Nationals vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today

The Brewers are -200 favorites vs the Nationals

Nationals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs

Nationals / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-200) on April 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Nationals are 4-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 9-3 ATS.

Nationals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 1-1, 8.01 ERA

Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 1-0, 0.97 ERA

Nationals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineNationals+1.5 -135O 8 -110+165Brewers -1.5 +110U 8 -110-200

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+26.30 Units / 376% ROI)

Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+13.70 Units / 52% ROI)

Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.85 Units / 71% ROI)

Jake Irvin has hit the Earned Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 36% ROI)

Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 27% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 39% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)

Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+7.95 Units / 29% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+8.65 Units / 48% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.90 Units / 30% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.65 Units / 20% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.75 Units / 25% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+12.30 Units / 66% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+9.55 Units / 12% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 2.01% ROI).

4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -14.34% ROI

9-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 44.06% ROI

3-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -52.99% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 9-3 against the Run Line (+7.85 Units / 53.95% ROI).

8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 20.92% ROI

7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 10.19% ROI

5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -20.83% ROI

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Nationals are just 11-46 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.

The Nationals were just 64-79 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Nationals are just 69-104 (.397) since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Brewers are 5-1 (.833) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .553.

The Brewers were 97-65 (.599) in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 79-7 (.919) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting .304 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals won only 40% of their home games in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 37 runs with two outs this season — 3rd most in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .860 (154 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers have scored 39 runs with two outs this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,464 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Brewers won 56% of their road games in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .486 this season — highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 8.33 runs per game (50/6) at home this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.34 (1424.2 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.39 (1531.2 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.59 (1442.0 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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