Rays vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+18.10 Units / 201% ROI)

Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 games (+10.45 Units / 91% ROI)

Jonny Deluca has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)

Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 42% ROI)

Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+17.00 Units / 340% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.45 Units / 27% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)

Garrett Mitchell has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+7.10 Units / 118% ROI)

William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 56% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 65 of their last 114 games (+11.05 Units / 8% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 82 of their last 146 games (+9.50 Units / 6% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 75 away games (+5.10 Units / 6% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 75 away games (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 125 games (+25.15 Units / 15% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 82 of their last 167 games (+21.55 Units / 10% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 95 of their last 164 games (+20.74 Units / 11% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 98 of their last 167 games (+19.90 Units / 10% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 97 games (+17.10 Units / 14% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 1-2 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -18.33% ROI).

1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -40.54% ROI

3-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 95.24% ROI

0-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -100% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 3-0 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 120% ROI).

3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 54.55% ROI

2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Brewers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rays were just 63-11 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Rays were just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Rays are 88-9 (.898) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Rays are 16-196 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Brewers were 30-20 (.600) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Rays (fifth in runs scored).

The Brewers were 60-36 (.625) after a win in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Brewers were 79-6 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Rays batted .262 at home in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

27% of Rays hitters strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays hitters had an OPS of just .638 (1,859 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

Brewers hitters had 121 extra-base hits out of 435 total hits (just 28%) against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers won 60% of games in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters put 40% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% over the past seven days (3 games) — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers won 40% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Brewers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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