Nationals vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today

The Phillies are -185 favorites vs the Nationals

Nationals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9 Runs

Nationals / Phillies TV Channel: NATV | NSP+ | MLBN

The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-185) on March 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Nationals are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 1-3 ATS.

Nationals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

Nationals starting pitcher: PJ Poulin 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineNationals+1.5 -130O 9 -105+155Phillies -1.5 +105U 9 -115-185

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

Joey Wiemer has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+21.70 Units / 241% ROI)

Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.85 Units / 72% ROI)

Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+12.85 Units / 47% ROI)

Daylen Lile has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.80 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Otto Kemp has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+13.50 Units / 150% ROI)

Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 56% ROI)

Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)

Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 51% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 87 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 66 away games (+11.40 Units / 17% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 76 of their last 136 games (+10.82 Units / 7% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 64 away games (+9.20 Units / 11% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 57 away games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 117 games (+20.46 Units / 15% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+20.35 Units / 16% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 83 games at home (+12.35 Units / 9% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 99 games (+9.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 42.55% ROI).

3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 108.75% ROI

3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 44.32% ROI

1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -51.14% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 1-3 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -41.25% ROI).

1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -58.73% ROI

3-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 67.42% ROI

0-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -74.71% ROI

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals were just 27-38 (.409) after a win in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Nationals were just 11-43 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Nationals were just 29-34 (.460) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face the Phillies (20th runs allowed).

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies were 42-24 (.636) after a loss in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Phillies were 69-5 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Phillies were 96-66 (.593) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters slugged just .353 against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals won only 40% of their home games in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters had an OPS of just .640 (1,704 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters had an OBP of just .292 (730 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters had an OPS of .812 (3,038 PA’s) at home in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters had an OPS of .787 (1,910 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies won 59% of games in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

The Nationals allowed 1.85 runs per game (299/162) in late innings in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.34 (1424.2 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .284 against Nationals pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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