The Pittsburgh Pirates (14-27) visit the New York Mets (26-15) Monday as they swing into a 3-game series at Citi Field in Queens. The series lid-lifter is ticketed for a 7:10 p.m. ET start time. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Mets won 5 of 7 meetings in 2024
Pittsburgh is on the road after taking 2 of 3 games from the Atlanta Braves over the weekend, including a 4-3 win on Sunday. Prior to that series, the Pirates had been 0-7 in May.
New York also logged a series victory over the weekend. The Mets took 2 of 3 games from the Chicago Cubs, winning 6-2 in Sunday’s finale. That series was also at home, where the Mets are thus far 15-4.
Pirates at Mets projected starters
RHP Paul Skenes vs. LHP David Peterson
Skenes (3-4, 2.77 ERA) is lined up for his ninth start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 48 2/3 innings.
Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 2-1 loss at St. Louis Cardinals TuesdayCareer vs. Mets: 1-0, 2.57 ERA (7 IP, 2 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 1 startWalked just 4 batters over his first 6 starts; has walked 8 in 2 starts since
Peterson (2-2, 3.52 ERA) is tabbed for his eighth start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 38 1/3 innings.
Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 5-1 loss at Arizona Diamondbacks TuesdayCareer vs. Mets: 0-0, 3.48 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 9 H, 8 BB, 14 K in 3 appearances (2 starts)
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Pirates at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:38 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-210) | Mets -1.5 (+170)Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -125 | U: +105)Pirates at Mets picks and predictionsPrediction
Mets 5, Pirates 4
Pittsburgh is just 2-12 since April 26. Over their last 5 road games, the Pirates are 0-5 with a minus-20 run differential. New York is 7-3 over the last 10 games against Pittsburgh. The Mets have won 4 straight series openers.
Peterson has been ultra consistent this season, and over the last 3 seasons he’s registered a 3.06 ERA at home.
New York owns a top-10 offense and a top defense, and its record so far is backed up by analytics.
BACK THE METS (-135).
No interest; PASS.
The Over is 4-1 across the last 5 series games at Citi Field.
Skenes’ surface ERA is tamped down by a .238 batting average on balls in play. The Pittsburgh offense has been held back by a .272 BABIP.
The weather report is calling for a batter’s breeze blowing out to left-center.
The lean here is slight, but peg the OVER 7 (-125).
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