The Reds are +105 favorites vs the Rangers

Reds vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs

Reds / Rangers TV Channel: RDTV | RASN

The Cincinnati Reds (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on April 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Reds are 5-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 4-4 ATS.

Reds vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 1-0, 0.00 ERA

Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 1-0, 3.00 ERA

Reds vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineReds-1.5 +165O 7.5 +100+105Rangers +1.5 -220U 7.5 -120-125

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.50 Units / 193% ROI)

Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)

TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)

Will Benson has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.40 Units / 138% ROI)

Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)

Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)

Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)

Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units / 19% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.10 Units / 12% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.90 Units / 11% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games at home (+14.70 Units / 18% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 76 games at home (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.70 Units / 11% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games at home (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 5-3 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 12.83% ROI).

5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 35.33% ROI

3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -16% ROI

4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 7.34% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -1.87% ROI).

4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -4.79% ROI

4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 19.55% ROI

2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -26.59% ROI

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Reds are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 11-123 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.

The Reds are just 8-127 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Rangers were 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Rangers were just 7-45 (.135) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Rangers were just 7-18 (.280) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers were just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 39% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .355 against LHP since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .177 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .748 (60 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers batted just .225 against LHP in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters slugged just .363 at home in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of just .290 (1,672 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .228 against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Reds pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.8 MPH (3,917 batted balls) in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Rangers won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .221 against Rangers pitchers in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .205 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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