The Brewers are -105 favorites vs the Marlins
Brewers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
Brewers / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | BRTV
The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-115) on April 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Miami, FL.
This season, the Brewers are 11-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 7-13 ATS.
Brewers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff 1-0, 4.32 ERA
Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 2-1, 2.70 ERA
Brewers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineBrewers-1.5 +165O 7.5 -118-105Marlins +1.5 -200U 7.5 -102-115
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+15.05 Units / 150% ROI)
Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+12.60 Units / 252% ROI)
Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 away games (+12.20 Units / 90% ROI)
Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 37% ROI)
Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.60 Units / 96% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+24.00 Units / 343% ROI)
Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 58% ROI)
Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 60% ROI)
Graham Pauley has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Agustin Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games at home (+7.95 Units / 133% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.10 Units / 37% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.85 Units / 14% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 21% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+3.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 12-7 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 30.7% ROI).
11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -2.63% ROI
11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 9.18% ROI
8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -19.17% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 7-13 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -29.64% ROI).
9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -6.65% ROI
13-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.5 Units / 33.94% ROI
5-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units / -42.01% ROI
Marlins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Yes
Gary Sanchez
Jake Bauers
Agustin Ramirez
Connor Norby
William Contreras
Marlins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Marlins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Brewers are just 6-4 (.600) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.
The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Brewers were 97-65 (.599) in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Marlins are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.
The Marlins are 6-84 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Marlins are 15-75 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,510 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
The Brewers batted .268 against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Brewers hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Marlins hitters struck out in just 21% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Marlins hitters averaged just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance in the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have picked-off 7 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have picked-off 8 runners this season — most in MLB.
The Brewers pitchers have allowed 256 barreled balls in the 2025 season — 3rd fewest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.59 (1442.0 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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