The San Francisco Giants (53-49) and Atlanta Braves (44-56) wrap up their 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta is set for 12:15 p.m (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Giants vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Giants lead 4-1
After a 9-5 loss Monday, the Giants snapped a 4-game post-All-Star break skid with a dominant 9-0 win over the Braves Tuesday night. San Francisco cashed as a +106 road underdog with the total of 9 pushing. Four pitchers combined for the shutout, led by starter Landen Roupp’s 5 scoreless innings. DH Wilmer Flores had a 3-run homer and drove in 4 runs, while 2B Casey Schmitt added a solo blast.
Braves starter Davis Daniel struggled (5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 3 K, HR) in Tuesday’s loss. Atlanta collected 8 hits, led by 1B Matt Olson who went 3-for-5, but left 12 runners on base.
Giants at Braves projected starters
RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP Spencer Strider
Verlander (0-8, 4.99 ERA) is making his 17th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 79 1/3 innings.
Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 BB in 4-0 road loss against Toronto Blue Jays Friday2025 road stats: 0-3, 5.67 ERA (33 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.65 WHIP, 42 H, 13 BB, 23 K in 7 startsCareer vs. Braves: 2-1, 3.75 ERA (24 IP, 10 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 in 4 starts (last in 2023)
Strider (4-7, 3.59 ERA) is making his 13th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 67 2/3 innings.
Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 7-3 home victory against New York Yankees Friday2025 home stats: 3-3, 2.75 ERA (36 IP, 11 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 29 H, 11 BB, 43 K in 6 startsLast start vs. Giants: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER (4 R), 3 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 4-3 road loss June 8Career vs. Giants: 2-2, 3.77 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 5 start
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Giants at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Braves -175 (bet $175 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-155) | Braves -1.5 (+125)Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Giants at Braves picks and predictionsPrediction
Braves 6, Giants 4
PASS.
I like the Braves to bounce back at home in the series finale on Wednesday afternoon, but I’ll take the better odds on the run line.
BET BRAVES -1.5 (+125).
The Braves have been far stronger at home this season, posting a 26-25 record at Truist Park compared to just 18-31 on the road. But Wednesday’s matchup is less about Atlanta’s home success and more about Verlander’s continued struggles on the mound.
While Verlander’s Hall of Fame résumé is unquestioned, his current form is tough to watch. He has yet to record a win this season and carries a bloated ERA. Over his last 3 starts, he’s allowed 11 earned runs and 21 hits in just 11 2/3 innings.
The Giants haven’t been much better, going 25-29 on the road with a .230 team average away from Oracle Park. Meanwhile, Strider hasn’t been dominant, but he’s been far more reliable. In his last home outing, he tossed 6 shutout innings against the Yankees, fanning 8.
Despite San Francisco’s success against Atlanta this season, back the Braves to close out the series with a win on Wednesday afternoon.
BET OVER 8.5 (-110).
Verlander’s struggles continue to be a major concern, I’ve got him allowing another 4-6 runs which gets us more than halfway to the Over. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Giants’ last 4 games and 7-2-1 in the Braves’ last 10. With both teams trending that way, the Over is the smart play Wednesday.
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