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The Milwaukee Brewers and Boston Red Sox wrap up a three-game set at Fenway Park on Wednesday afternoon.
Boston evened the series by winning 3-2 last night, and my Brewers vs. Red Sox predictions are backing the home side to win again.
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Here are my best free MLB picks for this interleague showdown on April 8.
Who will win Brewers vs Red Sox today: Boston moneyline (-121)
Sonny Gray was roughed up in his Boston Red Sox debut but bounced back with a solid start last week. Gray had a 4.28 ERA last year but his FIP was much better at 3.39.
I trust him more than southpaw Shane Drohan, who makes his MLB debut for the Milwaukee Brewers. Drohan has good swing-and-miss stuff but struggles with command.
Boston has struggled with strikeouts this season but is hitting well against lefties (.256 BA). The Red Sox are also 10th in the majors in barrel rate and sixth in exit velocity, indicating positive regression.
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COVERS INTEL:
Sonny Gray had a 3.29 SIERA and a 26.7% strikeout rate in 2025 — both numbers ranking sixth in the majors among qualifying starters.
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Brewers vs Red Sox Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (-101)
Drohan has potential as a back-of-the-rotation starter, but there’s a reason Boston traded him away in the offseason. He was also just the No. 25-ranked prospect in the Brewers system on MLB pipeline.
Meanwhile, Gray has been inconsistent dating back to the midway point of last season. The Brewers are fourth in the majors in OPS (.782) and third in runs per game (6.36). They are also familiar with Gray’s stuff since he spent most of his career in the NL Central.
There’s simply too many question marks for both starters for the total to be this low.
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Rohit Ponnaiya’s 2026 MLB Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 3-3, -0.7 units
Over/Under bets: 2-0, +2 units
Brewers vs Red Sox odds
Moneyline: Brewers +117 | Red Sox -122
Run line: Brewers +1.5 (-178) | Red Sox -1.5 (+170)
Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+100) | Under 7.5 (-104)
Brewers vs Red Sox trend
The Red Sox have won 31 of their last 50 games at home (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Red Sox.
How to watch Brewers vs Red Sox and game info
Location
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Date
Wednesday, April 8, 2026
First pitch
1:35 p.m. ET
TV
BREW, NESN
Brewers starting pitcher
Shane Drohan
(MLB debut)
Red Sox starting pitcher
Sonny Gray
(1-0, 4.50 ERA)
Brewers vs Red Sox latest injuriesBrewers vs Red Sox weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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