12.50 Units / 6% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 76 of their last 142 games (+10.40 Units / 7% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+10.15 Units / 20% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 away games (+2.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 151 games (+17.30 Units / 10% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 79 games at home (+14.55 Units / 16% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 70 of their last 123 games (+10.55 Units / 7% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 79 games at home (+10.00 Units / 11% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 81 games at home (+8.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 140% ROI).
1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 80% ROI
1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -100% ROI).
0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Padres vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Padres vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Padres vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
Padres vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Tigers were 74-19 (.796) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Tigers were 47-9 (.839) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
The Tigers were 78-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Padres were 52-29 (.642) at home in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Padres were 11-55 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Padres were 25-14 (.641) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face Tigers ( in runs allowed).
The Padres are 67-19 (.779) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Tigers batted .265 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Tigers are batting just .083 with two-strikes in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Tigers hitters slugged .439 against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.
Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Padres hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Padres hitters have drawn walks in 2% of their PA’s against RHP in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 3.89 (700.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .234 against Tigers pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% in the postseason — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres pitchers allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Opponents batted just .225 against Padres pitchers in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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