The Detroit Tigers (65-47) visit the Philadelphia Phillies (62-48) Sunday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Tigers beat the Phillies 7-5 Saturday in the second game of the series after dropping the opener 5-4 Friday. Detroit has been streaky over the last few weeks, losing 6 straight from July 21-26 and then winning 5 of its next 6 games. Detroit is 29-26 on the road.

The Phillies have a different story, having traded off winning and losing over their last 5 contests. Philadelphia is second in the NL East, a half-game behind the New York Mets. The Phillies are 4-4 over the last 8 games. They’re 34-20 at home.

Tigers at Phillies projected starters

RHP Charlie Morton vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Morton (7-8, 5.42 ERA) makes his 18th start and 24th appearance. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 101 1/3 innings.

First start with the Tigers, who acquired him from the Baltimore Orioles ThursdayLast start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 16-4 Orioles win vs. Toronto Blue Jays Monday2025 road stats: 3-5, 6.39 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 10 appearances (8 starts)Career vs. Phillies: 5-7, 4.81 ERA (103 IP, 55 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 20 starts

Sanchez (9-3, 2.55 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 130 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-2 road loss vs. Chicago White Sox Monday2025 home stats: 4-0, 2.65 ERA (57 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 9 startsFirst time facing Tigers

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Tigers at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-145) | Phillies -1.5 (+120)Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -118 | U: -102)Tigers at Phillies picks and predictionsPrediction

Phillies 6, Tigers 3

PASS.

There’s no reason to consider a moneyline play. The Phillies (-190) are far too expensive to take, while the Tigers (+155) aren’t worth the risk here.

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+120).

While the Tigers have a winning road record, they haven’t covered well. Their 25-30 ATS road record is the fourth-worst covering rate in MLB. With a new pitcher, albeit an 18-year veteran, they are worth fading here.

Philadelphia is one of the best rebounding teams in the majors, having gone 27-20 ATS following a loss. The Phillies have allowed more than 3 runs in just one of Sanchez’s last 10 starts as well.

Back PHILLIES -1.5 (+120).

BET OVER 8 (-118).

Both teams are trending toward the Over. The Phillies have scored at least 5 runs in 3 of their last 4 games and are 6-1-2 O/U in their last 9. The Tigers are 4-1-1 O/U in their last 6 games and have scored at least 4 runs in 6 straight contests. Take the OVER 8 (-118).

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