Stan Son gives his top studs and value plays for Monday’s eight-game fantasy baseball slate on DraftKings.
We’ve got an eight-game slate for Monday’s MLB action.
Let’s find some studs and values for your MLB DFS lineups on DraftKings. This article was written before lineups were announced.
Make your DraftKings MLB DFS picks here: MLB $200K Knuckleball [$50K to 1st]
PITCHER
Stud
Dylan Cease, Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels, $9,800 — Cease has always been a misser of bats, posting strikeout rates in the 30% range. Through 20.2 innings this season, that number is a robust 36%, but the 13.5% walk rate is quite concerning. The Ricky Vaughn in Cease looked to have been bottled up the last two seasons, but he’s back. That said, he hasn’t served up a long ball yet, the 1.91 FIP supports the 1.74 ERA and the Statcast numbers are sublime – 85.2 mph average exit velocity, 8.6 degree launch angle and 0% barrel rate. The Angels have been one of the top offenses this season – fifth in wRC+ and wOBA while being third in ISO – but the strikeout rate is seventh. The range of outcomes is wide, and considering the elevated price, doesn’t do anything for the nerves, but the upside is too much to ignore.
Value
Reid Detmers, Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays, $7,200 — Detmers has been great to start the season. Through 22.2 innings, the strikeout rate is 27.7% while the K-BB% is 21.3%. The 2.46 FIP is lower than the 3.57 ERA and he’s only allowed one home run. The bat speed allowed is an elevated 73 mph but the barrel rate is only 6.7%. Now, it hasn’t been smooth sailing, though. After posting 18.3 and 18.8 FPTS in the first two games, Detmers got lit up for five earned runs in 4.1 innings by Atlanta, finishing with 3 FPTS. He bounced back with 33.4 FPTS against the Yankees last outing. This matchup is different, as Toronto is dead-last in strikeouts but 24th in ISO, 21st in wOBA and 20th in wRC+, but the price is too nice for the potential upside.
INFIELD
Stud
Matt Olson, Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals, $4,500 — Olson has five home runs on the season in 94 plate appearances. The .296/.394/.605 slash is buoyed by the .373 BABIP, but the ISO is a robust .309. He’s failed to produce at least 1 FPTS only once this season while putting up double-digit FPTS 10 times with a high of 34 FPTS. Through 19 innings, Jake Irvin has a 4.86 FIP and allowed three home runs, two to lefties. The barrel rate allowed is 14.8% while the hard hit rate is 48.1%.
Connor Norby, Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals, $2,300 — Norby is slashing .270/.365/.444 with a .175 ISO. He has two home runs on the season. In 52 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, Norby has a 151 wRC+ and .234 ISO. Michael McGreevy has a 4.23 FIP while allowing a 14.9% barrel rate.
OUTFIELD
Stud
Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies, $6,800 — Ohtani “only” has a .236 ISO through 92 plate appearances. For mere mortals, that’s an awesome number. For Godtani, that’s a dishonor to the family name, as that number has been .340, .336 and .350 over the last three seasons. Ohtani has five home runs on the season, but he’s clubbed 55 and 54 over the last two seasons, so it’s only a matter of time before he gets hot. In addition, he has yet to steal a base after going 20, 59 and 20 over the last three seasons. He’s in Coors. I really don’t care who’s starting. The Rockies have a poor bullpen.
Dominic Canzone, Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics, $2,800 — Canzone usually bats toward the bottom of the lineup, so boo hoo. That said, he has two home runs and a stolen base in 53 plate appearances this season. The strikeout rate is only 18.9% while the ISO is .234. Against right-handed pitching, the wRC+ is 137 while the ISO is .244. J.T. Ginn has a 4.65 FIP with a paltry 6.3% K-BB%. He does limit hard contact well – 85.2 mph average exit velocity and 4.4% barrel rate – but in his career against lefties, the FIP is 5.86 with a 2.01 HR/9.