The Giants are -130 favorites vs the Marlins

Marlins vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs

Marlins / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | MATV

The Miami Marlins (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on April 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Marlins are 13-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 10-16 ATS.

Marlins vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 1-0, 3.96 ERA

Giants starting pitcher: Landen Roupp 4-1, 2.28 ERA

Marlins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMarlins+1.5 -210O 7.5 -115+110Giants -1.5 +170U 7.5 -105-130

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+18.50 Units / 462% ROI)

Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)

Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 28% ROI)

Liam Hicks has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)

Kyle Stowers has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 71% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Matt Chapman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 32% ROI)

Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.25 Units / 40% ROI)

Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.20 Units / 177% ROI)

Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+10.75 Units / 47% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.90 Units / 17% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+5.79 Units / 11% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.65 Units / 65% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+3.90 Units / 15% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 11-16 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -17.78% ROI).

13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -3.52% ROI

16-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 20.07% ROI

9-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -28.81% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 10-16 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units / -32.05% ROI).

12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -8.53% ROI

12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -3.55% ROI

12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -4.19% ROI

Giants vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Marlins are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.

The Marlins are 11-79 (.122) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Marlins are just 10-2 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Marlins are 6-87 (.065) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .044.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Giants are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Giants are 8-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .772.

The Giants are 41-9 (.820) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Giants are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have 6 extra-base hits out of 35 total hits (just 17%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .289 on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .289 (523 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Giants Hitting Stats & Trends

35% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .285 (713 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Giants are batting just .223 against LHP since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 2.84 (146.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

Giants Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 56% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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