The Mariners are -102 favorites vs the Rangers

Mariners vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs

Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: MRTV | RASN

The Seattle Mariners (-102) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-118) on April 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Mariners are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 4-5 ATS.

Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 0-1, 6.76 ERA

Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 0-0, 5.79 ERA

Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMariners-1.5 +170O 7.5 -115-102Rangers +1.5 -210U 7.5 -105-118

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+12.50 Units / 125% ROI)

Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)

Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 44% ROI)

Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.30 Units / 91% ROI)

Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.45 Units / 27% ROI)

Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.05 Units / 42% ROI)

Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.40 Units / 138% ROI)

Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)

Wyatt Langford has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 92 of their last 162 games (+19.65 Units / 11% ROI)

The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)

The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.65 Units / 18% ROI)

The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)

The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 44 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games at home (+14.70 Units / 18% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 75 games at home (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.70 Units / 11% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games at home (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)

The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 4-6 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -21.4% ROI).

4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -33.79% ROI

5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -4.11% ROI

5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -4.52% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 4-5 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -10.26% ROI).

4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -15.96% ROI

4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 7.54% ROI

3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -13.2% ROI

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners were 9-55 (.141) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Mariners were 12-55 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Mariners were 5-59 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mariners were 18-10 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers were 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Rangers were just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers were just 7-18 (.280) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers were just 7-45 (.135) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging .697 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .198 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends

Rangers hitters are slugging just .360 at home since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of just .653 (1,672 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitter’ K:BB ratio is 6.0 against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .224 at home since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .205 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers had an ERA of 3.49 (1443.0 IP) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Rangers have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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