The Seattle Mariners (39-37) visit the Minnesota Twins (37-40) in the first game of a 4-game series Monday. First pitch from Target Field is at 7:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1

The Mariners are 6-3 in their last 9 games and started their 10-game road trip taking 2 out of 3 from the Chicago Cubs. They won the finale on Sunday 14-6, scoring runs in 7 of the 9 innings. DH Cal Raleigh hit his MLB-leading 31st home run and had 2 hits and 2 RBIs, giving him a league-leading 66. 1B Donovan Solano homered twice and drove in 5 runs on 3 hits, while OF Dominic Canzone hit 2 solo shots in his 3 hits. SP Logan Gilbert picked up his second win of the year despite allowing 4 runs in 5 innings.

The Twins have lost 3 in a row, 9 out of 10 and 13 out of 16. They were swept at home by the Milwaukee Brewers, losing the finale on Sunday 9-8. They fell behind 9-3 and rallied for 5 runs between the sixth and eighth innings, and they had 2 runners on with 2 outs in the eighth, but Brewers closer Trevor Megill struck out pinch hitter Jonah Bride to end the inning. They threatened in the ninth, but did not score the tying run. They pounded out 18 hits in the loss, and both 2B Brooks Lee and SS Carlos Correa had 4 hits, while OF Byron Buxton hit 2 solo homers and had 3 total hits.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP Bryan Woo vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Woo (6-4, 3.12 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 89 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 8-0 home win over the Boston Red Sox last TuesdayLast start vs. Twins (May 30): No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 12-6 10-inning home lossCareer vs. Twins: 0-1, 8.10 ERA (10 IP, 9 ER), 1.80 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 2 starts2025 road splits: 3-3, 3.93 ERA (50 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 8 starts

Ober (4-4, 4.54 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 79 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-2 rain-shortened road loss to the Cincinnati Reds last WednesdayIs 0-3 with 8.31 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 16 ER) in 3 June startsCareer vs. Mariners: 2-0, 3.60 ERA (30 IP, 12 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 in 5 starts2025 home splits: 2-2, 4.22 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 8 starts

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Mariners at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:26 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mariners -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Twins +110 (bet $100 to win $110)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+135) | Twins +1.5 (-165)Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -118 | U: -102)Mariners at Twins picks and predictionsPrediction

Mariners 7, Twins 6

Ober has struggled in June, and the Twins have lost his last 5 starts.

The Mariners have averaged 6.2 runs per game over their last 9 games and have scored at least 6 runs 6 times. The Twins allowed 9 or more runs in all 3 of their games against the Brewers and have allowed 5 or more runs in 4 straight games, in 5 of 6, and in 7 of the last 10 games.

BET MARINERS (-135).

The Mariners are 6-12 ATS as away favorites this season and while their last 4 wins and 5 of their last 6 have been by more than 1 run, 4 of their last 8 wins have been by just 1 run.

The Twins are 2-0 ATS as home underdogs and 4 of their last 7 losses have been by only 1 run.

Expecting a Mariners win but not feeling confident they can cover, the ML is the better value over the run line.

PASS.

The Twins’ last 4 games, and 5 of the last 6 contests, have had 9 or more total runs. The last 3 games for the Mariners have had double-digit totals and 5 of their last 6 road games have reached at least 10 runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-118).

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