The Marlins are -135 favorites vs the Reds

Reds vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7 Runs

Reds / Marlins TV Channel: RDTV | MATV

The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-135) on April 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Reds are 7-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 3-7 ATS.

Reds vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 0-1, 3.09 ERA

Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 2-0, 0.00 ERA

Reds vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineReds+1.5 -210O 7 +100+110Marlins -1.5 +170U 7 -120-135

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

Andrew Abbott has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.20 Units / 54% ROI)

Andrew Abbott has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.40 Units / 66% ROI)

Andrew Abbott has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 91% ROI)

Andrew Abbott has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)

Andrew Abbott has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 49% ROI)

Sandy Alcantara has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Sandy Alcantara has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Sandy Alcantara has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.65 Units / 56% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units / 19% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.10 Units / 12% ROI)

The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.90 Units / 11% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+23.85 Units / 23% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 87 games (+20.20 Units / 20% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 143 games (+15.10 Units / 8% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games at home (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 7-3 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 18.35% ROI).

7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 42.78% ROI

3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -24.62% ROI

6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 16.42% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 3-7 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -26.77% ROI).

6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 29.66% ROI

6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 28.21% ROI

4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -36.82% ROI

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Reds are just 5-62 (.075) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.

The Reds are just 8-52 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Reds are 7-3 (.700) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Marlins are 15-70 (.176) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .123.

The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Marlins are 70-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .957.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .137 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 39% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters slugged just .353 against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters slugged just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters averaged just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance in the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .835 (208 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 32% against Marlins pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.04 (727.1 IP) on the road since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .193 against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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