The Braves are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks

Braves vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs

Braves / Diamondbacks TV Channel: BRVN | DBTV | ESUN

The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) on April 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Braves are 4-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 5-1 ATS.

Braves vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 0-0, 1.50 ERA

Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 0-0, 7.72 ERA

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineBraves-1.5 +135O 9 -120-120Diamondbacks +1.5 -160U 9 +100+100

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

Drake Baldwin has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+16.00 Units / 160% ROI)

Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+12.45 Units / 62% ROI)

Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 74% ROI)

Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.65 Units / 27% ROI)

Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+13.20 Units / 189% ROI)

Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 60% ROI)

Gabriel Moreno has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)

Jordan Lawlar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 games at home (+7.25 Units / 113% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 26 away games (+20.90 Units / 61% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 away games (+12.90 Units / 44% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.55 Units / 11% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 41 away games (+7.70 Units / 17% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 43 of their last 71 games at home (+20.15 Units / 19% ROI)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.90 Units / 29% ROI)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 71 games at home (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 67 of their last 121 games (+8.00 Units / 6% ROI)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 4-2 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 59.02% ROI).

4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 9.38% ROI

0-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -100% ROI

6-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 89.55% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 5-1 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 60.87% ROI).

3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 4.72% ROI

4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 27.07% ROI

2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -35.88% ROI

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Braves are just 14-71 (.165) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Braves were just 21-74 (.221) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks were 6-65 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Braves are batting .560 in hitter’s counts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .042 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .042 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of 66% with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .128 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 68% this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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