The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Rockies

Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs

Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV

The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on April 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Rockies are 6-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 6-5 ATS.

Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

Rockies starting pitcher: Brennan Bernardino 1-0, 1.93 ERA

Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-0, 0.75 ERA

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineRockies+1.5 -140O 8 -115+155Padres -1.5 +115U 8 -105-190

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

Kyle Karros has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+8.10 Units / 36% ROI)

Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+7.90 Units / 88% ROI)

Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.80 Units / 65% ROI)

Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 54% ROI)

Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Jackson Merrill has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)

Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+7.20 Units / 90% ROI)

Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Walks Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.95 Units / 174% ROI)

Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)

Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+5.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 away games (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.80 Units / 16% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.55 Units / 62% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 76% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)

The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.30 Units / 14% ROI)

The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)

The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)

The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 24% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 10-2 against the Run Line (+8.55 Units / 61.96% ROI).

6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 32.08% ROI

3-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -52.08% ROI

9-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 43.73% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 6-5 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -6.3% ROI).

6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 1.87% ROI

5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -11.79% ROI

6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 3.77% ROI

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 20-67 (.230) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .456.

The Rockies are just 45-101 (.308) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Rockies were just 43-119 (.265) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies were just 40-96 (.294) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres were 48-12 (.800) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Padres are 68-6 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Padres were 11-55 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Padres are 51-12 (.810) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .748.

Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .260 (3,113 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .593 (3,113 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies won only 22% of their road games in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters had an OBP of just .259 (2,886 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have 15 extra-base hits out of 27 total hits (56%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .623 (279 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.00 (1407.1 IP) in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Padres pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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