The New York Mets (39-23) travel to Coors Field to face the Colorado Rockies (12-50) for a three game series this weekend. This marks the second time that these teams have met over the past week, and completes a 13-game set against the Dodgers, one of the statistically best teams in baseball, and the Rockies, who are on pace to have a season so bad that it hasn’t been seen in more than 100 years.
Last weekend, the Mets swept the Rockies and, despite the results, the Mets didn’t really rout the team the way you’d have expected them to, except in the second game (4-2, 8-2, 5-3). But that doesn’t really matter, the Mets took the series and then traveled to Los Angeles for four games with the Dodgers. While in L.A., the Mets took two of four games and lost the other two in games that very easily could have, and should have, been won.
On one hand, it is very frustrating to see the team drop two games that probably should have won. But over their seven games with Los Angeles, the Mets won four of seven and lost all three games either in extras or in the Dodgers’ last time at bat. The Mets stood toe to toe with the reigning World Series champions, and a team that has four former MVPs on the roster. Yes, the Dodgers’ pitching staff is decimated by injuries right now, and so this isn’t exactly the team that will be on the field in blue and white in October, but it is a good indicator of just how the Mets are, at least at this point in the season, keeping pace with the best teams in baseball.
This week, the impossible happened: the Rockies swept the Miami Marlins for their first series win of the season. There are a lot of comments out there about the Rockies coming into the series ‘hot,’ implying that the Mets should be a little worried about the series. Now, while even terrible baseball teams (usually) win 60ish games a year and often times bad times can put together good stretches, we need to compare apples to apples. The Mets are 15 games over .500, the Marlins 14 games under. This is not the same level of competition and, while anything may still happen, the Mets are a much better team than either the Marlins or the Rockies.
Am I tempting fate and being bold? No, I’m not, because nothing someone on the internet writes can jinx or impact a baseball game.
Whether you believe in silly jinxes or not, the Rockies are still a not just very, but colossally bad team with some abysmal starting pitching, facing a team that is in first place and has finally started to see some of its big bats waking up. With the offensive environs of Coors Field, the ERA-s of the Colorado starters of 150 or higher, and the excellent pitching the Mets have been getting, the Mets should be feeling fairly confident going into Denver, even if they may be without their shortstop for part of the series and if they dropped a heartbreaker on Thursday.
Friday, June 6: Kodai Senga vs. Antonio Senzatela, 8:40pm on SNY
Senga (2024): 62.0 IP, 59 K, 28 BB, 3 HR, 1.60 ERA, 3.20 FIP, 41 ERA-
Senga started against the Rockies last week at Citi Field and went six and a third innings of two run ball, striking out seven and walking two. One of those runs was an Ezequiel Tovar home run off of the ghost fork, an occurrence so rare that it demands repeating: someone took a ghost fork deep. But aside from that, and tiring in the seventh and losing some control, Senga continued his phenomenal 2025 campaign. Coors Field is never comfortable for pitchers, but Senga is quite adept at limiting home runs elsewhere, so he’s likely a fairly good candidate to pitch well at Coors.
Senzatela (2024): 58.0 IP, 31 K, 17 BB, 11 HR, 7.14 ERA, 5.40 FIP, 156 ERA-
When discussing the historically bad Rockies, Senzatela unfortunately has to be part of that discussion. Over his last five starts, he’s only once gotten through the fifth, and he’s given up at least four earned runs in each of said starts. He’s averaging 1.7 HR/9 and last weekend against the Mets surrendered two home runs and seven earned runs in his four innings of work.
Saturday, June 7: Clay Holmes vs. Carson Palmquist, 9:40pm on SNY
Holmes (2024): 67.1 IP, 59 K, 23 BB, 7 HR, 3.07 ERA, 3.88 FIP, 79 ERA-
Two homers at Citi Field against the Rockies doesn’t necessarily spell problems at Coors, but Holmes is still slightly above his career home run rate after transitioning to starting, and this is something to look for in his first career start at Coors. Even considering that increase, the Holmes to starter experiment can only be looked at as a success thus far. In his last five starts, Holmes has gone at least five innings plus, and is starting to consistently reach a higher pitch count. Holmes the starter may never match the hype he had in spring training, but he’s been a consistent, dependable presence in the rotation thus far.
Palmquist (2024): 18.0 IP, 14 K, 10 BB, 4 HR, 8.50 ERA, 6.24 FIP, 186 ERA-
Rookie Palmquist will be making his fifth career start and looking for his first career win while facing the Mets for the second time in a week. The stuff flashes for Palmquist, who struck out eight Mets on Sunday, but he hasn’t been able to harness it in an effective way just yet. With the Mets’ bats starting to really heat up, he’s going to have a tough road ahead of him this weekend.
Sunday, June 8: Tylor Megill vs. Germán Márquez, 3:10pm on SNY
Megill (2024): 59.2 IP, 79 K, 28 BB, 5 HR, 3.77 ERA, 3.12 FIP, 97 ERA-
The May swoon of Megill was real; he entered the month with a 1.74 ERA and exited it 3.52. It went up in his one June start thus far, though that start saw a terrible first inning settle into something much better after the initial four-run onslaught: just one baserunner in the next five innings, seven strikeouts, and keeping the Mets in the game long enough for a thrilling comeback and a frustrating loss in extras. Megill is likely a roster casualty when folks like Frankie Montas and Sean Manaea return unless he can turn his season around a bit and, even if he can, he still may be the Syracuse sacrifice necessary.
Márquez (2024): 58.0 IP, 38 K, 21 BB, 4 HR, 6.98 ERA, 3.95 FIP, 153 ERA-
The veteran righty is – are you noticing a theme here? – also having a rough go for the Rockies in 2025, but in a totally different way than his brethren. Márquez has not been bitten by the homer bug, allowing just four dingers but showcasing an ERA of almost seven. He is also the rare pitcher who is faring better at Coors Field than he is on the road.
Poll
How will the Mets fare in their three-game series against the Rockies?
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Boogie Wonderland – the Mets sweep!
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Let’s Groove – the Mets win two of three
(0 votes)
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On Your Face – the Mets win one of three
(0 votes)
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I’ve Had Enough – the Mets get swept
(0 votes)
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(Colorado style) Pizza!
(0 votes)
0 votes total