The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Pirates

Orioles vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs

Orioles / Pirates TV Channel: MASN | SNP+

The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on April 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Orioles are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 4-3 ATS.

Orioles vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-0, 7.72 ERA

Pirates starting pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski 0-0, 4.16 ERA

Orioles vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineOrioles-1.5 +145O 8.5 -115-110Pirates +1.5 -175U 8.5 -105-110

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 26% ROI)

Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 100% ROI)

Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)

Samuel Basallo has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.80 Units / 69% ROI)

Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 41% ROI)

Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+10.95 Units / 110% ROI)

Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 53% ROI)

Marcell Ozuna has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 28% ROI)

Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 40% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 141 games (+30.03 Units / 19% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 84 of their last 142 games (+17.65 Units / 10% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 113 games (+9.85 Units / 8% ROI)

The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+8.05 Units / 8% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 150 games (+27.90 Units / 17% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 151 games (+26.80 Units / 15% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 124 games (+24.60 Units / 15% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games at home (+14.29 Units / 18% ROI)

The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 games at home (+13.10 Units / 18% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 2-5 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -39.75% ROI).

3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -23.37% ROI

4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 8.39% ROI

3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -18.3% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 4-3 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -4.55% ROI).

4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 21.05% ROI

4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 9.87% ROI

3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -18.59% ROI

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Pirates are just 14-88 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

The Pirates were just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Pirates were just 6-50 (.107) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Pirates were just 1-80 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging .704 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters struck out in 24% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles batted just .229 on the road in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates batted just .219 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters slugged just .186 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers allowed an OBP of .352 (1,434 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 23% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 14% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Pirates won just 13% of the time in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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