Evaluating professional debuts from recent draftees is always a fraught exercise.
Sample sizes are small, the changes in competition—and equipment—can be significant and many players are worn down after lengthy spring seasons. So, while it’s best to react slowly to new information, it’s worth paying attention to how elite players are handling their first go-round in affiliated ball.
Today we’re taking a look at how the top 30 picks from the 2026 draft class are doing in their pro debuts. That group includes 16 hitters and just one pitcher who have debuted so far.
Stats and data referenced below are through Sept. 1 games.
1. Roch Cholowsky, SS, White Sox
Level: High-A Winston-Salem
Performance: 9 G, 46 PA, .167/.326/.333, 15.2 BB%, 19.6 K%, 81 wRC+
Cholowsky played in nine games before his debut was cut short by right wrist soreness. He hit well in a four-game series against Asheville, going 5-for-18 (.278) with his first pro home run and a pair of doubles. He then scuffled in a road series against Greensboro, going 1-for-18 (.056) to close out his season. His contact quality (22.4% miss rate) and exit velocities (105.8 mph 90th percentile EV) were both strong, but his chase rate (28.4%) will be something to monitor in 2027. Cholowsky was also uncharacteristically error-prone in his brief debut, making five errors in 47 defensive chances (.897 fielding percentage) at shortstop.
2. Grady Emerson, SS, Rays
Level: Low-A Charleston
Performance: 9 G, 42 PA, .200/.333/.257, 16.7 BB%, 16.7 K%, 75 wRC+
Emerson went hitless in his first three pro games, but started to pick things up offensively after a 3-for-4 effort on Aug. 26 that featured his first pro extra-base hit. His miss rate (27.6%) is a bit higher than you might expect of a player with his amateur hitting pedigree, but he has also made strong swing decisions and used the entire field when he puts the ball in play. Emerson has been a heavy groundball hitter in this stretch (65.4%), but it’s far too small a sample size to worry about. He has been rock solid defensively, converting all 28 of his defensive chances at shortstop. Emerson has shown his arm strength when necessary and done a nice job throwing on the run without his feet set on a number of plays up the middle.
Solid night at the plate for Rays shortstop Grady Emerson: 2-for-4, two runs, two singles & three hard hit balls. He now has a hit in four consecutive games. Here’s an open-side look at both of his hits. pic.twitter.com/qNWHzGIUO8
— Ian Cundall (@IanCundall) September 3, 2026
3. Vahn Lackey, C, Twins
Level: Low-A Fort Myers/High-A Cedar Rapids
Performance: 21 G, 103 PA, .224/.417/.434, 22.3 BB%, 20.4 K%, 132 wRC+
The top catcher in the class went 11-for-54 (.204) in a 15-game stint in Low-A, but has managed an OPS north of 1.000 since his promotion to High-A Cedar Rapids on Aug. 25. Lackey has shown a patient approach in pro ball. He’s seeing more than 4.2 pitches per plate appearance and swinging just 33.7% of the time. That has led to strong on-base numbers, but he also has one of the lowest barrel rates (7.5%) of any activated top-30 hitter. Lackey has thrown out 18% of basestealers across both levels, but has consistently flashed elite, 80-grade pop times in the 1.8-1.85-second range.
6. Zion Rose, OF, Royals
Level: High-A Quad Cities
Performance: 16 G, 77 PA, .276/.416/.362, 18.2 BB%, 18.2 K%, 114 wRC+
The Royals sent Rose straight to High-A and he’s acquitted himself nicely with solid swing decisions, walk rates and lots of opposite-field groundball contact that has capped his slugging so far. Rose has five multi-hit games already—including a 3-for-5 effort on Aug. 26—and his max exit velocity (111.3 mph) is a standout metric that continues to hint at his future power upside if he’s able to lift the ball more consistently. Rose has played all of his games in left field, meaning anyone enamored with his natural speed and athleticism will have to wait to see if he’s able to hold his own in center.
7. Eric Booth Jr., OF, Orioles
Level: Low-A Delmarva
Performance: 13 G, 58 PA, .222/.362/.244, 17.2 BB%, 24.1 K%, 84 wRC+
Booth is one of the youngest players in the full-season minor leagues and one of just six players in their age-17 season in Low-A. That’ll make for fun trivia, because Booth actually turned 18 on July 4 and never played a pro game as a 17-year-old—season age is determined by a player’s age at midnight on June 30. Booth tallied hits in each of his first three pro games and has played both center field (43 innings) and right field (18 innings) so far. He’s shown one of the best batting eyes of any top-30 debut hitter (15.6% chase rate) but also has one of the highest groundball rates (63.6%).
8. Drew Burress, OF, Athletics
Level: Low-A Stockton
Performance: 23 G, 112 PA, .276/.438/.598, 19.6 BB%, 28.6 K%, 151 wRC+
Burress has a higher miss rate (33.6%), in-zone miss rate (22.9%) and strikeout rate (28.6%) than you’d like to see from a college hitter in Low-A. He has made up for that by getting to plenty of his power and reaching base at a healthy clip. He’s tied for the lead with seven home runs among all 2026 debutants and leads the group with 52 total bases. Burress is hitting the ball hard (103.7 mph 90th percentile exit velocity), but just as importantly, he’s continuing to get the ball in the air to the pull side with great frequency. His 39.3% air pull rate is excellent and also unsurprising given his batted ball tendencies throughout three years with Georgia Tech. He has also gone 11-for-12 on the bases.
11. Chris Hacopian, 2B, Nationals
Level: High-A Wilmington
Performance: 13 G, 48 PA, .275/.396/.350, 16.7 BB%, 16.7 K%, 109 wRC+
Hacopian did two things at an exceptional level in college: make contact and impact the baseball. He has continued to do both in pro ball. No top-30 draft pick beats his 106 mph 90th percentile exit velocity or his 9.8% in-zone miss rate. His power numbers are muted thus far because he’s hitting a lot of low line drives and ground balls back up the middle (43.8% center) and to the opposite field (43.8% oppo). His 7.1% air pull rate is currently lower than the likes of Eric Booth Jr. and Zion Rose. All of Hacopian’s 60 defensive innings have come at second base.
13. Trevor Condon, OF, Cardinals
Level: Low-A Palm Beach
Performance: 6 G, 28 PA, .280/.357/.440, 10.7 BB%, 17.9 K%, 114 wRC+
Condon had back-to-back multi-hit games to start his pro career, then hit his first home run as the calendar turned to September. The lefthanded-hitting speedster has been aggressive in the early going, but also selective. Despite swinging at 50% of the pitches he’s seen, Condon has just a 21.3% chase rate. His 28.7% swing-minus-chase rate is the best mark among all top-30 draftees so far.
Trevor Condon LAUNCHED his first pro homer 🚀
The Cardinals’ 2026 first-round pick has recorded a hit in five of his first six games at Low-A.
(🎥@GoPBCardinals) pic.twitter.com/TQ6LZFcMPA
— Baseball America (@BaseballAmerica) September 2, 2026
14. Jacob Lombard, SS, Marlins
Level: Low-A Jupiter
Performance: 19 G, 87 PA, .194/.322/.333, 12.6 BB%, 41.4 K%, 81 wRC+
It’s been slow going for Lombard, who slid out of the top 10 largely because of swing-and-miss concerns. He’ll continue to face those questions and has a 36:11 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his first 19 pro games. Lombard’s 36 strikeouts are third-most among all draftees, and his 41.4% strikeout rate is the highest of any draftee with at least 50 plate appearances. Among top-30 bats, only Drew Burress has a higher overall miss rate than Lombard’s 30.8%. Lombard’s swing decisions have been solid and he is hitting the ball quite hard on average. His 90.7 mph average exit velocity is only topped by collegians Logan Hughes (93.2) and Zion Rose (90.8) among top-30 hitters.
15. Ryder Helfrick, C, Diamondbacks
Level: Low-A Visalia
Performance: 20 G, 92 PA, .266/.337/.544, 10.9 BB%, 25.0 K%, 111 wRC+
Helfrick homered in back-to-back games to start his pro career and has continued to hit for plenty of extra-base damage since. In 20 games, Helfrick has four home runs, two triples and six doubles. That puts him near the top of the 2026 draftee leaderboard for total bases (43) and slugging (.544) among hitters with at least 50 plate appearances. His 50% air pull rate is likely unsustainable—unless he’s a righthanded-hitting Cal Raleigh—but Helfrick has shown an ability to play to his strengths (impact, elevation) to minimize the weaknesses of his below-average bat-to-ball skills so far.
17. Logan Hughes, OF, Astros
Level: Low-A Fayetteville
Performance: 21 G, 89 PA, .324/.438/.581, 13.5 BB%, 21.3 K%, 171 wRC+
Hughes has been one of the most impressive debut hitters in this class. His 1.019 OPS ranks eighth among 101 hitters from the class with at least 50 plate appearances, and his eight doubles are tied with Roman Martin for second among all draftees. He also has three home runs and terrific exit velocity data to back up his performance. Hughes’ 93.2 mph average exit velocity is a standout figure and ranks second behind only Jake Bennett (97.5 mph) among draftees with at least 50 plate appearances.
18. Justin Lebron, SS, Reds
Level: High-A Dayton
Performance: 18 G, 84 PA, .295/.345/.615, 7.1 BB%, 23.8 K%, 134 wRC+
Lebron’s debut is great evidence for how his electric toolset can impact a baseball game when things are going well. Even while continuing to swing-and-miss too frequently (29% miss, 22.3% in-zone miss) and struggling against spin (44% miss rate vs. breaking balls), his ability to hit for power has been electric. He had seven home runs and four doubles in 18 games, and has been a monster against fastballs. One of his home runs came against a 97 mph fastball from Kendry Chourio, and he has the ability to get his barrel accelerated and extended against elite velocity in a way that should serve him well as he climbs the ladder. He’s also done an excellent job hitting his hardest-hit balls in the air and to his pull side.
20. Jake Schaffner, SS, Red Sox
Level: High-A Greenville
Performance: 19 G, 96 PA, .303/.354/.427, 6.3 BB%, 19.8 K%, 101 wRC+
Schaffner has lived up to his pre-draft billing as a contact-oriented hitter with some power questions. He has been one of the better contact bats among top-30 hitters, with just an 18.5% miss rate and 10.2% in-zone miss rate. At the opposite end of the spectrum, his 99.6 mph 90th percentile exit velocity is lower than any hitter except Trevor Condon (99.3), who is three years younger. Schaffner has played every inning at shortstop and flashed exciting athleticism and actions at the position, but his carry on throws from the hole will be a developmental key.
22. Cameron Flukey, RHP, Tigers
Level: Low-A Lakeland
Performance: 3 G, 6.1 IP, 0.00 ERA, 4.09 FIP, 8 K, 4 BB
Until Jackson Flora makes his debut with San Jose this week, Flukey is the lone top-30 pitcher to appear in an official pro game. Flukey’s post-draft innings are more logical than most college pitchers because he missed much of the spring season with a rib injury. He has made three abbreviated starts with Low-A Lakeland so far, throwing 1.1, two and three innings, respectively, and hasn’t thrown more than 44 pitches in an outing. He has not allowed an earned run while striking out eight and walking four. Flukey has continued to throw his fastball in the mid 90s while primarily working off a hard slider and curveball as his go-to secondaries.
24. Ace Reese, 3B, Mariners
Level: Low-A Inland Empire
Performance: 18 G, 84 PA, .435/.548/.645, 21.4 BB%, 13.1 K%, 200 wRC+
Reese is making Low-A pitching look like Little League at the moment. He’s been the best debut hitter from this draft class so far, leading all hitters with at least 50 plate appearances in average (.435) and OPS (1.193) while ranking second in on-base percentage (.548) and third in slugging (.645). Reese has loads of raw power, but his carrying trait might be his ability to regularly hit the ball at ideal angles. More than half of his balls in play have come between five and 30 degrees. Even if he’s unlikely to continue walking more than he strikes out as he climbs the minor league ladder, he’s showcasing why and how he projects as a middle-of-the-lineup bat.
25. Trey Ebel, SS, Brewers
Level: Low-A Wilson
Performance: 13 G, 59 PA, .190/.424/.286, 27.1 BB%, 22.0 K%, 111 wRC+
Ebel’s on-base skills have allowed him to produce above-average offensive value in the Carolina League, even while hitting under .200 and slugging under .300. His 27.1% walk rate is the best of any top-30 hitter and ranks among the top four of all 101 hitters with at least 50 plate appearances. He’s largely gotten to that walk rate through passivity. Ebel is swinging just 30.8% of the time and at pitches in the heart of the zone just 53.2% of the time. The only hitter with at least 50 plate appearances who swings less is Brayden Martin, with a 27.8% swing rate and 52.7% heart-zone swing rate. In the field, all of Ebel’s playing time has come at shortstop.
26. Carter Beck, OF, Braves
Level: Low-A Augusta/High-A Rome
Performance: 24 G, 109 PA, .309/.404/.426, 13.8 BB%, 17.4 K%, 130 wRC+
Beck was the Braves’ second overall pick—their first, AJ Gracia, won’t play this year after having labrum surgery after the draft—and blitzed through Augusta by going 18-for-50 (.409) in his first 11 games. High-A Rome has been a more appropriate challenge for Beck. He has cooled off at the level, with a .220/.339/.360 slash line in 13 games, but his overall debut performance has been strong. He’s also managed great in-zone contact rates (15.8%) and top-end exit velocities (104.7 90th, 110.3 max).