April 13, 2026, 12:26 p.m. ET
The Miami Marlins (8-8) and Atlanta Braves (10-6) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia, is at 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Braves won 8-5 in 2025
The Marlins enter this series coming after getting swept in a 3-game series at the Detroit Tigers, scoring only 3 runs in the series. SP Sandy Alcantara allowed 7 runs on 10 hits and 2 walks, including 3 homers, while striking out 4 in 6 innings in Sunday’s 8-2 loss. The Marlins were +150 underdogs against Tigers ace and winning pitcher Tarik Skubal (6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K) as the Over (6.5) cashed.
The Braves took 2 out of 3 in a home series against the Cleveland Guardians and have won 4 of their last 5 games. They pounded out 19 hits Sunday night in a 13-1 rout as -196 favorites with the Over (7) hitting. SS Jorge Mateo went 4 for 4 with an RBI and 2 runs from the 9 hole, while 2B Ozzie Albies was 3 for 4 with an RBI and 2 runs. SP Chris Sale scattered 8 hits and a walk in 6 innings of 1-run ball with 6 K’s before RP Dylan Dodd picked up his first career save after working 3 scoreless innings (1 H, 0 BB, 2 K).
Watch MLB on Fubo!Marlins at Braves projected starters
RHP Eury Perez vs. RHP Grant Holmes
Perez (1-1, 5.06 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 9 BB and 18 K’s through 16 innings.
Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER (4 R), 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-4 home victory vs. Cincinnati Reds WednesdayCareer vs. Braves: 0-2, 12.19 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 2.13 WHIP, 18 H, 4 BB, 7 K in 3 starts2025 road splits: 4-3, 5.33 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 12 starts
Holmes (1-1, 2.55 ERA) is also slated to make his fourth start of 2026. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 8 BB and 14 K’s through 17 2/3 innings.
Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 8-2 win at Los Angeles Angels WednesdayCareer vs. Marlins: 1-0, 3.14 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 15 H, 7 BB, 14 K in 3 starts2025 home splits: 2-6, 2.93 ERA (67 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 12 startsMarlins at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Marlins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Braves -145 (bet $145 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-185) | Braves -1.5 (+150)Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Marlins at Braves picks and predictionsPrediction
Braves 8, Marlins 2
The Marlins (+120) are 1-5 in away games to start the season and, as mentioned, only scored 3 total runs in their last 3 games. They have been held to 2 or fewer runs in 4 of their 6 road games.
The Braves (-145) are 6-3 at Truist Park and have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games, all wins.
Expect the Braves’ success to continue in the series opener, but we can take care of solid plus odds betting them on the run line for better value than the ML.
PASS.
All 10 of the Braves’ wins this season have been by at least 2 runs. All 8 of the Marlins’ losses have been by at least 2 runs.
If you like the Braves to win, this is an easy call. Bet them to cover.
BET BRAVES -1.5 (+150).
Four of the Marlins’ last 6 games and 10 of their last 13 games have had at least 9 total runs.
Four of the Braves’ last 5 games overall and 5 of their last 6 wins have had 9 or more total runs.
BET OVER 8.5 (+100).
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