The Tigers are -210 favorites vs the Marlins

Marlins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs

Marlins / Tigers TV Channel: DSN | MATV

The Miami Marlins (+170) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-210) on April 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Marlins are 8-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 6-9 ATS.

Marlins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 2-0, 0.75 ERA

Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 1-2, 2.55 ERA

Marlins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMarlins+1.5 -150O 6.5 -120+170Tigers -1.5 +125U 6.5 +100-210

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+15.05 Units / 70% ROI)

Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 47% ROI)

Jakob Marsee has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 35% ROI)

Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)

Sandy Alcantara has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Dillon Dingler has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games at home (+10.65 Units / 152% ROI)

Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 49% ROI)

Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+9.35 Units / 117% ROI)

Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 35% ROI)

Wenceel Perez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 away games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.80 Units / 24% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)

The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)

The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)

The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.60 Units / 88% ROI)

The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.60 Units / 42% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 5-10 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -28% ROI).

8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 5.62% ROI

9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 21.34% ROI

5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -30.12% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 6-9 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -14.37% ROI).

6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -27.43% ROI

6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -10.61% ROI

7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 2.12% ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Marlins are 1-6 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .026.

The Marlins are 6-81 (.069) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .042.

The Marlins are 11-73 (.131) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.

The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Tigers are just 6-9 (.400) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers were 74-19 (.796) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Tigers are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 46% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

The Marlins are 1-6 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .026.

The Marlins are batting .210 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends

Tigers hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters slugged .439 against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting .264 against LHP since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .275 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .200 against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 17% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) — highest in MLB.

Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends

Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.03 (44.1 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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