Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today

The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Brewers

Brewers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs

Brewers / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BRTV

The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on April 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Brewers are 8-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 2-9 ATS.

Brewers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

Brewers starting pitcher: Shane Drohan 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 1-0, 4.36 ERA

Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 58% ROI)

Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 95% ROI)

Luis Rengifo has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 away games (+8.00 Units / 160% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.85 Units / 112% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)

Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Sonny Gray has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 24% ROI)

Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+7.60 Units / 152% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.10 Units / 41% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+6.60 Units / 13% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.30 Units / 41% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)

The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.95 Units / 20% ROI)

The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)

The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)

The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 50 games at home (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 9-2 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 76.38% ROI).

8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 28.85% ROI

7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 21.67% ROI

4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -31.15% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 2-9 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -61.94% ROI).

3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -50.17% ROI

6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 4.6% ROI

5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -13.88% ROI

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Brewers are 79-7 (.919) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Brewers were 21-2 (.913) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Brewers are 24-2 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Red Sox are just 3-7 (.300) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Red Sox are just 3-8 (.273) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers have scored 39 runs with two outs this season — tied for most in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased just 20% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers batted .268 against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters chased just 19% pitches when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters have struck out in just 14% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox batted .182 with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

The Red Sox batted .280 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters had an OPS of .754 (1,943 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have 23 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.84 (705.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.72 (1448.1 IP) in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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