The Phillies are -115 favorites vs the Giants

Phillies vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs

Phillies / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | NSP+

The Philadelphia Phillies (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on April 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 pm in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Phillies are 5-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 2-7 ATS.

Phillies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 1-0, 1.69 ERA

Giants starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-1, 1.69 ERA

Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylinePhillies-1.5 +150O 8 -115-115Giants +1.5 -185U 8 -105-105

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 46% ROI)

Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 29% ROI)

Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)

Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)

Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)

Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.85 Units / 84% ROI)

Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.35 Units / 50% ROI)

Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.15 Units / 48% ROI)

Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 59 away games (+20.55 Units / 30% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 79 away games (+14.70 Units / 15% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 79 away games (+13.30 Units / 15% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 74 of their last 148 games (+10.15 Units / 4% ROI)

The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 99 games (+9.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 2-7 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -54.95% ROI).

5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -7.19% ROI

5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 15.84% ROI

3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -24.74% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 2-7 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -58.68% ROI).

3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -40.93% ROI

4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 6.25% ROI

3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -12.04% ROI

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies were 42-24 (.636) after a loss in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Phillies were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Phillies were 96-66 (.593) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Giants were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Giants were 11-65 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Giants were 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Giants are 21-138 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The Phillies are batting just .152 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Phillies hitters slugged .469 at home in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Giants Hitting Stats & Trends

42% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .631 (1,623 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants batted just .214 against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters are slugging just .253 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Giants Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

The Giants allowed 1.02 runs per game (165/161) in late innings in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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