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The New York Yankees — one of the hottest teams in baseball — will look to avoid a sweep against the Milwaukee Brewers this afternoon.
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New York got out to a lead last night only to see it dissolve in extra innings. Now it will send veteran Carlos Rodon to the mound to make his season debut, which introduces a high degree of volatility to the mix.
Read all about it in my Yankees vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, May 10.
Who will win Yankees vs Brewers today: Brewers (+105)
There’s an element of fatigue at play, with the New York Yankees playing their ninth game in nine days. Carlos Rodon is also making his season debut after not being a picture of consistency last season.
Season debuts naturally carry uncertainty, and they are even more of a concern with pitchers like Rodon. His 9.3% walk rate ranked in the Bottom 30% of baseball last season, and he now faces a patient swinging team in the Milwaukee Brewers today.
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On the other side, Logan Henderson has posted a 1.46 expected ERA through his first two outings.
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COVERS INTEL:
Logan Henderson has allowed zero barrels this season over 111 pitches thrown.
Yankees vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-133)
I’ve already mentioned the impressive metrics surrounding Henderson in a limited sample. Beyond that, though, the Brewers’ bullpen, with a collective 1.33 WHIP and 3.46 ERA, is well rested.
Strong performances for their starters have given them a good amount of options to close this one out, including the emerging DL Hall, who has a ton of swing-and-miss.
On the other hand, while I’ve mentioned concerns about Rodon, he has enough to limit the damage and help keep this Under. Even if the Brewers do get to him, New York won’t provide much else.
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Chris Hatfield’s 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 14-14, +0.01 units
Over/Under bets: 18-11, +8.72 units
Yankees vs Brewers odds
Moneyline: Yankees -121 | Brewers +109
Run line: Yankees -1.5 (+140) | Brewers +1.5 (-155)
Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+111) | Under 8.5 (-133)
Yankees vs Brewers trend
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the run line in five of their last six games at home (+6.10 Units / 85% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Brewers.
How to watch Yankees vs Brewers and game info
Location
American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date
Sunday, May 10, 2026
First pitch
2:10 p.m. ET
TV
YES, Brewers.TV
Yankees starting pitcher
Carlos Rodon
(2025: 18-9, 3.09 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher
Logan Henderson
(0-1, 4.50 ERA)
Yankees vs Brewers latest injuriesYankees vs Brewers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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