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Kevin Gausman’s splitter was too hard to handle for the A’s on opening night, and I expect similar struggles from the Colorado Rockies this afternoon.
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Find out why with my Rockies vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for today’s game.
Rockies vs Blue Jays predictionsRockies vs Blue Jays best bet: Kevin Gausman Over 6.5 strikeouts (-145)
When Kevin Gausman is locating his split-finger fastball, he’s one of the most unhittable pitchers in all of baseball.
This was the case last week when he rang up 11 A’s batters on Opening Night, and I’m expecting a similar outcome this afternoon against the Colorado Rockies.
The Rockies batted just .133 against the splitter last season with a MLB-worst 41.5% strikeout rate, including striking out eight times against Gausman in his lone start against them.
Gausman had a 34% K-rate with his splitter last season and a 72.7% rate in his last outing vs the A’s.
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Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Kevin Gausman is averaging 7.8 strikeouts per game over his last five starts.
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Rockies vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)
The Toronto Blue Jays are averaging 5.2 runs per game this season, going Over the 4.5-run mark in four out of their five games this year. With Freeland and his career 9.31 ERA when facing Toronto on the mound, I think they’ll eclipse that mark again.
I’ll also add Daulton Varsho to go Over his hits prop. He’s 3-for-7 against Kyle Freeland and has a career 1.049 OPS against this Rockies pitching staff as a whole.
Rockies vs Blue Jays SGP
Kevin Gausman Over 6.5 strikeouts
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 hits
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Rockies vs Blue Jays home run pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+285)
I’m only making this a half-unit wager. Freeland is a line-drive contact pitcher who gets hit hard by righties, and the best line drive right-handed power hitter on the Jays is Vladdy, who’s certainly primed to hit his first homer of the season.
2026 Transparency record
Best bets: 1-3, -1.65 units
HR picks: 1-3, +0.05 units
Rockies vs Blue Jays odds
Moneyline: Colorado +240 | Toronto -290
Run line: Colorado +1.5 (+115) | Toronto -1.5 (-135)
Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Rockies vs Blue Jays trend
The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 games between these teams. Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Blue Jays.
How to watch Rockies vs Blue Jays and game info
Location
Rogers Center, Toronto, ON
Date
Wednesday, April 1, 2026
First pitch
1:07 p.m. ET
TV
Rockies.TV, SN
Rockies starting pitcher
Kyle Freeland
(0-1, 4.15 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher
Kevin Gausman
(0-0, 1.50 ERA)
Rockies vs Blue Jays latest injuriesRockies vs Blue Jays weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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