Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today

The Twins are -105 favorites vs the Blue Jays

Twins vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs

Twins / Blue Jays TV Channel: TWTV | RSN

The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on April 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Twins are 7-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 4-9 ATS.

Twins vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 1-1, 4.50 ERA

Blue Jays starting pitcher: Eric Lauer 1-1, 4.91 ERA

Twins vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineTwins-1.5 +165O 8 -110-105Blue Jays +1.5 -200U 8 -110-115

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)

Luke Keaschall has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.30 Units / 41% ROI)

Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+7.00 Units / 175% ROI)

Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+6.90 Units / 13% ROI)

Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.45 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

George Springer has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)

Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)

George Springer has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)

George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+7.15 Units / 79% ROI)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 34% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 33% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.70 Units / 25% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 51% ROI)

The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.00 Units / 30% ROI)

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+3.95 Units / 9% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 8-6 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 9.25% ROI

6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -11.33% ROI

7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 2.61% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 4-9 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -39.53% ROI).

6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -27.45% ROI

6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -11.66% ROI

7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 2.08% ROI

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 24-32 (.429) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Blue Jays (26th runs allowed).

The Twins are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .027.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays are 1-5 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .027.

The Blue Jays are 75-5 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .090 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a swing rate of just 39% in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Twins pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Twins pitchers this month (10 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers won 45% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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