Rays vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today

The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Twins

Rays vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs

Rays / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | RATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on April 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Rays are 2-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 4-3 ATS.

Rays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

Rays starting pitcher: Steven Matz 1-0, 7.21 ERA

Twins starting pitcher: Mick Abel 0-1, 13.51 ERA

Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineRays-1.5 +155O 7.5 -110-110Twins +1.5 -190U 7.5 -110-110

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+16.00 Units / 160% ROI)

Junior Caminero has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 34% ROI)

Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 55% ROI)

Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Tristan Gray has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+11.20 Units / 112% ROI)

Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)

Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)

Austin Martin has hit the Walks Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 51% ROI)

Austin Martin has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 40% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 65 of their last 114 games (+11.05 Units / 8% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 82 of their last 146 games (+9.50 Units / 6% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 75 away games (+5.10 Units / 6% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 75 away games (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 95 games (+16.40 Units / 14% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 92% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 119 games (+4.25 Units / 3% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 2-5 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -47.09% ROI).

2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -41.67% ROI

6-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 65.77% ROI

1-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -73.58% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 4-3 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -5.56% ROI

3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Rays were just 63-11 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Rays were just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Rays are 52-6 (.881) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Rays are 20-136 (.128) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 70-73 (.490) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Twins were just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Twins were just 20-76 (.208) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .308 with runners on base since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .380 this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters slugged just .316 against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins have scored 23 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.

The Twins have scored 3.29 runs per game (23/7) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

The Twins have scored 3.29 runs per game (23/7) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

The Twins batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Rays pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .276 against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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