The Nationals are -125 favorites vs the Rockies

Nationals vs Rockies Over / Under today: 12 Runs

Nationals / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | NATV

The Washington Nationals (-125) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+105) on July 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 pm in Denver, CO.

This season, the Nationals are 50-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 54-47 ATS.

Nationals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

Nationals starting pitcher: PJ Poulin 3-0, 2.73 ERA

Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 2-8, 7.40 ERA

Nationals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineNationals-1.5 +118O 12 -110-125Rockies +1.5 -145U 12 -110+105

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 50% ROI)

CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+13.50 Units / 135% ROI)

Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+13.05 Units / 56% ROI)

CJ Abrams has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+12.50 Units / 62% ROI)

Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Willi Castro has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+16.90 Units / 338% ROI)

Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 62% ROI)

Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 33% ROI)

Kyle Freeland has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+23.15 Units / 45% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 50 away games (+20.60 Units / 35% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 50 away games (+20.55 Units / 29% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 away games (+17.65 Units / 33% ROI)

The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.30 Units / 22% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+6.15 Units / 32% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 45% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.25 Units / 31% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.70 Units / 30% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 59-39 against the Run Line (+12.25 Units / 8.98% ROI).

50-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 9.19% ROI

57-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.65 Units / 14.23% ROI

38-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.45 Units / -22.21% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 54-47 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.5% ROI).

40-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.69% ROI

47-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.65 Units / -8.61% ROI

51-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.27% ROI

Rockies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Nationals are just 43-9 (.827) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Nationals are just 22-27 (.449) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Nationals are 42-9 (.824) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Nationals are just 1-36 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Rockies are just 13-27 (.325) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Rockies are just 7-32 (.179) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Rockies are just 7-19 (.269) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Nationals (28th in runs allowed).

The Rockies are 9-52 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 39% at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have 236 extra-base hits out of 591 total hits (40%) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .754 (2,729 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Nationals are 35-14 (.714) against the run line (20.8% ROI) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 41% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

15% of Rockies’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (563/3,847 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 52% this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have chased 38% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.43 (466.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.06 runs per game (309/51) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .286 against Rockies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.85 (451.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .489 this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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