The Orioles are -155 favorites vs the Twins
Twins vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
Twins / Orioles TV Channel: TWTV | MASN
The Minnesota Twins (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-155) on March 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Twins are 1-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 0-2 ATS.
Twins vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Twins vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineTwins+1.5 -175O 9 -120+125Orioles -1.5 +145U 9 +100-155
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Bailey Ober has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Matt Wallner has hit the Walks Over in his last 6 away games (+8.75 Units / 146% ROI)
Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+8.35 Units / 104% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Shane Baz has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.85 Units / 47% ROI)
Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.45 Units / 34% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 80 away games (+18.00 Units / 19% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 75 away games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 80 away games (+6.65 Units / 7% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 away games (+5.65 Units / 14% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 141 games (+30.03 Units / 19% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 157 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 113 games (+9.85 Units / 8% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+8.05 Units / 8% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.45 Units / 37% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 2-0 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 59.7% ROI).
1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 20% ROI
0-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
2-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 0-2 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -100% ROI).
1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -21.31% ROI
0-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
2-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Orioles vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Orioles vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Orioles vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
Orioles vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 20-76 (.208) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Twins were just 33-39 (.458) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Orioles (20th in runs scored).
The Twins were just 30-40 (.429) after a win in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
The Orioles were just 63-10 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Twins hitters had an OBP of just .295 (704 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Twins batted just .126 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Orioles batted just .229 on the road in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
The Orioles answered-back in just 23% of innings after an opponent scored in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters had an OPS of just .671 (3,064 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Twins pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Twins pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers allowed an OBP of .352 (1,434 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers had a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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